Saint-Etienne will take on Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Saturday, 17 May, in a huge match on the final weekend of the season.
The hosts are staring relegation in the face, but all is not lost, yet. A win on Saturday could lift them above Le Havre into 16th position, which would earn them a playoff to stay in the French top flight.
Toulouse, meanwhile, have nothing tangible to play for, but that could make them dangerous opponents for Saint-Etienne.
As part of the final round of Ligue 1 betting tips this season, check out our Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse prediction below.
Contents
Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse prediction: Hosts to do their part
Key stats
- Saint-Etienne have won two of their last three home matches against Toulouse.
- Toulouse have won just one of their last nine Ligue 1 matches.
- Both teams have scored in four of Saint-Etienne's last five matches.
Correct score prediction: Saint-Etienne 2-1 Toulouse
When we reach this stage of the season, the sheer need to win often plays a huge part, and there is no doubt that the hosts have far more motivation coming into this one compared to Toulouse. They have also found some good wins on home soil in recent weeks, which is enough for us to back them to get the win on Saturday.
Place your bet on this prediction at bet365.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Toulouse are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse odds have the hosts as the favourites, which is perhaps a little surprising given Toulouse are five places ahead of them in the league table. Despite their status as favourites, there is still plenty of value at 21/20 with Ladbrokes – an implied win probability of 48.8%. Meanwhile, Toulouse have been given a 31.3% chance of victory.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne have had the upper hand in this fixture in recent times, losing just one of their last nine matches against Toulouse. However, Toulouse did win the reverse fixture earlier this season, which was the first clash between the two teams in five years.
France Ligue 1 13/12/24
Toulouse
St Etienne
France Ligue 1 15/09/19
St Etienne
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 28/04/19
St Etienne
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 25/09/18
Toulouse
St Etienne
France Ligue 1 14/01/18
St Etienne
Toulouse
Saint-Etienne preview: Looking to win without their top scorer
If Saint-Etienne are to overcome Toulouse and potentially force their way into a relegation playoff, then they will have to do it without their top goalscorer, Lucas Stassin. The 20-year-old has missed the last two games with a muscle injury and is unavailable again this weekend. Augustine Boakye is also in the treatment room.
Predicted lineup: Larsonneur (GK), Appiah, Bernauer, Nade, Petrot, Ekwah, Tardieu, Moueffek, Cardona, Wadji, Davitashvili
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
W
Reims
0
St Etienne
2
France Ligue 1 03/05/25
L
Monaco
3
St Etienne
1
France Ligue 1 26/04/25
L
Strasbourg
3
St Etienne
1
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
W
Lyon
1
St Etienne
2
France Ligue 1 13/04/25
D
Brest
3
St Etienne
3
Toulouse preview: Two long-term absentees remain out
Toulouse have been without Niklas Schmidt and Rasmus Nicolaisen since the beginning of 2025, and there is no change on those fronts this weekend. Both players are important to the squad, which perhaps explains why they have been so far since the turn of the year.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), Sidibe, McKenzie, Canvot, Donnum, Sierro, Casseres Jr, Kamanzi, Gboho, King, Magri
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
D
Lens
1
Toulouse
1
France Ligue 1 03/05/25
W
Rennes
1
Toulouse
2
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
D
Nantes
0
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
L
Reims
1
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
L
Lille
2
Toulouse
1
Player to watch: Zuriko Davitashvili
With Stassin out injured, Saint-Etienne's goalscoring responsibilities will fall on the shoulders of Zuriko Davitashvili and the talented Georgian is more than capable of producing the goods. Davitashvili has been Saint-Etienne's chief creator with seven league assists this season, while he is also their second top scorer with nine goals.