Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/12/2023

Real Madrid
17/12/23 - 20:00

Finished

4

-

1

Villarreal

Real Madrid - Villarreal

Spain Primera Liga - Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid and Villarreal return from European trips to face off at the Santiago Bernabeu on Sunday. Our Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction and La Liga betting tips look at whether Los Blancos can get back to winning ways after dropped points in Seville last weekend.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Real Madrid -1.5 Handicap

  • Villarreal had the more important European game and went strong at Rennes so there could be some fatigue in the away camp with Marcelino potentially even resting players here with more league action to come in midweek.
  • Real Madrid have won by 2 or more goals in 3 of their last 4 home games.

Our Real Madrid vs Villarreal betting tips suggests Los Blancos will return to the top of La Liga with three points to put pressure on Girona who play on Monday.

Latest odds

Head to Head

08/04/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Villarreal

Villarreal

2

3

19/01/23

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Villarreal

Villarreal

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

3

07/01/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Villarreal

Villarreal

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

1

12/02/22

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Villarreal

Villarreal

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

0

25/09/21

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Villarreal

Villarreal

0

0

Last Five - Real Madrid

25/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Sevilla

Sevilla

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

1

W

18/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

1

D

14/02/24

Others Others

Man Utd

Man Utd

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

0

D

13/02/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

1

W

10/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Girona

Girona

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

4

W

Last Five - Villarreal

23/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

3

W

16/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Getafe

Getafe

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

1

D

10/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

1

D

04/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Cadiz

Cadiz

Villarreal

Villarreal

0

0

D

27/01/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Barcelona

Barcelona

Villarreal

Villarreal

3

5

W

Win probability

  • HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
  • DRAW: 29/5 (6.80) – 14.7%
  • AWAY: 21/2 (11.50) – 8.7%

The Real Madrid vs Villarreal odds make the home team the massive favourites for this game with a big upset required if Villarreal, who have won at the Santiago Bernabeu in 2023, are to leave with the points.

You can back Over 3.5 Goals at 9/10 (1.90), an implied probability of 52.6%. Meanwhile Both Teams to Score is available at 11/14 (1.79), a probability of 56.0%.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction – Other tips

Real Madrid 2-0 Villarreal

  • This Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction suggests this could be quite similar to the last game at the Bernabeu when Los Blancos had to be patient to break down a defensive Granada and win the game 2-0.
  • Los Blancos average 2.71 points per home game this term with a 57% home clean sheet ratio.

Jude Bellingham to score anytime

  • Jude Bellingham has scored 12 goals in 14 appearances in La Liga.
  • He averages a goal every 104 minutes in all competitions for Real Madrid.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal team news

Real Madrid

The Real Madrid vs Villarreal lineups are likely to see changes from the respective European lineups in midweek. Andriy Lunin may return in goal for Real Madrid who are still missing the likes of Dani Carvajal, Vini Junior and Eduardo Camavinga to injury.

Predicted Lineup: Lunin (GK), Mendy, Alaba, Rudiger, Lucas Vazquez, Bellingham, Kroos, Modric, Valverde, Brahim, Rodrygo

Villarreal

Villarreal are missing Santi Comesana, Juan Foyth, Yeremi Pino and Denis Suarez. They also have doubts over Matteo Gabbia, Francis Coquelin and Aissa Mandi for the trip to the Spanish capital.

Predicted Lineup: Jorgensen (GK), Pedraza, Cuenca, Albiol, Altimira, Baena, Capoue, Parejo, Akhomach, Gerard Moreno, Morales

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid
4-4-2
13
Andriy Lunin
ua
17
Lucas Vazquez
es
22
Antonio Rudiger
de
4
David Alaba
at
23
Ferland Mendy
fr
15
Federico Valverde
uy
10
Luka Modric
hr
8
Toni Kroos
de
5
Jude Bellingham
gb
21
Brahim Diaz
es
11
Rodrygo
br
Substitutes
19
Dani Ceballos
es
20
Francisco Garcia
es
18
Aurelien Tchouameni
fr
39
Mario de Luis
es
36
Vinicius Tobias
br
32
Nicolas Paz Martinez
ar
14
Mato Joselu
es
25
Kepa Arrizabalaga
es
6
Nacho
es

Villarreal

Villarreal
4-4-2
13
Filip Jorgensen
dk
26
Adria Altimira Reynaldos
es
3
Raul Albiol
es
23
Aissa Mandi
dz
24
Alfonso Pedraza
es
27
Ilias Akhomach
es
6
Etienne Capoue
fr
10
Dani Parejo
es
16
Alex Baena
es
7
Gerard Moreno
es
15
Jose Luis Morales
es
Substitutes
1
Pepe Reina
es
20
Ramon Terrats
es
17
Kiko Femenia
es
5
Jorge Cuenca
es
9
Ben Brereton
cl
14
Manu Trigueros
es
18
Alberto Moreno
es
11
Alexander Sorloth
no

Player to watch – Rodrygo

Aside from the impressive Bellingham, Rodrygo is currently the main danger man for Real Madrid. The young Brazilian is thriving in a role of greater responsibility with Vini Junior sidelined.

Rodrygo has netted 5 in his last 4 league games and contributed an assist in midweek against Union Berlin in the Champions League.

Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.