Sparks will fly as Sao Paulo and Vasco da Gama draw swords in the next round of the Brazilian Serie A on Friday, 13 June.
With both teams struggling this season in the league, who will get the win from this game? Find that out and more from our Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama prediction and preview.
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Key stats
- We saw both teams score in five of the last six Sao Paulo's matches in all competitions.
- Sao Paulo have won four of the last six H2H duels between these two teams.
- Vasco da Gama have lost all five of their away games in the league so far.
Correct score prediction: Sao Paulo 2-1 Vasco da Gama
While neither of these teams are doing well at the moment and the hosts are also dealing with more than a few injuries, we can see them getting a narrow win over Vasco da Gama.
The guests have lost all of their away games in the league this season, so we wouldn't be surprised to see it again in this match.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sao Paulo favoured by the bookies
- HOME: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at these Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama odds, we can see that the hosts are the expected winners and by a bigger margin than what we expected to see.
Yes, we expected Sao Paulo to be the favourites, but they are in poor form, just like their next opponent. That being said, they are hosting the match and Vasco da Gama have struggled mightily when playing away from home this season.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Sao Paulo with the advantage
In the last five meetings between these teams, we saw Sao Paulo win three times, along with one draw and one win for Vasco da Gama. Meanwhile, Sao Paulo are also ahead when it comes to their overall H2H record: 23-11-11.
Brazil Serie A 17/10/24
Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A 23/06/24
Vasco da Gama
Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 07/10/23
Vasco da Gama
Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 20/05/23
Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Copa do Brasil 05/08/21
Vasco da Gama
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo preview: Struggling to deal with injuries
With three losses in their last four league matches and 12 points total from 11 games, Sao Paulo didn't have the best start of the season and they currently sit in 13th place in the Serie A standings. On the bright side, they have done much better in Copa Libertadores, where they finished first in their group.
Sao Paulo have a long list of absentees due to injuries, which includes the likes of Jonathan Calleri, Ruan Tressoldi, Lucas Moura, Igor Vinicius, Oscar, and Luiz Gustavo. On top of that, Rodriguinho is suspended for this game.
Predicted lineup: Rafael (GK), Soares, Arboleda, Sabino, Wendell, Bobadilla, Maia, Francisco, Ferreira, Diaz & Luciano
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Palmeiras
1
Sao Paulo
0
Copa Libertadores 06/05/25
W
Alianza Lima
0
Sao Paulo
2
Brazil Serie A 03/05/25
D
Fortaleza
0
Sao Paulo
0
Copa do Brasil 30/04/25
W
Nautico
1
Sao Paulo
2
Brazil Serie A 26/04/25
D
Ceara
1
Sao Paulo
1
Vasco da Gama preview: Hoping for their first away points
Just like their next opponent, Vasco da Gama have also struggled this season and have just 10 points from 11 matches. They've lost five of their last six games in Serie A and all five of their away games so far.
Guilherme Estrella, David, and Dimitri Payet are all out with injuries at the moment.
Predicted lineup: Jardim (GK), Piton, Freitas, Victor, Henrique, Tche Tche, Jair, Coutinho, Moreira, Vegetti & Rayan
Copa Sudamericana 14/05/25
L
Lanus
1
Vasco da Gama
0
Brazil Serie A 10/05/25
L
Vitoria
2
Vasco da Gama
1
Copa Sudamericana 07/05/25
L
Academia Puerto Cabello
4
Vasco da Gama
1
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
L
Palmeiras
1
Vasco da Gama
0
Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
D
Operario PR
1
Vasco da Gama
1