Villarreal are hoping to close in on the top four, when they travel to Gran Canaria this weekend. Our Las Palmas vs Villarreal prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can see off struggling opposition.
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Las Palmas vs Villarreal prediction: Both teams to score in away win
Key stats
- Our Las Palmas vs Villarreal betting tips take into account that the hosts have collected just one point from four league games so far in 2025.
- Both teams have scored in every Las Palmas match in La Liga since the turn of the year.
- Villarreal are the third highest scorers in the division, with an average of 2.00 goals per game.
Correct score prediction: Las Palmas 1-3 Villarreal
Las Palmas were terrific initially following the appointment of Diego Martinez earlier in the season, but that honeymoon phase is clearly over now, and they look like quite a limited team again.
With Villarreal scoring freely, having netted four or more in three of their last five league matches, an away win looks very probable here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Yellow Submarine the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Las Palmas vs Villarreal odds, with an implied probability of 57.1% that they win this match.
They head into this game, on the back of an excellent 5-1 win over lowly Real Valladolid, with Ayoze Perez netting the opener at the Ceramica last weekend.
As for Las Palmas, they lost 2-1 at Girona on Monday, with Fabio Silva’s 82nd minute strike only a consolation.
For more from the upcoming matches in Spain and elsewhere, today’s free betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: A fixture that normally produces a winner
Our Las Palmas vs Villarreal prediction suggests a run of seven meetings without a draw will continue here.
Villarreal have won four of those seven most recent clashes, but they’ve only won on one of their last five visits to Gran Canaria.
Spain La Liga 30/09/24
Villarreal
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 13/01/24
Las Palmas
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 08/10/23
Villarreal
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 11/03/18
Las Palmas
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 22/10/17
Villarreal
Las Palmas
Las Palmas preview: A difficult week in Gran Canaria
It has been a tough week for everyone connected with Las Palmas, after their captain Kirian Rodriguez announced he has suffered a relapse in his battle against cancer. He'll miss the remainder of the season while he undergoes treatment.
Jaime Mata and Dario Essugo are suspended for this match, while Jose Campana and Adnan Januzaj are also out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Cillessen (GK), Marmol, McKenna, A. Suarez, Pelmard, Bajcetic, J. Munoz, Loiodice, Moleiro, F. Silva & Sandro
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
L Sevilla 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 09/05/25
L Rayo Vallecano 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
L Valencia 3 Las Palmas 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
L Athletic Bilbao 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
W Atletico Madrid 0 Las Palmas 1
Villarreal preview: Barry to return up top?
With Gerard Moreno a slight injury concern, Thierno Barry may return up front for the visitors. Ilias Akhomach and Alfonso Pedraza are both out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Conde (GK), Cardona, Kambwala, Foyth, Femenia, Baena, Comesana, Gueye, Pino, A. Perez & Barry
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Girona 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Osasuna 2 Villarreal 4 Spain La Liga 27/04/25
W Espanyol 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
L Celta Vigo 3 Villarreal 0 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
D Real Sociedad 2 Villarreal 2
Player to watch – Ayoze Perez
Despite a couple of injuries restricting him to only eight starts in La Liga, Ayoze Perez has already netted nine goals this season in the Spanish top flight. That’s more than any other player who could feature in this match.

Perez striking in stoppage time
Incredibly, 56% of Ayoze’s league goals have come in stoppage time. He has scored three after the 45th minute in the first half, and two after the 90th minute.