USA and Uruguay will meet in the last round of group stages at Copa America 2024 on Tuesday, 2 July.
Can the USA get the win they need to increase their chances of getting to the next stage or will Uruguay build on their impressive form in this match too? Read our USA vs Uruguay prediction to find that out.
Contents
USA vs Uruguay prediction: Both teams to score in a close duel
Key stats
- Both USA and Uruguay have scored at least once in each of their matches at Copa America so far.
- We saw both teams score in three of the previous four USA's matches across the board.
- The last two duels between USA and Uruguay have ended without winners.
Correct score prediction: USA 1-1 Uruguay
With the last two duels between USA and Uruguay ending in draws, one of which has ended 1-1, we can see that being the case on Tuesday as well.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies without a clear favourite
- HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.00%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.30%
- AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.80%
Looking at these USA vs Uruguay odds, it's clear that the bookmakers expect a close match. That being said, the USA are the expected winners by a small margin.
This is a bit surprising given that Uruguay have been clearly the best team in the group in the first two rounds, but they've also pretty much secured the top spot in the group, while the USA basically have to win this match.
All in all, if you liked our predictions for this match, remember to check out our top betting tips for today as well.
Last five H2Hs: A very close matchup
With two draws, one win for the USA and two for Uruguay, these two teams have been pretty closely matched in their recent duels and if we look at their overall H2H record, we can see that they are tied: 2-4-2.
USA preview: On the brink of elimination
As the hosts of the tournament and with the USA Copa America squad looking good on paper, the United States national team was one of the favourites to at least get out of the group. Things seemed to be going according to those expectations after a win in the first round over Bolivia, but a loss to Panama in the second round puts the USA in a rough spot.
While they can go through with a draw if Panama don't beat Bolivia, or even with a minimal loss if Bolivia don't beat Panama by a huge difference, there is also the possibility that the USA don't get to the next stage with a win, if Panama beats Bolivia and they end up with a better goal difference.
Tim Weah will miss this match through suspension after being sent off against Panama.
Predicted lineup: Horvath (GK), Scally, Richards, Ream, A. Robinson, McKennie, Musah, Reyna, Aaronson, Balogun & Pulisic
CONCACAF Nations League 23/03/25
L
Canada
2
USA
1
CONCACAF Nations League 20/03/25
L
Panama
1
USA
0
International Match 23/01/25
W
Costa Rica
0
USA
3
International Match 18/01/25
W
Venezuela
1
USA
3
CONCACAF Nations League 19/11/24
W
Jamaica
2
USA
4
Uruguay preview: Already in the next stage?
With two wins in their matches against Panama and Bolivia, Uruguay are almost in the next stage already. The only thing that could prevent them getting out of this group is a loss to the USA and Panama beating Bolivia, with both of those teams ending with a better goal difference. However, Uruguay currently have a goal difference of +7, so it would take a miracle for them to end up behind USA and Panama in the end.
Predicted lineup: Rochet (GK), Nandez, R. Araujo, Olivera, Olaza, Ugarte, Valverde, Pellistri, De Arrascaeta, M. Araujo & Nunez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25
D
Bolivia
0
Uruguay
0
South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
L
Argentina
1
Uruguay
0
South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
D
Brazil
1
Uruguay
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24
W
Colombia
2
Uruguay
3
South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24
D
Ecuador
0
Uruguay
0
Player to watch: Christian Pulisic
In a tough situation like this, the USA will look towards their captain and top scorer to help them get the important win, so we're going with Pulisic as our player to watch in this match.
Pulisic looking to improve his tally at Copa America
After notching a goal and assist in the first round against Bolivia, Pulisic was quiet against Panama. Can he find his best form against Uruguay once again?