🔥 Our Hot tip

Monterrey to win by 1 goal

Only one of Monterrey’s last six matches has been settled by more than a single goal.

Monterrey are targeting a place in the knockout stage of the Club World Cup. Our Urawa Red Diamonds vs Monterrey prediction considers whether they can see off Japanese opposition in Pasadena.

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Monterrey prediction: Mexicans to edge tight game

Key stats

  • Our Urawa Red Diamonds vs Monterrey betting tips take into account that five of the last eight games involving the Mexican side have ended with two or fewer goals.
  • Urawa have only won one of their last six matches in all competitions.
  • Four of their last five defeats have come by one-goal margins.

Correct score prediction: Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Monterrey

Urawa gave a good account of themselves last time out against Inter, but they are still out of this Club World Cup after losing both matches so far.

This is their best chance of getting a result, but Monterrey will be highly motivated. They’ve defended well to draw their opening two fixtures and while they are not a free-scoring side, Los Albiazules look capable of edging this.

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Pre-game odds and win probability: Monterrey the odds-on favourites

  • URAWA: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • MONTERREY: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The side from Mexico are the favourites according to the Urawa Red Diamonds vs Monterrey odds, with an implied probability of 58.8% that they win this match.

They offered very little goal threat in their last game, only having three shots against River Plate, but they hung on for a 0-0 draw.

As for Urawa, their hopes ended after a 2-1 defeat to Inter in a match they actually led for more than an hour after Ryoma Watanabe’s early goal.

For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Clubs set for first meeting

Our Urawa Red Diamonds vs Monterrey prediction suggests the first ever meeting between the clubs will go the way of Domenec Torrent’s side.

Urawa Red Diamonds preview: No major changes expected

We may just see one or two changes from Urawa following elimination, with Taishi Matsumoto and Takahiro Sekine among the leading candidates to come in.

Predicted Lineup: Nishikawa (GK), Ishihara, Boza, Hoibraten, Naganuma, Yasui, Gustafson, Sekine, Matsumoto, Watanabe & Matsuo

Japan J-League 11/05/25

D

Albirex Niigata

Albirex Niigata

1

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

1

Japan J-League 06/05/25

L

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

1

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

0

Japan J-League 03/05/25

W

Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy

0

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

2

Japan J-League 25/04/25

W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

1

Japan J-League 20/04/25

W

Yokohama F-Marinos

Yokohama F-Marinos

1

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

3

Monterrey preview: Rodriguez serves ban

There’ll be one enforced change for the favourites with midfielder Jorge Rodriguez suspended after picking up two bookings. Oliver Torres may come in.

Predicted Lineup: Andrada (GK), Aguirre, Ramos, Medina, Arteaga, Deossa, Torres, Corona, Canales, Ocampos & Berterame

Mexico Liga MX 11/05/25

L

Toluca

Toluca

2

Monterrey

Monterrey

1

Mexico Liga MX 08/05/25

W

Toluca

Toluca

2

Monterrey

Monterrey

3

Mexico Liga MX 05/05/25

W

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

0

Monterrey

Monterrey

2

Mexico Liga MX 28/04/25

L

Pachuca

Pachuca

2

Monterrey

Monterrey

1

Mexico Liga MX 21/04/25

W

Leon

Leon

0

Monterrey

Monterrey

2

Player to watch – Sergio Canales

There are a number of former La Liga players in this Monterrey side, with ex-Betis man Sergio Canales among their star performers. He registered 14 goals and eight assists during the regular 2024/25 Liga MX season, with a further three goals and three assists in play-off matches.

Canales having the most shots for Monterrey

The Spaniard averages 2.0 shots per game at this tournament, more than any of his teammates have managed so far.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.