Sporting Lisbon will take on Vitoria Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga on Saturday, 17 May, as part of the final round of fixtures in the Portuguese top flight.
It's do or die for the hosts on Saturday as they look to become champions of Portugal for the third time in five years. All they need to do is match or better Benfica's result on Saturday.
Vitoria have plenty to play for too, as they look to secure a place in the Europa Conference League qualifiers. To do that, they must match or better Santa Clara's result.
As part of our final round of Primeira Liga betting tips, check out our Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes prediction below.
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Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes prediction: Plenty of goals as Sporting win
Key Stats
- Sporting have averaged 2.6 goals per league match over the course of the season.
- Vitoria have conceded three or more goals in two of their last three defeats.
- Both teams have scored in four of Sporting Lisbon's last five matches.
Correct score prediction: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Sporting have been excellent in recent weeks in their charge towards the title, and given that they know a win is enough to retain their title, they should be extremely motivated and focused. Vitoria Guimaraes have been decent recently, too, so they won't go down without a fight.
Place your bet on this prediction at bet365.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sporting are huge favourites
- HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
- DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes odds indicate that this should be a walk in the park for the hosts, and while that could be a little premature, they do deserve their status as big favourites. Ladbrokes have given Sporting a 77.8% chance of winning the match, while Vitoria have been given a 10% chance of victory.
In addition to our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Expect goals
If there is one common theme that runs through the most recent matches between Sporting and Vitoria, it is goals. A total of 21 goals have been scored across their last five meetings, and the reverse fixture earlier this season finished 4-4. Sporting have won more of the recent clashes than their opponents, but it's far from a clean sweep.
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/01/25
Guimaraes
Sporting
Portugal Primeira Liga 21/04/24
Sporting
Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga 09/12/23
Guimaraes
Sporting
Portugal Primeira Liga 24/04/23
Guimaraes
Sporting
Portugal Primeira Liga 05/11/22
Sporting
Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon preview: Two players miss out due to suspension
The big news out of the Sporting Lisbon camp this weekend is that they are missing two first-team regulars due to suspension. Morten Hjulmand, a mainstay in midfield, picked up one booking too many last weekend against Benfica, while Ricardo Esgaio will also miss out after being sent off despite being on the bench.
Predicted lineup: Silva (GK), Quaresma, Diomande, Inacio, Catamo, Morita, Debast, Araujoj, Trincao, Quenda, Gyokeres
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
D
Benfica
1
Sporting
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25
W
Gil Vicente
1
Sporting
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
Boavista
0
Sporting
5
Portugal Cup 22/04/25
W
Rio Ave
1
Sporting
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
Moreirense
1
Sporting
3
Vitoria Guimaraes preview: Arcanjo to come back in
Telmo Arcanjo missed out last weekend due to suspension, but the midfielder should come straight back into the starting XI this weekend. Unfortunately, it's Tomas Handel's turn to sit on the naughty step after hitting the yellow card threshold last week.
Predicted lineup: Varela (GK), Maga, Borevkovic, Villanueva, Mendes, Beni, Silva, Mendes, Arcanjo, Ramirez, Silva
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
L
SC Farense
2
Guimaraes
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25
W
Nacional
1
Guimaraes
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
Rio Ave
0
Guimaraes
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
L
Benfica
3
Guimaraes
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/04/25
W
Gil Vicente
0
Guimaraes
1
Player to watch: Viktor Gyokeres
Sporting Lisbon could win the league on Saturday, and if they do, then a huge part of their success can be attributed to Viktor Gyokreres. The Swedish striker could well be on the move this summer, but he will cost a significant sum of cash after netting 38 goals in 32 league games. Could he smash through the 40-goal barrier on the final day of the season?