Valencia are bidding to avenge their recent hammering at the Estadi Olimpic, in the Copa del Rey this Thursday. Our Valencia vs Barcelona prediction considers whether they can spring a surprise at Mestalla.
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Valencia vs Barcelona prediction: Raphinha to strike in road win
Key stats
- Our Valencia vs Barcelona betting tips take into account that six of the Catalan team’s last seven games have seen both teams score.
- It’s seven wins and two draws for Barca, from their nine matches so far in 2025.
- Six of Valencia’s last nine matches have seen both teams score.
Correct score prediction: Valencia 1-3 Barcelona
Valencia’s overall form has picked up a bit since the appointment of Carlos Corberan. However, they were still hammered 7-1 when these sides met the weekend before last.
With home advantage, and a few more Los Che players available, this should be closer. The gulf in quality is still likely to be evident though, and it’s a game Barca should win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the clear favourites
- HOME: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- AWAY: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Valencia vs Barcelona odds, with an implied probability of 69.2% that they win this match.
They head into this game after a 1-0 home win over Alaves, with Robert Lewandowski netting the only goal.
As for Valencia, they also picked up a vital home victory at the weekend, with Javi Guerra and Luis Rioja on target against Celta Vigo in a 2-1 triumph.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Barca the dominant force
Our Valencia vs Barcelona prediction suggests this will go the same way as most of the recent meetings, with eight of the last nine clashes serving up wins for the Catalan giants.
The last three meetings have seen Barca win and both teams score.
Spain La Liga 26/01/25
Barcelona
Valencia
Spain La Liga 17/08/24
Valencia
Barcelona
Spain La Liga 29/04/24
Barcelona
Valencia
Spain La Liga 16/12/23
Valencia
Barcelona
Spain La Liga 05/03/23
Barcelona
Valencia
Valencia preview: Corberan unlikely to change much
Thierry Correia is the only definite injury absentee for the home team. There may only be one or two changes from the weekend lineup.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Foulquier, Tarrega, Mosquera, Gaya, Guerra, Pepelu, Fran Perez, Almeida, Rioja & Duro
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Getafe 0 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Las Palmas 2 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 22/04/25 D Espanyol 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 11/04/25 W Sevilla 0 Valencia 1
Barcelona preview: Four likely to be missing for the visitors
Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Andreas Christensen and Marc Bernal are out injured for the away team. Dani Olmo is also a major doubt. Some light rotation is possible.
Predicted Lineup: Pena (GK), Kounde, Cubarsi, Martinez, Balde, Gavi, Casado, De Jong, F. Lopez, Lewandowski & Raphinha
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W Real Madrid 3 Barcelona 4 UEFA Champions League 06/05/25 L Inter Milan 4 Barcelona 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Valladolid 1 Barcelona 2 UEFA Champions League 30/04/25 D Inter Milan 3 Barcelona 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25 W Real Madrid 2 Barcelona 3
Player to watch – Raphinha
It has been a brilliant season so far for Raphinha. The Brazilian has scored 23 goals in 33 games in all competitions for Barca.
Raphinha striking after the break
Mostly operating off the left flank, Raphinha has tended to do more damage after the interval. 65% of his goals in all competitions have come in the second half.