Bottom-placed Metz travel to the south of France to face ninth-placed Toulouse for all three points in the eighth round of Ligue 1 fixtures on Sunday, 19 October.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Toulouse vs Metz tips below.
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Toulouse vs Metz prediction: Maroons to succumb to La Tefece
Key stats
- Toulouse have won one of their previous five league fixtures (D1, L3).
- The hosts are winless in back-to-back home games (D1, L1).
- Metz are winless in all seven of their opening games this term (D2, L5).
- The Maroons have conceded 11 goals in three away matches this season.
Correct score prediction: Toulouse 3-1 Metz
Toulouse ended a four-game winless run with a surprise 2-1 win at Lyon before the international break, and now host a struggling Metz side against whom they hold a strong historical 64% win rate on home turf.
Metz remain winless this season, a familiar plight for the club, and have been especially poor on the road, conceding 11 goals in three away matches.
While Metz may pose occasional threats, Toulouse’s superior form and home advantage should be enough to secure all three points.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Home favourites
- HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Toulouse have scored multiple goals in each of their last three home games, and there is little doubt about their offensive quality. They are priced at 4/7 (1.57) – a majority 63.6% win probability rate.
On the other hand, Metz are keen to record their first win of the league season, which seems fat-fetched, as reflected by their odds of 9/2 (5.50). This implies a mere 18.1% chance of victory for the visitors.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Toulouse vs Metz predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: One-sided
Toulouse have won both their recent H2Hs against Metz without conceding a single strike, before which four successive draws were registered between them. Metz’s last H2H league win over the hosts arrived in November 2016.
France Ligue 1 14/01/24
Metz
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 01/10/23
Toulouse
Metz
France Ligue 1 28/09/19
Metz
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 03/03/18
Metz
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 18/11/17
Toulouse
Metz
Toulouse preview: A first win in three games?
Novell has three absentees to take note of: Ilyas Azizi, Rafik Messali and Niklas Schmidt.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), McKenzie, Cresswell, Nicolaisen, Kamanzi, Casseres Sauer, Sidibe, Gboho, Magri & Donnum
Last five matches:
- Lyon 1-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 2-2 Nantes (Ligue 1)
- Auxerre 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Lille 2-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 3-6 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1)
Metz preview: Can the underdogs hold out Toulouse?
Benjamin Stambouli, Mboula Uri and Joseph Mangondo are confirmed names missing, while Jean-Philippe Gbamin and Fode Ballo-Toure is questionable for this encounter.
Predicted lineup: Fischer (GK), Sane, Philippe, Yegbe, Ballo-Toure, Deminguet, Traore, Kouao, Hein, Diallo & Sabaly
Last five matches:
- Metz 0-3 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- Metz 0-0 Le Havre (Ligue 1)
- Monaco 5-2 Metz (Ligue 1)
- Metz 1-1 Angers (Ligue 1)
- Paris FC 1-2 Metz (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Frank Magri
Magri is the joint-seventh top scorer in Ligue 1 with three goals – two below the top spot held by Ansu Fati and Joaquin Panichelli. Although the 26-year-old has been quiet in recent outings, he nonetheless has the quality to do the damage on the front foot. His last goal came vs Lille in a 2-1 defeat.