Separated by just three points on either side of Brest in 10th position, Toulouse and Lorient tussle for bragging rights in Ligue 1 matchweek 27. Both La Tefece and Les Merlus have the same objective this season: finish in the top half of the table.
Stadium de Toulouse prepares for a high intensity encounter as Lorient have proven to be giant killers this term, with title-chasing Lens their latest victim.
View our Toulouse vs Lorient preview, prediction and betting tips with the latest odds. Into the bargain, don’t forget to check out more expect prediction on our football betting tips page.
Contents
Toulouse vs Lorient key stats
- Toulouse have won just one of their last six league outings (D1, L4).
- La Tefece are undefeated in eight straight league H2Hs (W3, D5).
- Lorient are unbeaten in five successive Ligue 1 fixtures (D3, W2).
Toulouse vs Lorient preview: Merlus to break Tefece hearts in close victory
| Toulouse | vs | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| 11th | Position | 9th |
| 34 | Points | 37 |
| 37 | Goals For | 37 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 13th | Home Rank | 6th |
| 7th | Away Rank | 13th |
*Figures accurate at the time of publishing.
After failing to win six consecutive league games, Toulouse finally earned three points when they visited Metz’s Stade Saint-Symphorien last time out. They beat the bottom-placed side 4-3, courtesy of Mario Sauer’s 99th-minute strike.
Carles Martinez Novell’s men have so far failed to meet their objective of making it to Europe – they trail sixth-placed Monaco by nine points.
Toulouse and Lorient have scored exactly 37 goals this season.
Toulouse have suffered more often than not on home turf, having won only once in their last five home league games.
A win here would lift them above Lorient thanks to their +8 goal difference over the visitors. However, they will have fare without the services of main goalkeeper Guillaume Restes, defender Charlie Cresswell and forward Frank Magri.
In stark contrast, Lorient have lost none of their last five league matches, with their penalty shootout defeat to Nice in the Coupe de France quarter-finals the only exception.
One of their most impressive wins this term came in their previous match. Lens were dealt a harsh reality check as Olivier Pantaloni’s men claimed a late 2-1 victory.
Lorient have conceded 40 goals this term - the highest in the top half of the table.
Lorient, who sit in ninth position, are without the likes of the suspended Pablo Pagis and injury-prone Igor Silva.
The visitors are in impeccable form, and will count their chances of an away victory at Toulouse.
Toulouse vs Lorient form guide & betting tips
| Toulouse | vs | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| W-L-L-D-L | Form | W-D-D-D-W |
| 4 | Points | 9 |
| 13th | Form Table | 7th |
| 6 | Goals For | 10 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 7 |
Whispers Predicts: Toulouse 1-2 Lorient
Toulouse have received a league-high 61 yellow cards in 26 games. One can expect Over 4.5 total cards at 21/5 in this encounter. At 2.95, Toulouse’s Abdoulaye Faye is backed to pick up a booking given his poor disciplinary account. He has been cautioned in seven of his 11 competitive appearances.
Aside from their high-scoring 4-3 victory over Metz, La Tefece have seen under 2.5 goals in seven of their last eight Ligue 1 matches. However, with Lorient visiting, backing Over 2.5 goals at 11/10 provides value.
Lorient have won just two away games this term, but they will be buoyed following their 2-1 win over Lens. They carry valuable 15/4 odds to emerge as outright winners having picked up eight of their 11 away points in 2026.
The most likely bet to provide dividends is perhaps BTTS – Yes at 19/20, given both teams enter this round following morale-boosting victories.
> Over 4.5 total cards at 21/5 | Likelihood: Very Likely
> Abdoulaye Faye to receive yellow at 39/20 | Likelihood: Possible
> Over 2.5 total goals at 11/10 | Likelihood: Probable
> Lorient to win at 15/4 | Likelihood: Probable
> BTTS - Yes at 19/20 | Likelihood: Probable