Uruguay vs Bolivia prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/06/2024

Uruguay top Group C after the first round of fixtures thanks to a 3-1 victory over Panama and Marcelo Bielsa's side will be looking to secure qualification for the knockout round with a game to spare by beating Bolivia on Friday.

Antônio Carlos Zago's men lost 2-0 in their opener against the USA and their heavily home-based squad simply have to get something out of the Uruguay game or risk being eliminated from the Copa America with a game to spare.

Uruguay vs Bolivia prediction: La Celeste to win again

Key Stats

  • Uruguay have won 13 of their last 20 games against Bolivia.
  • La Celeste have kept three clean sheets in their last five wins against Bolivia.
  • Uruguay have scored at least three goals in three of their last six outings, while Bolivia have conceded exactly three goals in four of their last six matches.
  • Darwin Núñez opened his 2024 Copa America account against Panama and will be looking to add to his 12 international goals in 24 caps on Friday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against Bolivia

  • HOME: 2/13 (1.15) – 86.7%
  • DRAW: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
  • AWAY: 20/1 (21.00) – 4.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Uruguay are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 86.7%, and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Uruguay dominate

Uruguay have won four and lost one of their last five encounters with Bolivia, claiming a 3-0 victory when the pair last locked horns in November.

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/11/23

Uruguay

Uruguay

3
Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/21

Bolivia

Bolivia

3
Uruguay

Uruguay

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/21

Uruguay

Uruguay

4
Bolivia

Bolivia

2

Copa America 24/06/21

Bolivia

Bolivia

0
Uruguay

Uruguay

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 11/10/17

Uruguay

Uruguay

4
Bolivia

Bolivia

2

Uruguay preview: Looking like contenders

Uruguay secured the three points everyone expected them to against Panama on matchday one, winning the game by three goals to one.

Darwin Nunez scored one of the goals for Marcelo Bielsa's side and the Liverpool striker looks to be coming into good form for La Celeste at the perfect time.

The 25-year-old striker netted a hat trick in Uruguay's final warm-up game against Mexico and is one of the contenders for the Golden Boot award at the 2024 Copa America.

Predicted lineup: Rochet (GK), Olivera, Araujo, Viña, de Arrascaeta, Nández, Valverde, Ugarte, Araújo, Pellistri & Núñez

South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24

D

Venezuela

Venezuela

0

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 06/09/24

D

Paraguay

Paraguay

0

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

International Match 01/09/24

D

Guatemala

Guatemala

1

Uruguay

Uruguay

1

Copa America 14/07/24

W

Canada

Canada

2 (3)

Uruguay

Uruguay

2 (4)

Copa America 11/07/24

L

Colombia

Colombia

1

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Bolivia preview: Lack a decent goal threat

Bolivia lost 2-0 in their opening game of the 2024 Copa America against the host nation USA, offering very little going forward.

Marcelo Martins, Bolivia's all-time top goalscorer retired from international football in 2023 following a successful period as his nation's best player and the current crop of strikers don't appear to be of the same ilk with current number nine César Menacho yet to score in any of his five caps.

Predicted lineup: Viscarra (GK), José Sagredo, Jesús Sagredo, Haquín, Fernández, Medina, Saucedo, Justiniano, Villamíl, Miranda & Menacho

South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24

W

Chile

Chile

1

Bolivia

Bolivia

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/24

W

Venezuela

Venezuela

0

Bolivia

Bolivia

4

Copa America 02/07/24

L

Panama

Panama

3

Bolivia

Bolivia

1

Copa America 28/06/24

L

Uruguay

Uruguay

5

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Copa America 23/06/24

L

USA

USA

2

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Player to watch – Darwin Nunez

Darwin Nunez has only made 24 appearances for Uruguay despite being aged 25 and making his international debut in 2019 but the Liverpool striker has impressed with 12 goals for his country.

Darwin Nunez player to watch
Uruguay forward Darwin Núñez celebrates a goal against Panama – Photo by Icon Sport

Nunez played 54 games across all competitions for Liverpool last season, netting 18 goals, and has a record for scoring one in every three games for the Premier League club.

Nunez will be hoping to top score at the 2024 Copa America

We're backing Nunez to take his chances against Bolivia on Friday, helping to secure Uruguay's place in the knockout stage with a game to spare.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things