Ukraine vs Belgium prediction, odds & betting tips – 26/06/2024

With each time picking up one win and suffering one defeat from their opening two games, any one of the four teams in Group E could progress into the Euro 2024 knockout stage.

Belgium were almost at their very best against Romania and could have easily won by more than a two-goal margin, while Ukraine undid some of the damage from matchday one as they came from behind to beat Slovakia 2-1.

Ukraine vs Belgium prediction: Lukaku to get his goal?

Key Stats

  • Belgium have won three of their last four matches across all competitions.
  • Ukraine have lost and conceded exactly three goals in two of their last four fixtures.
  • Romelu Lukaku is Belgium's all-time top goalscorer netting 85 times in 116 caps.
  • Lukaku has had three goals disallowed at Euro 2024 by the smallest margins.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing Belgium

  • HOME: 39/10 (4.90) – 20.4%
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • AWAY: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Belgium are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 57.9%, and it's hard to disagree with the bookmakers on this one.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: First-ever encounter

Ukraine and Belgium go head-to-head on Wednesday evening for the very first time in their history.

Ukraine preview: Restored their reputation against Slovakia

Ukraine were hammered on matchday one by Romania, going down 3-0 in what was one of their worst performances for a long time.

You could have forgiven the Ukraine players for caving under the pressure when Slovakia took the lead after just 17 minutes on Friday. However, despite going in at the break a goal down, Ukraine came out firing on all cylinders in the second half and equalised in the 54th minute through Mykola Shaparenko and then won the game via substitute Roman Yaremchuk's 80th-minute effort.

It's going to be tough to get a result against Belgium but at least the Ukraine are right in their battling for qualification, which is all they would have wanted following the Romania defeat.

Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Zinchenko, Matviienko, Tymchyk, Zabarnyi, Yarmolenko, Shaparenko, Mudryk, Sudakov, Brazhko & Yaremchuk

Euro 2024 26/06/24

D

Belgium

Belgium

0

Ukraine

Ukraine

0

Euro 2024 21/06/24

W

Slovakia

Slovakia

1

Ukraine

Ukraine

2

Euro 2024 17/06/24

L

Romania

Romania

3

Ukraine

Ukraine

0

International Match 11/06/24

W

Moldova

Moldova

0

Ukraine

Ukraine

4

International Match 07/06/24

L

Poland

Poland

3

Ukraine

Ukraine

1

Belgium preview: Could have scored four or five against Romania

Belgium bounced back from their shock defeat against Slovakia to beat Romania 2-0 on Saturday night where, in truth, it could have been a bigger winning margin for the Red Devils.

Yuri Tielemans opened the scoring after just two minutes and in the second half, captain Kevin De Bruyne made sure of the result with a 79th-minute goal.

Romelu Lukaku had another goal disallowed which means he has now had three goals chalked off, each by the narrowest of margins. The big Belgian striker has played well in Germany and will be desperate to open his account at Euro 2024 against Ukraine.

Predicted lineup: Casteels (GK), Vertonghen, Castagne, Faes, Theate, De Bruyne, Tielemans, Onana, Lukaku, Lukébakio & Doku

Euro 2024 01/07/24

L

France

France

1

Belgium

Belgium

0

Euro 2024 26/06/24

D

Ukraine

Ukraine

0

Belgium

Belgium

0

Euro 2024 22/06/24

W

Romania

Romania

0

Belgium

Belgium

2

Euro 2024 17/06/24

L

Slovakia

Slovakia

1

Belgium

Belgium

0

International Match 08/06/24

W

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

0

Belgium

Belgium

3

Player to watch – Romelu Lukaku

Belgium's vice-captain has a fantastic goals-to-games record for his country, netting 85 times in 116 appearances and surely it is only a matter of time before he scores at Euro 2024.

Romelu Lukaku player to watch
Romelu Lukaku had another goal disallowed on matchday two – Photo by Icon Sport

Having already had three goals ruled out in Germany, Lukaku probably won't even bother celebrating should he score against Ukraine on Wednesday due to the bad luck he has suffered so far in this tournament.

Belgium's all-time topscorer has been unlucky in front of goal at Euro 2024

However, we're backing Lukaku to put in another top-class performance on matchday three and believe that this time, he will get his goal against a Ukraine defence that has been less than impressive in their opening two group games.

Potential next opponents

All four teams in Group E have three points at the moment and each of them can finish anywhere from the first place to the last place in the group, based on the results of the last round.

So, there are too many potential outcomes to calculate but we do know that Ukraine aren't guaranteed next round with a draw—if Slovakia and Romania draw too, all teams would finish with four points and Ukraine have the worst goal difference.

In any case, whoever ends up at the top of the group at the end would meet one of the best third-placed teams, excluding teams from groups E and F. They would also end in the “weaker” side of the bracket, avoiding the side with Spain, Germany, Portugal, and France.

The team that finishes second in this group would meet with France in the next round and the team that finishes third would either go up against England or Spain, which will also depend on the results in other groups.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Ukraine

Belgium


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things