Toulouse vs Paris FC prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/02/2026
Carles Martinez looks on ahead of Toulouse game - photo by IMAGO / PRESSE SPORTS
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Under 10.5 corners

Four of Toulouse's last five games have all gone below the 10.5-corner threshold. There were fewer than 11 corners in eight of Paris FC's last nine matches.

Toulouse will be looking to avoid their third defeat in a row when they take on Paris FC in Ligue 1 on Saturday, 21 February at Stadium de Toulouse.

View our free Toulouse vs Paris FC  predictions below.

Toulouse vs Paris FC prediction: Visitors struggling

Key stats

  • Five of the last six clashes between these sides went below the 4.5-card threshold.
  • Paris FC are winless in their last five games.
  • Toulouse are undefeated in the last three meetings between the two sides.

Correct score prediction: Toulouse 1-0 Paris FC 

Toulouse are heading into this game on the back of two defeats in a row. The two disappointing results have come after a four-game undefeated run, including three wins.

Carles Martinez's side won 5-1 at home against Nice in January, but fewer than three goals were scored in four of their last five matches.

Paris FC have failed to score against them in their previous three meetings, and we expect Toulouse to bounce back at home and grab a slender 1-0 win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Toulouse clearly favoured

  • HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Toulouse have picked up four wins and four draws at the Stadium de Toulouse in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 19 goals. They are bookies' favourites to win this game, and are priced at 10/11 (1.91) with 52.4% chances of landing.

Paris FC are struggling to score at the moment. They have scored only 12 goals away from home, and have failed to score in their last three matches; therefore, BTTS – No at 5/6 (1.83) with 54.6% implied probability looks a more likely outcome.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Toulouse vs Paris FC  predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: League double on the cards?

The two sides have not met often, especially in Ligue 1. In the reverse fixture, Toulouse won 3-0 away from home.

When the two sides were in Ligue 2, Les Violets won their previous two home meetings with Paris FC, beating them 2-1 in April 2022.

France Ligue 1 13/12/25

Paris FC

Paris FC

0
Toulouse

Toulouse

3

France Ligue 2 02/04/22

Toulouse

Toulouse

2
Paris FC

Paris FC

1

France Ligue 2 23/10/21

Paris FC

Paris FC

2
Toulouse

Toulouse

2

France Ligue 2 01/05/21

Paris FC

Paris FC

3
Toulouse

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 2 05/01/21

Toulouse

Toulouse

1
Paris FC

Paris FC

0

Toulouse preview: Few notable absentees

Frank Magri could be out for Toulouse on Saturday due to a knee injury. Also missing are Abu Francis due to a tibia and fibula fracture, while Mark McKenzie cannot feature due to a yellow card suspension.

Djibril Sidibe has been in good form, but forward Yann Gboho has impressed highly with six Ligue 1 goals and two assists.

Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), Nicolaisen, Cresswell, Methalie, Messali, Casseres, Diop, Sidibe, Gboho, Donnum & Emersonn

Last five matches

  • 15/02/26: Le Harve 2-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
  • 08/02/26: Angers 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
  • 04/02/26: Toulouse 1-0 Amiens (Coupe de France)
  • 01/02/26: Toulouse 0-0 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
  • 25/01/26: Brest 0-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)

Paris FC preview: Strong performance needed

The team has been on a downward trajectory for a few months, and they are in a survival fight.

Stephane Gilli’s men have won just two of their previous 15 Ligue 1 games, and are struggling to score at the moment. They are eight points clear of Nantes in the race to avoid automatic relegation, and the newly promoted club need a strong result after losing two of their last five games, with the other three ending in draws.

The visitors are missing a host of key players due to injury and suspensions. The likes of Thibault De Smet, Hamari Traore and Sofiane Alakouch are set to miss the clash with knee injuries, while Samir Chergui is doubtful with a sore hamstring.

Pierre-Yves Hamel is struggling with a sore calf, Remy Riou and Lamine Gueye are doubtful with knocks, while Adama Camara and Maxime Lopez cannot feature because of suspensions.

Predicted lineup: Trapp (GK), Coppola, Kolodziejczak, Otavio, Marchetti, Sangui, Kebbal, Matondo, Lees-Melou, Munetsi & Immobile

Last five matches

  • 14/02/26: Paris FC 0-5 Lens (Ligue 1)
  • 08/02/26: Auxerre 0-0 Paris FC (Ligue 1)
  • 04/02/26: Lorient 2-0 Paris FC (Coupe de France)
  • 31/01/26: Paris FC 2-2 Marseille (Ligue 1)
  • 25/01/26: Paris FC 0-0 Angers (Ligue 1)

Player to watch: Djibril Sidibe

The 2018 World Cup winner with France is approaching the twilight of his career, but he keeps on reminding everyone that he still has plenty to offer.

The former AS Monaco hero has made 24 appearances in Ligue 1 this season and has played in multiple positions across the backline, scoring three goals and registering three assists.

Toulouse vs Paris FC
Djibril Sidibe in action for Toulouse – IMAGO / PRESSE SPORTS

Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.