Brazil are back in 2026 World Cup qualifying action this week. Our Brazil vs Uruguay prediction considers whether either of these sides can claim all the points.
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Brazil vs Uruguay prediction: Score draw with Raphinha on target
Key stats
- Our Brazil vs Uruguay betting tips take into account that five of Uruguay’s last eight internationals have ended level.
- Uruguay have only lost four of their 20 matches since the start of the 2023/24 season.
- There have been six draws in Brazil’s last 12 fixtures.
Correct score prediction: Brazil 2-2 Uruguay
Uruguay were involved in a five goal thriller last week and with Marcelo Bielsa at the helm, they will fancy their chances of attacking this Brazilian side and causing some problems for their hosts.
Brazil haven’t been in great form and with Uruguay already getting good results in Argentina and Colombia in this campaign, they could leave with a point.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Brazil the clear favourites
- HOME: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Brazil vs Uruguay odds with an implied probability of 60.6% that they win this match.
They head into this following a 1-1 draw away to Venezuela on Thursday, with Raphinha on target.
As for Uruguay, they defeated Colombia 3-2 last time out, with Manuel Ugarte netting the winner deep into Stoppage Time.
For more from the upcoming matches in South America, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Brazil gunning for revenge
Our Brazil vs Uruguay prediction suggests the visitors can get a good result again, having won the reverse fixture 2-0 last year. They also triumphed on penalties when the sides met at Copa America in the summer.
Uruguay have never previously won a World Cup qualifier in Brazil though, in six attempts.
Copa America 07/07/24
Uruguay
Brazil
South America - World Cup Qualifying 18/10/23
Uruguay
Brazil
South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/21
Brazil
Uruguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 17/11/20
Uruguay
Brazil
International Match 16/11/18
Brazil
Uruguay
Brazil preview: Vanderson serves a ban
The home team are set to be without the suspended Vanderson after his booking in Venezuela. Danilo should replace him, while Alisson, Eder Militao and Rodrygo remain sidelined.
Predicted Lineup: Ederson (GK), Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Abner, Bruno Guimares, Gerson, Savio, Raphinha, Vinicius Junior & I. Jesus
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25 L Argentina 4 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25 W Colombia 1 Brazil 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24 D Uruguay 1 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24 D Venezuela 1 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24 W Peru 0 Brazil 4
Uruguay preview: Few changes expected
After an impressive win over Colombia, Uruguay could stick with the same eleven, although Ugarte is an alternative option after his later winner off the bench in that game.
Predicted Lineup: Rochet (GK), Nandez, Gimenez, Olivera, Saracchi, Bentancur, Valverde, Pellistri, Aguirre, Araujo & Nunez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25 D Bolivia 0 Uruguay 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25 L Argentina 1 Uruguay 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24 D Brazil 1 Uruguay 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24 W Colombia 2 Uruguay 3 South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24 D Ecuador 0 Uruguay 0
Player to watch – Raphinha
It has been an incredible 2024/25 season so far for Raphinha, with the former Leeds man Brazil’s biggest threat right now. He has excelled in club colours too, with 12 goals and eight assists so far this term for Barcelona in 17 appearances.
Raphinha outshining Vinicius
While Vinicius is largely seen as the golden boy of Brazilian football right now, his record in international colours is not great with only five goals in 36 international appearances. Raphinha has netted four in his last five, to improve his record to 10 goals in 30 matches for his country.