Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo prediction, odds & betting tips 23/06/2024

Vasco da Gama will host Sao Paulo at Estádio São Januário this weekend, as both teams contend with each other for three valuable points. View our free Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo predictions below.

Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo predictions: Visitors to emerge victorious

Key stats

  • Vasco Da Game are currently on a four-match winless run (D1, L3).
  • On the other hand, Sao Paulo lost just once in their last 14 games across all competitions (W9, D3).
  • Sao Paulo have no losses in the last five clashes between these teams (W3, D2).
  • Vasco da Gama's last three, and six of Sao Paulo’s last seven matches featured less than three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Botafogo are clear favourites

  • Vasco da Gama: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • Sao Paulo: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Although Sao Paulo lost to Cuiaba a couple of days ago, that was their first defeat in 14 games. Luis Zubeldia's men won nine of those 14 matches, with four draws. In contrast, Vasco da Gama suffered three defeats in their last four games.

With that in mind, Sao Paulo are the expected winners at 6/5 (2.20). Teams with these odds usually have a 45.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo predictions.

Additionally, Vasco da Gama failed to score in their last three matches, while Sao Paulo kept five clean sheets in their last seven games.

On that note, BTTS – no has an appealing look at 7/10 (1.70). That one has a 58.8% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Vasco da Gama's woes set to continue?

The last time Vasco da Gama defeated Sao Paulo was in August 2020. These teams clashed five times since then, and Sao Paulo have three wins and two draws.

Brazil Serie A 07/10/23

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Brazil Serie A 20/05/23

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

4
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Copa do Brasil 05/08/21

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Copa do Brasil 29/07/21

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0

Brazil Serie A 22/11/20

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1

Team news and form guide

Vasco da Gama: Hoping to snap their rotting streak

Victor Luis received a straight red for fouling the last man in Vasco da Gama's 2-0 loss at Juventude earlier this week, so he will not be available for selection. Dimitri Payet, Robert Rojas, Bruno Praxedes and Paulinho Paula are still in the recovery room.

Predicted lineup: Jardim (GK), Luis, Leo, Maicon, Henrique, Gabriel, Galdames, Adson, Pedro, Rossi & Clayton.

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

L

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

W

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

W

Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

Internacional

Internacional

1

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 03/07/24

W

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Sao Paulo: Looking to get back to winning ways

Sao Paulo have four players away on international duty, while Alisson will serve a one-game suspension after accumulating maximum yellows. Rafinha is recovering from a broken leg, while Joao Moreira and Pablo Maia are ruled out with thigh injuries.

Predicted lineup: Jandrei (GK), Vinicius, Arboleda, Costa, Welington, Galoppo, Ferreira, Rato, Luciano, Araujo & Calleri.

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

D

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

W

Gremio

Gremio

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 12/07/24

L

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 06/07/24

W

Bragantino

Bragantino

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

W

Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Player to watch: Lucas Moura

Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo predictions
Lucas Moura scored in four of his last six games. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Lucas Moura did not start in Sao Paulo's loss to Cuiaba earlier this week; and while he was on the field for about 30 minutes, he was unable to get on the scoresheet. However, it's worth mentioning that the former PSG and Tottenham midfielder scored in four of his last six games. He is Sao Paulo's go-to penalty taker, and will be eager to get back to scoring ways.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives