There’s a derby in the Valencian region of Spain on Saturday. Our Villarreal vs Valencia prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the struggling visitors can get a result.
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Villarreal vs Valencia prediction: Perez to strike in home win
Key stats
- Our Villarreal vs Valencia betting tips take into account that both teams have scored in 82% of matches at the Estadi Ceramica this term.
- 55% of Valencia’s away games have seen both teams score.
- Los Che are winless on the road in the league this term, averaging just 0.36 points per game.
Correct score prediction: Villarreal 2-1 Valencia
Both sides are in reasonably good form heading into this, but all of Valencia’s recent victories have come at home.
They have made some positive steps under Carlos Corberan, but Villarreal have significantly more quality, and they are scoring freely, so a home win looks very probable here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Villarreal the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the clear favourites according to the Villarreal vs Valencia odds, with an implied probability of 66.7% that they win this match.
They head into this one after winning 2-1 at Las Palmas last time out, with Alex Baena and Ayoze Perez scoring.
As for Valencia, they were 2-0 victors at home to Leganes in their last match, with Cristhian Mosquera and Mouctar Diakhaby grabbing the goals.
For more from the upcoming games in Europe, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Home advantage normally key
Our Villarreal vs Valencia prediction suggests the Yellow Submarine can make it six straight home victories against their regional rivals.
None of the last 14 league meetings between the clubs have been won by the side playing away.
Spain La Liga 31/08/24
Valencia
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 17/03/24
Villarreal
Valencia
Spain La Liga 02/01/24
Valencia
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 03/05/23
Valencia
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 31/12/22
Villarreal
Valencia
Villarreal preview: Moreno sidelined again
Injury-prone Gerard Moreno is out again for the home team. Ilias Akhomach, Alfonso Pedraza and Kike Femenia are also likely to miss the game due to injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Conde (GK), Cardona, Kambwala, Foyth, Navarro, Baena, Parejo, Gueye, Pino, Barry & A. Perez
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Girona 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Osasuna 2 Villarreal 4 Spain La Liga 27/04/25
W Espanyol 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
L Celta Vigo 3 Villarreal 0 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
D Real Sociedad 2 Villarreal 2
Valencia preview: Barrenechea serves ban
Aston Villa loanee Enzo Barrenechea is suspended for the away team. Thierry Correia is expected to be their only injury absentee.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Diakhaby, Tarrega, Mosquera, Pepelu, Guerra, Almeida, Rioja, Duro & D. Lopez
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Getafe 0 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Las Palmas 2 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 22/04/25
D Espanyol 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 11/04/25
W Sevilla 0 Valencia 1
Player to watch – Ayoze Perez
It has been a brilliant season so far for Perez. Despite some injury problems, the ex-Newcastle man has scored 10 goals in 16 league appearances.
Ayoze firing in stoppage time
The 31-year old has been a real threat at the end of each half. 50% of his league goals have come in stoppage time, with three in the first half and two after the 90th minute.