Toulouse will take on reigning champions Paris Saint-Germain in the third game of the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season at the Stadium de Toulouse on Saturday, 30 August.
Both sides are on six points from their opening two matches. Will there be a winner? Find that out from our Toulouse vs PSG prediction below.
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Toulouse vs PSG prediction: Resistance from the home side
Key stats
- Toulouse and PSG both have won their opening two Ligue 1 matches.
- Both teams have not conceded a goal in the Ligue 1 campaign thus far.
- Frank Magri scored a brace in the previous game for Les Violets against Brest.
Correct score prediction: Toulouse 1-1 PSG
The 2024-25 season was unforgettable for Luis Enrique's side as they won the Champions League for the first time in their history.
Les Parisiens have also won four consecutive league titles, and they are expected to continue their dominance in the current season.
Toulouse finished 10th last season under Carles Martinez. Le Tef should aim for European places this term, and have made a strong start to their new campaign.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Both teams to score
- HOME: 13/2 (7.5) – 13.3%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.8) – 20.8%
- AWAY: 2/5 (1.4) – 71.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
While PSG are clear favourites for this game, Toulouse are likely to give them an intense fight at home.
The French champions have won three times in their past five meetings against the rival, but Toulouse did manage a 3-1 win away at PSG and a 1-1 draw at home in the 2023-24 season.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips if you enjoyed our tips for this match.
Most recent H2Hs: PSG domination
In the last five league meetings between the two sides, PSG have won three times, while Toulouse have picked up just one win.
In 2024-25, the Red-and-Blues achieved a league double over their rivals, demonstrating their dominance last season.
Toulouse lost 1-0 at home in February, where PSG had to work really hard to break their defence, despite enjoying the lion's share of possession.
PSG failed to beat them in their two league attempts in the 2023-24 season, which shows that Toulouse can be a formidable opponent at home.
France Ligue 1 15/02/25
Toulouse
PSG
France Ligue 1 22/11/24
PSG
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 12/05/24
PSG
Toulouse
France Super Cup 03/01/24
PSG
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 19/08/23
Toulouse
PSG
Toulouse preview: Looking to maintain impressive form
Martinez's side started their league campaign away to Nice. While the home side dominated the game, a late goal from Djibril Sidibe was enough to secure all three points for the visitors.
They faced Brest in their next game, where the visitors appeared to have better control in the match. They had more possession and created more corners, but two goals from Magri earned them their second victory in a row.
The confidence on the side must be sky high. Interestingly, they have improved in every game in the second half, as all their goals have come after the break.
Toulouse have kept clean sheets in their opening two matches, while Martinez will be confident that his side can score against PSG.
Predicted lineup: Rest (GK), Canvot, McKenzie, Cresswell; Methalie, Sour, Casseres Jr., Sidibe; Gboho, Dennum & Magri
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
D
Lens
1
Toulouse
1
France Ligue 1 03/05/25
W
Rennes
1
Toulouse
2
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
D
Nantes
0
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
L
Reims
1
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
L
Lille
2
Toulouse
1
PSG preview: Can they pick up an away win?
The Parisiens are arguably the best team in the league, and they won the title last season at a canter. The gap between them and Marseille was huge, and it remains to be seen if the same trend will continue this season as well.
Enrique's side can beat any side in the world on their day at any ground, so it would not be very reasonable to count them out.
Like Toulouse, PSG have scored only in the second half in both their league games. They have won their opening two matches by a 1-0 margin, but expect them to shift gears as the season progresses.
The European champions bolstered their goalkeeping department this summer by signing Lucas Chevalier, while Ilya Zabarnyi moved to the French capital to strengthen the centre-back areas.
Predicted lineup: Chevalier (GK); Mendes, Pacho, Marquinhos, Hakimi; Vitinha, Ruiz, Neves; Barcola, Doue & Dembele
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
W
Montpellier
1
PSG
4
UEFA Champions League 07/05/25
W
Arsenal
1
PSG
2
France Ligue 1 03/05/25
L
Strasbourg
2
PSG
1
UEFA Champions League 29/04/25
W
Arsenal
0
PSG
1
France Ligue 1 25/04/25
L
Nice
3
PSG
1
Player to watch: Frank Magri
The 25-year-old striker is in his final year of his contract at Toulouse, and he is doing everything he can to impress his manager.
Last season, he scored only five goals in all competitions, but this season he has already scored twice in a single game. Can he continue his impressive form?
