Uruguay and Brazil meet in the pick of the quarter-finals at Copa America 2024. Our Uruguay vs Brazil prediction looks at whether Marcelo Bielsa’s side can send the giants packing.
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Uruguay vs Brazil prediction: Nuñez to fire La Celeste through
Key stats
- Our Uruguay vs Brazil betting tips take into account an impressive tournament so far from La Celeste who average 3.0 goals per game.
- Uruguay were the top scorer and also boasted the joint second-best defensive record in the group phase, conceding just once.
- It’s just three wins in 11 matches for Brazil who are in the midst of a really difficult period.
Correct score prediction: Uruguay 2-0 Brazil
Brazil are missing key man Vinicius Junior and did not ignite in the group phase, drawing two of their three matches. Uruguay are looking really sharp under Bielsa and will also take confidence from their recent World Cup qualifying win over this opposition.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Little to choose between the teams
- URUGUAY: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- BRAZIL: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Brazil are still the slight favourites according to the Uruguay vs Brazil odds with an implied probability of 38.5% that they win this quarter-final in regulation time.
They come into this match after a 1-1 draw against Colombia in a game that saw Raphinha score but Dorival Junior’s register just seven attempts as they missed out on top spot in the group.
Uruguay meanwhile made it three wins from three in Group C by seeing off the USA 1-0 thanks to a Mathias Oliveira strike.
For more of the latest picks, our free football betting tips feature some of the best options from this week’s action.
Last five H2Hs: Uruguay targeting back-to-back wins
Our Uruguay vs Brazil prediction suggests we could get a repeat of a 2-0 win for La Celeste in a 2024 World Cup qualifier back in October. Brazil had won all of the previous four meetings, though.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 18/10/23
Uruguay
Brazil
South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/21
Brazil
Uruguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 17/11/20
Uruguay
Brazil
International Match 16/11/18
Brazil
Uruguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 23/03/17
Uruguay
Brazil
Uruguay preview: Araujo nursing head injury
The only notable doubt for Uruguay is over winger Maximiliano Araujo, who was forced off with a head injury last time out, but he’s still hoping to start.
Predicted Lineup: Rochet (GK), Viña, Olivera, Ronald Araujo, Nandez, Valverde, Ugarte, Maximiliano Araujo, Cruz, Pellistri, Nuñez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24 D Venezuela 0 Uruguay 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 06/09/24 D Paraguay 0 Uruguay 0 International Match 01/09/24 D Guatemala 1 Uruguay 1 Copa America 14/07/24 W Canada 2 (3) Uruguay 2 (4) Copa America 11/07/24 L Colombia 1 Uruguay 0
Brazil preview: Huge selection blow adds to tough task
While Vinicius Junior hasn’t always produced his best football in a Brazil shirt, it’s still a huge blow that he’s missing here due to suspension, with Savio expected to start on the left flank as a result.
Predicted Lineup: Alisson (GK), Wendell, Marquinhos, Militao, Danilo, Gomes, Guimares, Savio, Paqueta, Raphinha, Rodrygo
South America - World Cup Qualifying 11/09/24 L Paraguay 1 Brazil 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 07/09/24 W Ecuador 0 Brazil 1 Copa America 07/07/24 L Uruguay 0 (4) Brazil 0 (2) Copa America 03/07/24 D Colombia 1 Brazil 1 Copa America 29/06/24 W Paraguay 1 Brazil 4 
Player to watch – Darwin Nuñez
Liverpool striker Darwin Nuñez has been one of the outstanding forwards at this tournament. He has registered two goals in 262 minutes of action at Copa America 2024.
Nuñez firing in plenty of shots
As is the norm for the striker, Nuñez is having plenty of shots. His average of 4.3 shots per game is the second-highest in the tournament behind Paraguay’s Julio Enciso.
