A place in the semifinal of the CONCACAF Gold Cup will be up for grabs as USA and Costa Rica lock horns at US Bank Stadium on Monday, 30 June 2025.
View our free USA vs Costa Rica predictions below.
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USA vs Costa Rica predictions: One team to blank
Key stats
- At least one team failed to score in 10 of the last 11 meetings between these sides.
- Costa Rica suffered five defeats in their last six meetings with USA.
- There were fewer than 11 corners in seven of USA’s last eight clashes with Costa Rica.
Correct score prediction: USA 2-0 Costa Rica
Costa Rica are currently on a five-match unbeaten run, with wins against Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, Suriname, and Dominican Republic. Although they held their own against Mexico, Miguel Herrera's troops did not register a single shot on target in that game.
Compared to the teams Costa Rica have beaten in recent weeks, the USMNT will be a bigger fish to fry. The co-hosts had a perfect group stage campaign, scoring eight goals and conceding only once.
Interestingly, USA won five of the last six meetings between these teams, keeping four clean sheets in the process.
Pre-game odds and win probability: USA are clear favourites
- HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ahead of this encounter, USA are the expected winners at 4/7 (1.57). Teams with these odds generally have a 63.6% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our USA vs Costa Rica predictions.
We have also established that BTTS – No occurred in 10 of the last 11 meetings between these outfits. On that note, BTTS – No has an appealing look at 7/10 (1.70). That one has a 58.8% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: A one-sided affair
These teams last met in a friendly in January, where the USMNT won 3-0. Costa Rica have struggled against the United States in recent years, with one win and five defeats in the last six clashes between these sides.
International Match 23/01/25
USA
Costa Rica
North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 31/03/22
Costa Rica
USA
Central America - World Cup Qualifying 14/10/21
USA
Costa Rica
International Match 10/06/21
USA
Costa Rica
International Match 01/02/20
USA
Costa Rica
USMNT preview: A clean bill of health
The USMNT took care of business in the group phase of the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup by finishing top of Group D with victories over Trinidad & Tobago, Saudi Arabia, and Haiti.
Nonetheless, there is still work left to do as the tournament narrows into the knockout stages, and the pursuit of an eighth title takes its first stern test here.
Mauricio Pochettino will be pleased to have no injury troubles ahead of this meeting. No changes are expected from his last lineup, as Patrick Agyemang continues upfront as the hitman, while Quin Sullivan, Malik Tillman and Brenden Aaronson offer creativity from the midfield and flanks.
Predicted lineup: Freese (GK), Freeman, Richards, Ream, Tolkin, Adams, Torre, Sullivan, Tillman, Aaronson & Agyemang.
CONCACAF Nations League 23/03/25
L
Canada
2
USA
1
CONCACAF Nations League 20/03/25
L
Panama
1
USA
0
International Match 23/01/25
W
Costa Rica
0
USA
3
International Match 18/01/25
W
Venezuela
1
USA
3
CONCACAF Nations League 19/11/24
W
Jamaica
2
USA
4
Costa Rica preview: Eyeing their biggest win in over two years
Costa Rica rounded out their group stage campaign with a goalless draw against Mexico after recording wins over Suriname and Dominican Republic, but could only finish second due to an inferior goal difference.
Coach Miguel Herrera was able to keep the Mexicans at bay, as his five-man backline proved to be a tough wall to break through. Herrera is a strict adherent to the 5-3-2 formation that consistently occupies central territory, with forward-running midfielders supporting the two forwards.
While it is expected that Los Ticos will lie deep in their own half, they won't shy away from taking calculated risks, as this could be a game plan that helps knock their much-established opponents out of the competition.
With the influential Keylor Navas in goal stopping everything that comes his way, Manfred Ugalde and Alonso Martinez upfront could have the confidence needed to finish chances as they come.
Predicted lineup: Navas (GK), J. Mora, Calvo, Vargas, Mitchell, C. Mora, Aguilera, Galo, Alcocer, Ugalde & Martinez.
CONCACAF Gold Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
W
Belize
1
Costa Rica
6
CONCACAF Gold Cup Qualifying 22/03/25
W
Belize
0
Costa Rica
7
International Match 23/01/25
L
USA
3
Costa Rica
0
CONCACAF Nations League 19/11/24
D
Panama
2
Costa Rica
2
CONCACAF Nations League 15/11/24
L
Panama
1
Costa Rica
0
Player to watch: Patrick Agyemang
Patrick Agyemang scored the winner in USA's 2-1 victory over Haiti, ensuring his team qualified from Group D with a perfect record. The Charlotte FC forward has been in sensational form, scoring seven goals and providing an assist in his last 10 appearances for club and country. It will be interesting to see how he perform on Monday.