Bolivia will host Uruguay in the upcoming round of the South American World Cup qualifiers on Tuesday, 25 March.
Will the host be able to get the important points in front of their fans or will Uruguay prove they're the better team in this match? Find that out and more from our Bolivia vs Uruguay prediction below.
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Bolivia vs Uruguay prediction: La Celeste to win again
Key Stats
- Bolivia are winless in their last four games in the qualifiers, three of which they've lost.
- Eight of the previous 10 meetings between Bolivia and Uruguay have gone over 2.5 total goals.
- Bolivia have gone over 2.5 total goals in their last four games in a row.
Correct score prediction: Bolivia 1-3 Uruguay
While Bolivia have a unique advantage when playing at home due to high altitude, we don't see that being enough for them to avoid a loss against Uruguay.
Uruguay are the better team, in better form, and has been beating Bolivia regularly lately, so we expect the guests to get all three points on Tuesday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bolivia the more likely winners
- HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.50%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.30%
- AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.40%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at the Bolivia vs Uruguay odds, we can see that the bookies see the hosts as the expected winners, although not by a huge margin.
Still, this was a bit surprising to us considering Bolivia's recent form and the fact that Uruguay are seven points ahead in the standings in South American WC qualifiers.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Uruguay dominate
Uruguay have won four of their last five duels with Bolivia, so they've clearly been the better team lately. In fact, Uruguay have a clear advantage even if we look at the overall H2H record between these two teams: 32-8-8.
Copa America 28/06/24
Uruguay
Bolivia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/11/23
Uruguay
Bolivia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/21
Bolivia
Uruguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/21
Uruguay
Bolivia
Copa America 24/06/21
Bolivia
Uruguay
Bolivia preview: Catching the last train for direct qualification?
With five rounds left in the World Cup qualifiers, Bolivia are six points behind the first team in a spot that leads to direct qualification, but with three losses in their last four games, Bolivia's chances of catching up with them aren't high.
That being said, Bolivia are seventh in the standings right now and if they can stay there come the end of the qualifiers, they'll have a chance to chase their spot at the World Cup 2026 through the intercontinental playoffs.
Henry Vaca and Jeyson Chura will once again remain out of contention with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Viscarra (GK), Medina, Haquin, Morales, Sagredo, Villamil, Robson Matheus, R. Vaca, Miguelito, Algaranaz & Fernandez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25
D
Uruguay
0
Bolivia
0
South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
L
Peru
3
Bolivia
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24
D
Paraguay
2
Bolivia
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/11/24
L
Ecuador
4
Bolivia
0
South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24
L
Argentina
6
Bolivia
0
Uruguay preview: Close to clinching their World Cup spot
After 13 rounds in South American WC qualifiers, Uruguay sit in fourth place in the standings with 20 points, seven more than their next opponent Bolivia, who are in the seventh place in the table, which leads to the intercontinental playoffs. That being said, Uruguay have only one win in their last seven games in the qualifiers, so their form has been shaky lately.
When it comes to team news, Uruguay are currently without injured Giorgian De Arrascaeta.
Predicted lineup: Rochet (GK), Varela, R. Araujo, Gimenez, Olivera, Valverde, Bentancur, Nandez; B. Rodriguez, Nunez & M. Araujo
South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25
D
Bolivia
0
Uruguay
0
South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
L
Argentina
1
Uruguay
0
South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
D
Brazil
1
Uruguay
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24
W
Colombia
2
Uruguay
3
South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24
D
Ecuador
0
Uruguay
0
Player to watch: Darwin Nunez
With five goals in these WC qualifiers, Nunez is only behind Messi when it comes to the top scorers in the entire group. So, we expect to see another good performance from the Liverpool's forward against Bolivia.
