Three valuable points will be at stake when Villarreal host Rayo Vallecano in the 11th round of La Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica on Saturday, 1 November 2025.
View our free Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano predictions below.
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Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano predictions: Hosts to reign supreme
Key stats
- Rayo Vallecano have no wins in their last four encounters with Villarreal.
- Villarreal have four wins in five La Liga home games this season.
- There were at least 11 corners in eight of Rayo Vallecano's last nine matches across all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Villarreal 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
To be fair, Rayo Vallecano have been nothing short of impressive of late, stringing together a six-match unbeaten run across three competitions (W5, D1). However, they have a poor track record against Villarreal, having failed to win any of the last four meetings between these sides.
On the other hand, Villarreal have a near-perfect home record in La Liga this season, with four wins and a draw in five league games at Estadio de la Ceramica.
In fact, the Yellow Submarine have won eight of their last nine home league games, stretching back to the previous season.
Taking everything into account, we are confident that Villarreal will emerge victorious after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Villarreal are clear favourites
- HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Villarreal followed last weekend's 2-0 victory against local rivals Valencia with a comfortable 6-0 win in the Copa del Rey earlier this week.
Marcelino’s troops have had an impressive start to their La Liga campaign and are third in the Spanish top flight ahead of their clash with seventh-placed Rayo Vallecano, who have won five of their last six matches in all competitions.
Considering their run of results at home, it is unsurprising that Villarreal are the expected winners at 8/11 (1.73). Teams with these odds generally have a 57.9% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that eight of Rayo Vallecano's last nine games produced at least 11 corners, over 10.5 total corners has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Villarreal's dominance set to continue?
Villarreal have no losses in their last four encounters with Rayo Vallecano. They also have a 6-2-2 win-draw-loss record in the last 10 clashes between these sides.
Spain La Liga 22/02/25
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 18/12/24
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 02/11/24
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 28/04/24
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 24/09/23
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Villarreal preview: A few injury concerns
Villarreal could have up to four players ruled out of this La Liga contest, including Pau Cabanes (ACL), Willy Kambwala (hamstring), Logan Costa (ACL), and Rafa Marin (ankle). Despite these setbacks, the hosts will set their sights on their third consecutive victory.
Predicted lineup: Tenas (GK), Mourino, Foyth, Veiga, Pedraza, Parejo, Gueye, Comesana, Pepe, Buchanan & Mikautadze.
Last five matches
- Ciudad de Lucena 0-6 Villarreal
- Valencia 0-2 Villarreal
- Villarreal 0-2 Man City
- Villarreal 2-2 Real Betis
- Real Madrid 3-1 Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano preview: Looking to extend their unbeaten run
Rayo finished their Copa del Rey clash against CD Yuncos on Wednesday without any fresh injuries. This means coach Inigo Perez will have only Luiz Felipe, who has not recovered from a hamstring injury, and Abdul Mumin, who is sidelined with a cruciate ligament problem, unavailable for selection.
Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, Vertrouwd, Lejuene, Ratiu, Valentin, Lopez, Garcia, Palazon, De Frutos & Alemao.
Last five matches
- CD Yuncos 1-6 Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves
- Hacken 2-2 Rayo Vallecano
- Levante 0-3 Rayo Vallecano
- Real Sociedad 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Player to watch: Fran Perez
Fran Perez put in a man-of-the-match performance in Rayo Vallecano's 6-1 victory over CD Yuncos, scoring a hat-trick in the first half. The former Valencia midfielder has now scored in three different competitions this season. It will be interesting to see how he performs against Villarreal.