Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/01/2025

Vitoria Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon will meet in one of the more interesting duels in the upcoming Primeira Liga round, on Friday, 3 January.

Will the hosts be able to resist the defending champions or will Sporting secure three points to stay at the top of the league standings? Find out by reading our Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon prediction and preview.

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon prediction: Plenty of goals as Sporting win

Key Stats

• Sporting have averaged 3.75 total goals per game in away matches in Primeira Liga this season, more than any other team in the league.
• Guimaraes have only one win in their last six games in the league.
• Sporting Lisbon have beaten Guimaraes five times in their last six H2H meetings.

Correct score prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

While Sporting have struggled a bit in the league lately, they are still in better form than Vitoria Guimaraes and we can see them winning the match. Furthermore, Sporting have scored exactly three goals in three of their previous five meetings with Guimaraes, so we won't be surprised if that's the case on Friday as well.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sporting Lisbon favoured by the bookies

• HOME: 16/5 – 23.80%
• DRAW: 5/2 – 28.60%
• AWAY: 4/5 – 55.60%

*Odds from 7Bet, subject to change

We can see from these Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon odds that the guests are the expected winners, which is hardly a surprise since Sporting are the defending champions and current league leaders.

Anyhow, in addition to our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.

Most recent H2Hs: Sporting the better team lately

With four wins over Vitoria Guimaraes in their last five meetings, Sporting Lisbon have clearly dominated this matchup in recent years. Things are pretty much the same if we look at their overall H2H record as well: 77-34-22 in favour of Sporting.

Portugal Primeira Liga 21/04/24

Sporting

3

Guimaraes

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 09/12/23

Guimaraes

3

Sporting

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 24/04/23

Guimaraes

0

Sporting

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/11/22

Sporting

3

Guimaraes

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/03/22

Guimaraes

1

Sporting

3

Vitoria Guimaraes preview: Hoping to do well against the champions

While Guimaraes haven't been as great this season as they were in the previous one, they are still one of the teams fighting for European competitions since they're currently sixth in the standings. However, Guimaraes have only one win in their last six games in the league and while they have stayed undefeated in their last three matches, they were all draws.

Meanwhile, Bruno Gaspar and Toni Borevkovic are out with injuries at the moment.

Predicted lineup: Varela (GK), Baio, Rivas, Villanueva, Mendes, T. Silva, M. Silva, Cesar, Mendes, Santos & G. Silva

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/04/25

W

Gil Vicente

0

Guimaraes

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/04/25

W

Santa Clara

0

Guimaraes

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 30/03/25

D

Moreirense

2

Guimaraes

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 16/03/25

W

Estrela

0

Guimaraes

2

UEFA Conference League 13/03/25

L

Real Betis

4

Guimaraes

0

Sporting Lisbon preview: Defending champions on top of things

While Sporting Lisbon have been in a bit of a shaky form in the league lately, losing twice in their last five matches, they are still sitting atop of the Primeira Liga standings. That being said, they are only ahead of Porto by the virtue of better goal difference and have just two points more than Benfica, so it seems that we'll have a close title race this season.

When it comes to team news, Goncalo Inacio, Pedro Goncalves, Eduardo Quaresma, Daniel Braganca, and Nuno Santos are on Sporting's injury list.

Predicted lineup: Israel (GK), Fresneda, Diomande, St. Juste, Reis, Morita, Hjulmand, Catamo, Trincao, Quenda & Gyokeres

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25

W

Santa Clara

0

Sporting

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 07/04/25

D

Braga

1

Sporting

1

Portugal Cup 03/04/25

W

Rio Ave

0

Sporting

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/03/25

W

Estrela

0

Sporting

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 15/03/25

W

Famalicao

1

Sporting

3

Player to watch: Viktor Gyokeres

The Swedish striker has been in amazing form this season and he's Primeira Liga's top scorer at the moment with 18 goals scored, on top of which he also has five goals in the Champions League. So, Gyokeres is clearly the player to watch in this match.