Union Berlin and St Pauli collide at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei in the German Bundesliga on Friday, 30 August. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.
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Union Berlin vs St Pauli prediction: Goals at both ends anticipated
Key Stats
- Both teams scored in Union Berlin’s first league match against Mainz last weekend.
- St. Pauli failed to score in their opener against Heidenheim, though they lodged an xG of 1.45 in their 2-0 loss.
- Union Berlin had three players booked against Mainz on matchday one.
- Union averaged 1.29 goals per home game in last season’s Bundesliga.
Correct score prediction: Union Berlin 1-1 St Pauli
St Pauli lost their Bundesliga opener at home to Heidenheim, though were a little unlucky having lodged an xG of 1.45 to the 1.07 they conceded. Union Berlin meanwhile, drew 1-1 with Mainz in their first assignment and a similar outcome looks possible on Friday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Union odds-on favourites
- HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Union Berlin drew 1-1 at Mainz in their first Bundesliga outing of the campaign, though they might have to settle for another point at home to St. Pauli, despite being installed as 19/20 favourites to prevail.
Promoted St Pauli’s first game back in the top tier didn’t go to plan, though there were enough promising signs in their performance against Heidenheim to indicate an improved display could be in the offing for the 29/10 underdogs. For more free betting tips for next round of Bundesliga fixtures, check out our football predictions page.
Most recent H2Hs: First tussle since 2022
Union Berlin won a five-goal friendly thriller against St. Pauli when the teams last met in December 2022 and the Iron Ones have won seven of the last eight iterations of this fixture overall.
Europe Friendlies 21/12/22
Union Berlin
St Pauli
Germany DFB Pokal 01/03/22
Union Berlin
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II 04/02/19
St Pauli
Union Berlin
Germany Bundesliga II 26/08/18
Union Berlin
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II 14/04/18
St Pauli
Union Berlin
Union Berlin preview: Trio still injured
Kevin Volland, Yannic Stein and Josip Juranovic are injured for Union Berlin though Ivan Prtajin and Kevin Vogt should shake off knocks in time to play. The Iron Ones opened their account with a 1-1 draw at Mainz last weekend.
Predicted lineup: Ronnow (GK), Doekhi, Vogt, Leite, Trimmel, Khedira, Schafer, Gosens, Tousart, Hollerbach, Siebatcheu
Germany Bundesliga I 30/08/24
W
St Pauli
0
Union Berlin
1
Germany Bundesliga I 24/08/24
D
Mainz
1
Union Berlin
1
Germany DFB Pokal 17/08/24
W
Greifswalder SV 04
0
Union Berlin
1
Elite Club Friendlies 09/08/24
D
Real Sociedad
1
Union Berlin
1
Elite Club Friendlies 03/08/24
L
Lyon
4
Union Berlin
0
St Pauli preview: Visitors could be unchanged
Simon Zoller, Sascha Burchert and Soren Ahlers are in the treatment room for St. Pauli. The newly promoted outfit battled bravely before they were beaten 2-0 at home by Heidenheim last weekend, so don't expect many changes to their XI on Friday.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Mets, Treu, Wagner, Irvine, Metcalfe, Ritzka, Eggestein, Guilavogui
Germany Bundesliga I 30/08/24
L
Union Berlin
1
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 25/08/24
L
Heidenheim
2
St Pauli
0
Germany DFB Pokal 16/08/24
W
Hallescher FC
2
St Pauli
3
Elite Club Friendlies 09/08/24
W
Atalanta
0
St Pauli
3
Europe Friendlies 03/08/24
W
Norwich
1
St Pauli
3
Player to watch – Morgan Guilavogui
Morgan Guilavogui is a new face at St. Pauli this season following his loan switch to the club from Lens this summer and big things are expected of the Guinean attacker this term
Guilavogui targeting first goal
Guilavogui had a disappointing first outing for St. Pauli last weekend when he failed to find the target with any of his three shots against Heidenheim, though the 26-year-old will hope for a more accurate display against Union Berlin on Friday.
