Two European hopefuls clash at the Estadio de Vallecas on Saturday. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the hosts can continue their surprise top-six challenge with another victory.
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Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal prediction: Ayoze Perez to score last in draw
Key stats
- Our Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal betting tips take into account that six of the home team’s last eight league games have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Villarreal are defending better than was the case earlier in the season, not conceding more than once in any of their last six matches.
- It’s three draws from six for Rayo this season against sides currently above them in the table.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villarreal
Both sides are in good form, so this promises to be a really competitive game. Villarreal have more quality, but Rayo are defensively sound and never easy to play against in their own stadium.
Within their respective last eight league outings, both sides have been involved in three 1-1 draws, and a repeat could be on the cards here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the slight favourites
- HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal odds, with an implied probability of 42.1% that they win this match.
They head into this one following a 1-1 home draw against Valencia, with Pape Gueye on target for the Yellow Submarine.
As for Rayo, they gave a good account of themselves away to Barcelona on Monday night, only going down 1-0 in a tight game at the Estadi Olimpic.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: An even rivalry
Our Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal prediction suggests we could see this end level, and there’s been little to split the sides recently, with two wins each and two draws from the last six meetings.
Rayo have only won one of their last five at home to Villarreal in all competitions.
Spain La Liga 18/12/24
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 02/11/24
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 28/04/24
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 24/09/23
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 28/05/23
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano preview: Camello sidelined for the hosts
Inigo Perez is missing his main striker Sergio Camello to injury. Unai Lopez and Jonathan Montiel are also rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, Mumin, Lejeune, Ratiu, P. Diaz, Ciss, I. Palazon, A. Garcia, Nteka & De Frutos
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Athletic Bilbao 3 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 04/04/25 L Espanyol 4 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 W CD Alaves 0 Rayo Vallecano 2 Spain La Liga 16/03/25 D Real Sociedad 2 Rayo Vallecano 2 Spain La Liga 09/03/25 L Real Madrid 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
Villarreal preview: Moreno injured once more
The visitors are again missing injury-prone forward Gerard Moreno, along with long-term absentee Ilias Akhomach. Kiko Femenia and Alfonso Pedraza are rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Conde (GK), Cardona, Costa, Foyth, Navarro, Baena, Parejo, Gueye, Pino, Barry & A. Perez
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 W Real Betis 1 Villarreal 2 Spain La Liga 06/04/25 D Athletic Bilbao 0 Villarreal 0 Spain La Liga 30/03/25 W Getafe 1 Villarreal 2 Spain La Liga 15/03/25 L Real Madrid 2 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 08/03/25 L CD Alaves 1 Villarreal 0
Player to watch – Ayoze Perez
One of a number of summer signings to have impressed, Ayoze Perez has scored some key goals for his team this term. Despite injuries, he has still managed to score 10 goals in La Liga from 17 appearances.
Ayoze firing in stoppage time
Incredibly 50% of the goals scored by the ex-Newcastle man this season in the league have come in stoppage time. Three of those came after the 45th minute in the first half, while he has also netted 94th and 95th minute winners in 2-1 away wins.