Venezuela and Mexico will meet in the second round of Copa America 2024 on Thursday, 27 June.
With both teams winning their first-round matches, who will take the top of the standings after this duel? Learn that and more from our Venezuela vs Mexico prediction and preview.
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Venezuela vs Mexico prediction: Mexico to get another win
Key stats
- Before beating Ecuador at the start of Copa America, Venezuela were without a win for five games in a row.
- We saw both teams score in four of the last five H2H meetings between these two teams.
- Both teams have scored in three of the previous five Venezuela's matches across the board.
Correct score prediction: Venezuela 1-3 Mexico
Mexico are our favourites to win this match and we can see both teams scoring after they did well in the first round of Copa America. On top of that, two of the last three meetings between Venezuela and Mexico have ended in 3-1 Mexico wins, which is what we expect to happen again on Thursday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mexico backed by the bookies
- HOME: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.60%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%
- AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.50%
It's clear from the Mexico vs Jamaica odds that Central American team are the expected winners, which makes sense if we consider the quality of the two teams alone.
On top of that, Mexico have done better in recent H2H duels against Venezuela and they entered this tournament as the reigning CONCACAF champions, so we probably expected them to be an even bigger favourites than the odds suggest.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this match, remember to look at our top betting tips for today as well.
Last five H2Hs: Complete domination by Mexico
Twice in the last five duels Mexico have beaten Venezuela, along with a couple of draws and one win for Venezuela, which happened in 2011 in a friendly with Mexico's U22 team. If we don't count that match for the overall H2H record, Mexico have 10 wins over Venezuela and no losses, along with four draws.
International Match 06/06/19
Mexico
Venezuela
Copa America 14/06/16
Mexico
Venezuela
Venezuela preview: A chance looming for the next stage
While Venezuela arrived to Copa America with low expectations, their win over Ecuador in the first round has raised the nation's hope of getting out of the group stage.
However, it's worth noting that Venezuela had a huge advantage of playing with a player more after Ener Valencia was sent off in the 22nd minute of the game and even then, they conceded a goal and had to turn the match around in the second half.
Predicted lineup: Graterol (GK), Gonzalez, Osorio, Ferraresi, Navarro, Rincon, Otero, Pereira, Machís, Cadiz & Savarino
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
W
Peru
0
Venezuela
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
L
Ecuador
2
Venezuela
1
International Match 18/01/25
L
USA
3
Venezuela
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
L
Chile
4
Venezuela
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
D
Brazil
1
Venezuela
1
Mexico preview: Things going according to the plan
While this Mexico's Copa America squad has high ambitions and they did manage to start the tournament with a win over a good Jamaica team, it wasn't a great performance by Mexico by any means. A single goal made all the difference and Mexico will have to do better if they want to go far here.
On top of that, Mexico's Edson Alvarez suffered an injury that will likely keep him off the pitch for a while at least, possibly even for the whole tournament.
Predicted lineup: Gonzalez (GK), Sanchez, Montes, Vasquez, Arteaga, Romo, Chavez, Vega, Pineda, Quinones & Gimenez
CONCACAF Nations League 24/03/25
W
Panama
1
Mexico
2
CONCACAF Nations League 21/03/25
W
Canada
0
Mexico
2
African Nations C'ship Qualifying 22/01/25
L
River Plate
2
Mexico
0
CONCACAF Nations League 20/11/24
W
Honduras
0
Mexico
4
CONCACAF Nations League 16/11/24
L
Honduras
2
Mexico
0
Player to watch: Santiago Gimenez
While Gimenez failed to score against Jamaica and while he only scored four goals for his national team so far, he is still the key player to focus on in this Mexico team, at least on the offensive end.
Gimenez had a great season
After he was one of the top scorers in Eredivisie last season with 23 goals in the league as one of Feyenoord's key players, Gimenez came to Copa America high on confidence. We didn't see any of his magic against Jamaica, so will we see it against Venezuela?