Mainz vs Union Berlin prediction, odds & betting tips 19/01/2024

23/06/24 - 21:25

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Mainz vs Union Berlin prediction, odds & betting tips 19/01/2024

Mainz and Union Berlin clash at the MEWA ARENA in the German Bundesliga on Friday, January 19th. Two of the division’s bottom four sides face off this week when Mainz meet the Iron Ones. Read our Bundesliga predictions and betting tips along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed match preview.

Mainz vs Union Berlin – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Union Berlin Double Chance (4/6)

  • Union Berlin have lost only one of their last five matches in the Bundesliga.
  • Mainz have failed to win six of their seven home games in the German top tier this term.

Both Mainz and Union Berlin are battling against the drop this season, though the visitors have looked stronger since the recent appointment of new manager Nenad Bjelica and they could pick up more points on Friday. The Iron Ones avoided defeat in four of their last five assignments and our first Mainz vs Union Berlin prediction recommends siding with the visitors in the double chance market.

Latest odds

Head to Head

26/02/22

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

Mainz

Mainz

3

1

03/10/21

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Mainz

Mainz

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

2

06/02/21

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Mainz

Mainz

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

0

02/10/20

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

Mainz

Mainz

4

0

27/05/20

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

Mainz

Mainz

1

1

Last Five - Mainz

18/05/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

Mainz

Mainz

1

3

W

11/05/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Mainz

Mainz

0

3

W

05/05/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

Mainz

Mainz

1

1

D

28/04/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Cologne

Cologne

Mainz

Mainz

1

1

D

21/04/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Mainz

Mainz

1

1

D

Last Five - Union Berlin

18/05/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

2

W

11/05/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Cologne

Cologne

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

3

2

L

05/05/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Bochum

Bochum

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

4

3

L

28/04/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Borussia M'gladbach

Borussia M'gladbach

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

0

D

20/04/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

5

1

L

Win probability

  • HOME: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%

Mainz have been named as expected winners on Friday and the probability of a victory for the hosts is currently sitting at 45.5%. Elsewhere, a draw looks like one of the better options in the half time result market at 10/11 (1.91). That outcome comes equipped with an implied probability of 52.4%. You can view more Mainz vs Union Berlin betting tips and predictions below.

Mainz vs Union Berlin prediction – Other tips

Mainz 0-1 Union Berlin: Correct score (15/2)

  • Mainz failed to score in four of their last seven Bundesliga fixtures.
  • Mainz conceded exactly one goal in five of their last six league matches.

Under 2.5 Goals (8/13)

  • 100% of Mainz’s last eight league games have featured under 2.5 goals.
  • Under 2.5 goals also landed in three of Union Berlin’s last five league tussles.

Mainz vs Union Berlin prediction

Mainz vs Union Berlin Team News

Mainz

Jae-Sung Lee is away on international duty while Nelson Weiper is injured and won't be available on Friday either. Stefan Bell meanwhile, will hope to shake off an illness in time to feature. Mainz are just one point off the foot of the Bundesliga table. Both Mainz and Union featured in our Bundesliga relegation predictions article, though the odds have shifted for both teams since that piece’s publication.

Predicted Lineup for Mainz: Zentner – Fernandes, van den Berg, Caci – Kohr, Widmer, Krauß, Papela, Mwene – Onisiwo, Burkardt

Union Berlin

Sheraldo Becker and Rani Khedira are both out injured for Union Berlin while Aissa Laidouni is competing at AFCON and won't be back until next month. Union Berlin picked up a useful point at Freiburg last time out following a tense 0-0 draw.

Predicted Lineup for Union Berlin: Ronnow – Juranovic, Knoche, Vogt, Leite, Roussillon – Haberer, Kral, Aaronson – Volland, Kaufmann

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Make sure to take a gander at our football betting tips page for more top predictions and picks.

Player to Watch – Diogo Leite

Portuguese centre-half Diogo Leite was a standout performer for Union Berlin in the Iron Ones’ draw at Freiburg last week. The 24-year-old completed six clearances in the 0-0 draw during a strong showing at the back and Leite could have just as vital a part to play when Union visit Mainz on Friday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.