Bottom club Valencia go in search of a first league win under Carlos Corberan this Sunday. Our Valencia vs Real Sociedad prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can get it.
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Valencia vs Real Sociedad prediction: Duro to strike in upset
Key stats
- Our Valencia vs Real Sociedad betting tips take into account that only two teams have a worse goalscoring record than La Real’s return of 17 goals in La Liga 2024/25.
- Valencia have lost one out of four so far under Corberan, with that defeat coming against Real Madrid.
- They’ve drawn three of their last four games in La Liga.
Correct score prediction: Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad
This promises to be a tight game, with both sides averaging less than a goal per game in La Liga during the first half of the season.
There have been signs that Corberan is having a positive impact on this Valencia side though. They were much improved at Sevilla last weekend and could just upset what may be a rotated Real Sociedad side ahead of a busy fortnight of European action.
Pre-game odds and win probability: La Real the slight favourites
- HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- AWAY: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Valencia vs Real Sociedad odds with an implied probability of 40.8% that they win this match.
They head into it after a good night in the Copa del Rey, as they saw off Rayo Vallecano 3-1 at home with Sergio Gomez and Mikel Oyarzabal among the scorers.
Valencia were also midweek winners in the cup, seeing off lower league Ourense 2-0 on Tuesday with a much rotated eleven.
For more from the upcoming action, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Tight games the norm
Our Valencia vs Real Sociedad prediction suggests there won’t be many goals in this, and four of the last six meetings have ended with either 0-0 or 1-0 scorelines.
La Real won 1-0 here last term, but they’d gone five without a victory at Mestalla prior to that.
Spain La Liga 28/09/24
Real Sociedad
Valencia
Spain La Liga 16/05/24
Real Sociedad
Valencia
Spain La Liga 27/09/23
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Spain La Liga 25/02/23
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Spain La Liga 06/11/22
Real Sociedad
Valencia
Valencia preview: Three injury concerns
Ruben Baraja has a doubt over Mouctar Diakhaby who is nearing fitness again after a long-term injury. Rafa Mir and Thierry Correia have been ruled out.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Tarrega, Mosquera, Foulquier, Guerra, Barrenechea, Rioja, Almeida, D. Lopez & Duro
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Getafe 0 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Las Palmas 2 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 22/04/25 D Espanyol 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 11/04/25 W Sevilla 0 Valencia 1
Real Sociedad preview: Aramburu serves ban
Right-back Jon Aramburu is suspended for Real Sociedad. They are also missing the injured Arsen Zakharyan and Hamari Traore.
Predicted Lineup: Remiro (GK), J. Lopez, Aguerd, Zubeldia, Elustondo, B. Mendez, Zubimendi, Sucic, S. Gomez, Oyarzabal & Becker
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 L Atletico Madrid 4 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 D Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 L CD Alaves 1 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 20/04/25 D Villarreal 2 Real Sociedad 2 Spain La Liga 12/04/25 L Mallorca 2 Real Sociedad 0
Player to watch – Hugo Duro
No player from these two clubs can better Hugo Duro’s return of five goals in La Liga this season. The Valencia striker has featured in 16 games.
Duro striking either side of the break
The former Getafe player scored two of his five goals in the same game against Betis, in the opening 10 minutes of the second half. He also scored in the 44th minute against Barcelona back on matchday one.