Separated by five points, Toulouse and Nice battle it out for bragging rights in what is expected to be a tightly-fought contest at Stadium de Toulouse on Saturday, 17 January.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Toulouse vs Nice tips below.
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Toulouse vs Nice prediction: La Tefece to edge past the Eagles
Key stats
- Toulouse have lost only once in five competitive encounters (W4).
- La Tefece have scored 17 of their 24 goals after half-time this season.
- Nice have lost four successive away Ligue 1 clashes.
- Les Aiglons have concede 30 goals in 17 top-flight games.
Correct score prediction: Toulouse 2-1 Nice
Toulouse’s four-match undefeated streak came to a halt in their first match of 2026, as Lens beat them 3-0, but they soon bounced back with a penalty shootout victory over Angers in Coupe de France. Carles Martinez Novell’s outfit occupy the eighth spot, and a victory is the need of the hour if they are to fight for a top six spot.
In contrast, Nice’s Ligue 1 campaign shows no signs of relief, although they progressed into the Coupe de France last 16 with a victory over Nantes. That win marked their third successive unbeaten clash, having tasted defeats in each of their nine previous competitive outings.
Nice are now winless in seven straight Ligue 1 games, and this streak is only expected to extend at the hands of a Toulouse side seeking a top six finish.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies back La Tefece
- HOME: 10/11 (1.90) – 52.6%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.7%
- AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
While Toulouse have won four of their last five games, their form on home turf is less than impressive, having won just once across their last five league outings here. Despite their poor home form, they are backed by odds of 10/11 (1.90), suggesting a 52.6% chance of triumph.
Nice seem to have found some confidence under new manager Claude Puel, but their freefall in the Ligue 1 table remains concerning. Bookies consider the visitors as underdogs with odds of 11/4 (3.75) – a 26.6% win probability rate.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Toulouse vs Nice predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Toulouse with the upper hand
Nice are winless in four straight H2Hs against Toulouse, who last lost to the Eagles in November 2023.
France Ligue 1 16/08/25
Nice
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 02/02/25
Toulouse
Nice
France Ligue 1 25/08/24
Nice
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 03/03/24
Toulouse
Nice
France Ligue 1 26/11/23
Nice
Toulouse
Toulouse preview: Four missing
Ilyas Azizi, Emersonn (red card), Rasmus Nicolaisen and Abu Francis will sit out of this match.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), McKenzie, Cresswell, Bakhouche, Sidibe, Sauer, Casseres, Donnum, Gboho, Messali & Hidalgo
Last five matches:
- Angers 1-1 Toulouse (5-6 on penalties) (Coupe de France)
- Toulouse 0-3 Lens (Ligue 1)
- Lyon La Duchere 1-2 Toulouse (Coupe de France)
- Paris FC 0-3 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 1-0 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
Nice preview: Long absentee list
Sofiane Diop, Moise Bombito, Mohamed Abdelmonem and Terem Moffi highlight Nice’s absentee list, which contains about eight players.
Predicted lineup: Dupe (GK), Clauss, Bah, Mantsounga, Bard, Everton, Ndombele, Sanson, Cho, Wahi & Gouveia
Last five matches:
- Nantes 1-1 Nice (3-5 on penalties) (Coupe de France)
- Nice 1-1 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
- Nice 2-1 Saint-Etienne (Coupe de France)
- Lens 2-0 Nice (Ligue 1)
- Nice 0-1 SC Braga (UEFA Europa League)
Player to watch: Yann Gboho
Despite firing blanks in three consecutive fixtures, Gboho is a quality player who is bound to add value to Toulouse's offensive line. His last goalscoring appearance was a brace against Paris FC before Christmas, and the club top scorer will be itching to get back to scoring ways and add to his tally of five Ligue 1 strikes.