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History could be made in the German capital this Saturday afternoon as Union Berlin’s interim head coach looks to secure a momentous Bundesliga victory against Koln.
Marie-Louise Eta shocked the footballing world last month by becoming the first female head coach in Europe’s top five leagues, and she is now looking to break new ground by picking up her first win.
Koln, on the other hand, will be looking to hand Eta her third straight defeat as the Billy Goats aim to create further distance between themselves and the bottom three.
Check out our prediction, preview and betting tips, including the latest odds. If you want more, make sure to visit our ‘Today’s Betting Tips’ page for more expert predictions.
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Union Berlin vs Koln key stats
- Union Berlin have only picked up nine points from their last 14 games.
- Die Eisernen have only managed two home wins from 12 attempts.
- Koln are winless in their last 11 Bundesliga away games.
- The Billy Goats have not endured an away drought of this sort since 2017.
Union Berlin vs Koln: History and survival on the line
| Union Berlin | vs | Koln |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Position (Bundesliga) | 14th |
| 32 | Points | 31 |
| 35 | Goals For | 45 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 13th | Home Rank | 11th |
| 13th | Away Rank | 15th |
Union Berlin’s historic decision to replace Steffen Baumgart with current interim boss Eta created global headlines and generated a lot of positive press.
However, one thing the appointment has failed to deliver is a new manager bounce, with Union extending their winless run in the Bundesliga to five successive games.
Having picked up just four points from their last eight outings, Die Eisernen have plummeted down the standings and are now facing a late relegation battle.
Union Berlin have failed to score a single first-half goal across their last six Bundesliga outings.
With three matches remaining, Union find themselves six points clear of the relegation playoff spot. Meaning safety is within touching distance.
However, the big problem facing Union and Eta is the team’s dire defensive record in recent weeks, which has seen them concede a whopping 13 goals across their last five outings - more than any other Bundesliga side during that time.
Another serious concern is the fact Union will have to rely on third-choice keeper Carl Klaus for the second successive games. This comes after both Frederik Ronnow and Matheo Raab ended up in the physio room with groin and hand injuries.
Similar things could be said about Koln, who are still missing defenders Timo Hubers and Luca Kilian due to ongoing knee problems.
If that was not enough, the Billy Goats are also missing forward Ragnar Ache and suspended midfielder Isak Johannesson.
Eight of Koln’s 16 away Bundesliga goals this season arrived after the 75th minute.
Aside from the injury worries, Koln have seen a significant upswing in form over recent weeks - even going five-matches unbeaten during March and April.
That impressive run was cut short by rivals Bayer Leverkusen in last weekend’s derby, with Koln enduring a painful 2-1 defeat in front of their own supporters.
Losing to Leverkusen did not make a difference in the standings, with Koln still sitting two spots above the relegation playoff spot, holding on to their five point advantage over the bottom three.
Victory this weekend could secure Koln’s Bundesliga status for next season, but winning away from home is something they have not accomplished in 11 straight attempts.
Union Berlin vs Koln form guide & betting tips
| Union Berlin | vs | Koln |
|---|---|---|
| L-D-L-L-L | Form | D-D-W-D-L |
| 1 | Points | 6 |
| 18th | Form Table | 11th |
| 4 | Goals For | 10 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 9 |
| L-D-L-L-L | Form (All Competitions) | D-D-W-D-L |
Whispers predicts: Union Berlin 2-1 Koln
When you take into consideration Union Berlin’s poor run of form and Koln’s dreadful away record, it is enough to turn you off the outright markets.
Instead, both teams to score looks like the smart play given both teams have no problems when it comes to finding the back of the net. This bet is available at around the 7/10 mark.
Over 2.5 goals offers slightly more value at 93/100, and that is also a decent bet given it has landed in four of Union’s last five matches.
Serious betting value can be found in the correct score market, with a 2-1 Union win available at 7/1 with most bookies.
> Over 2.5 goals at 93/100 | Likelihood: Probable
> Both teams to score - Yes at 7/10 | Likelihood: Probable
> Correct Score: Union Berlin 2-1 Koln at 7/1 | Likelihood: Outsider