Union Berlin vs Mainz prediction, odds & betting tips – 19/01/2025
Union Berlin have been in poor form since the end of the winter break in Germany. (Photo by Imago)
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Under 2.5 total goals

11 of Union Berlin’s 17 Bundesliga fixtures this term have featured under 2.5 goals.

Struggling Union Berlin take on highflying Mainz at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei in the German Bundesliga on Sunday, 19 January. Read our German football predictions for the game below.

Union Berlin vs Mainz prediction: Visitors to avoid defeat?

Key Stats

  • Union Berlin have failed to win each of their last 11 matches in league and cup.
  • 11 of Union Berlin’s 17 Bundesliga fixtures this term have featured under 2.5 goals.
  • Jonathan Burkardt has scored seven times in his last seven appearances for Mainz.
  • Mainz scored once in each of their last four meetings with Union Berlin.

Correct score prediction: Union Berlin 0-1 Mainz

Union Berlin lost both of their first two games after the winter break to nil and little improvement is expected when they meet highflying Mainz. Back the visitors to earn a 1-0 win at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Union Berlin offer little value

  • HOME: 31/20 (2.55) – 39.2%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Union Berlin lost 2-0 to Augsburg in midweek and moved down to 13th position at full time. The Iron Ones are on a rotten run and represent little value at 31/20 to win here.

Mainz were pipped to the points by Bayer Leverkusen (1-0) in midweek, though they won three league fixtures on the trot before that and offer top value at 15/8 to bounce back on Sunday. Check out more of our latest football predictions on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Excitement levels have been low

Union Berlin and Mainz drew each of their last two encounters 1-1, while three of the clubs’ last five meetings overall have featured under 2.5 goals.

Germany Bundesliga I 24/08/24

Mainz

Mainz

1
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

Germany Bundesliga I 07/02/24

Mainz

Mainz

1
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/01/24

Mainz

Mainz

0
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Germany Bundesliga I 20/08/23

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

4
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 04/02/23

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2
Mainz

Mainz

1

Union Berlin preview: Ronnow could miss out again

Frederik Ronnow, Ivan Prajin, Oluwaseun Ogbemudia and Yannic Stein are out of action for Union Berlin while Time Rothe is suspended and won't play having been sent off against Heidenheim. Union are just three points above the drop zone.

Predicted lineup: Schwolow (GK), Trimmel, Doekhi, Leite, Roussillon, Skov, Khedira, Haberer, Wooyoung, Hollerbach, Siebatcheu

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

L

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

3

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

2

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25

D

Bochum

Bochum

1

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

4

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

4

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

D

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Mainz preview: Amiri is back in the fold

Paul Nebel was fit enough to start in midweek, though Gabriel Vidovic is out and could be absent again. Nadiem Amiri is back again from suspension, however. Mainz can move back into the top four with a win over Union Berlin on Sunday.

Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Da Costa, Bell, Jenz, Caci, Sano, Amiri, Mwene, Hyun-Seok, Jae–Sung, Burkardt

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Bochum

Bochum

1

Mainz

Mainz

4

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25

D

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

1

Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

L

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Mainz

Mainz

0

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

Mainz

Mainz

2

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

L

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Mainz

Mainz

0

Player to watch – Nadiem Amiri

Nadiem Amiri returns to the Mainz midfield from suspension this weekend and the 28-year-old’s inclusion should heighten his team’s chances of success at Union Berlin.

Union Berlin vs Mainz prediction
Nadiem Amiri returns from suspension for Mainz this weekend. (Photo by Imago)

Amiri is a key cog for Mainz

Amiri has scored three goals and claimed two assists for Mainz this season, while the schemer has also been averaging 2.10 key passes per game in the Bundesliga. The attacking midfielder’s creativity could be key again on Sunday.

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Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.