This weekend two teams that are hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone go head-to-head in the Allsvenskan as Varnamo play host to Goteborg.
The only thing separating these two sides is their goal difference with Varnamo sitting one place above their guests.
Sunday's hosts won both meetings between these two clubs in 2023 but we are expecting a very close and competitive 90 minutes at the Finnvedsvallen.
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Varnamo vs Goteborg prediction: A low-scoring 90 minutes on the cards?
Key Stats
- Under 2.5 goals have been produced in four of Goteborg's last five competitive and non-competitive matches.
- Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings between these two clubs.
- Varnamo have only failed to score in one of their last six league games.
Correct score prediction: Varnamo 1-1 Goteborg
Varnamo are unbeaten in their last two games against Goteborg but Sunday's hosts have failed to win any of their six home games in the Allsvenskan this season.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Goteborg the slight favourite
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Goteborg are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 40%, but we are expecting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the two clubs.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Last five H2Hs: Level pegging
The last five league meetings between Varnamo and Goteborg have produced one draw, two wins and two defeats for each side.
When these two sides last locked horns back in October, the hosts Varnamo claimed a 3-1 victory despite Goteborg taking the lead early on.
Sweden Allsvenskan 10/08/24
IFK Goteborg
IFK Varnamo
Sweden Allsvenskan 23/10/23
IFK Varnamo
IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan 02/04/23
IFK Goteborg
IFK Varnamo
Sweden Allsvenskan 06/11/22
IFK Varnamo
IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan 03/04/22
IFK Goteborg
IFK Varnamo
Varnamo preview: Yet to win at home this season
Varnamo played host to Mjallby last time out and got off to the worst possible start.
Mjallby opened the scoring inside the first minute and went on to double their advantage in the 64th minute.
Varnamo's top goalscorer Johnbosco Kalu pulled a goal back in the 73rd minute but Mjallby held out to win the game 2-1.
Predicted lineup: Rasheed (GK), Winsth, Lohikangas, Bergh, Larsson, Hasić, Wenderson, Adjei, Engvall, Zeljkovic & Kalu
Sweden Allsvenskan 29/09/24
D
Djurgarden
1
IFK Varnamo
1
Sweden Allsvenskan 25/09/24
D
Mju00e4llby AIF
1
IFK Varnamo
1
Sweden Allsvenskan 22/09/24
W
Vasteras SK
0
IFK Varnamo
2
Sweden Allsvenskan 15/09/24
L
Kalmar FF
3
IFK Varnamo
1
Sweden Allsvenskan 31/08/24
L
AIK
1
IFK Varnamo
0
Goteborg preview: One point from last three away trips
Goteborg had the home advantage against Elfsborg in their last league game where one goal proved enough to decide the destination of all three points.
Gustaf Norlin scored his second goal of the campaign in the 34th minute to hand the hosts the lead and the Goteborg defence held firm to see out a 1-0n victory.
That result allowed Goteborg to close the gap on Sunday's hosts Varnamo with both teams now on 14 points from 12 league games.
Predicted lineup: Bishesari (GK), Wendt, Svensson, Hausner, Santos, Ohlsson, Þórðarson, Kåhed, Carlén, Norlin & Pettersson
Sweden Allsvenskan 30/09/24
W
GAIS
0
IFK Goteborg
2
Sweden Allsvenskan 26/09/24
D
Vasteras SK
1
IFK Goteborg
1
Sweden Allsvenskan 23/09/24
D
Halmstad
1
IFK Goteborg
1
Sweden Allsvenskan 15/09/24
D
BK Hacken
3
IFK Goteborg
3
Sweden Allsvenskan 01/09/24
L
Hammarby
1
IFK Goteborg
0
Player to Watch – Johnbosco Kalu
Varnamo striker Johnbosco Kalu has impressed in 2024 and looks set to reach double figures in the Allsvenskan for the first time.
Will Kalu continue his good run of form in front of goal against Goteborg?
The 26-year-old Nigerian forward has top scores for Varnamo this season with five goals in just eight appearances in the league and his recent good form has seen him move from bench warmer to important first-team player.
With each of his five goals arriving in his last five outings in the Allsvenskan, you can see why Kalu is our player to watch when Varnamo take on Goteborg this weekend.
