With the race for points heating up in Ligue 1, league leaders Lens visit eight-placed Toulouse at Stade de Toulouse in a bid to extend their lead at the top of the table on Friday, 2 January.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Toulouse vs Lens tips below.
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Toulouse vs Lens prediction: Les Sang et Or to beat La Tefece
Key stats
- Toulouse are undefeated in four straight competitive matches (D1, W3).
- La Tefece have won only three of their eight home Ligue 1 fixtures this term.
- Lens are on a six-match winning streak in the French top-flight.
- Les Sang et Or have lost only twice away from home this season (D1, W6).
Correct score prediction: Toulouse 1-2 Lens
Carles Martinez Novell’s Toulouse enter 2026 on a high note, having lost just once across their last seven Ligue 1 games. Their resurgent form sees them trail the top six spots by just four points, although they have Strasbourg and Monaco above and below them, respectively, sitting joint on 23 points. tings.
Lens have emerged from the shadows to oust Paris Saint-Germain from the top spot, and Pierre Sage’s men show no signs of slowing down, although each of their last two triumphs have been narrow results.
As things stand, Lens are clear favourites to earn all three points away at Toulouse, who could very well slump further below their current position depending on how results go elsewhere.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Similar odds
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.7%
- AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Toulouse last lost their first game of a calendar year back in 2020, and have remained unbeaten in five such outing since. They are backed by odds of 9/5 (2.80), indicating a 40% chance of success.
Lens are on a three-match winning run away from home, and have lost only once across their last six trips. The visitors are priced at 6/4 (2.50) odds, implying a 40% probability of success away at Toulouse.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Toulouse vs Lens predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Mixed results
Lens are winless in back-to-back H2Hs, as Toulouse won away and then drew at home last season. However, the visitors have won three of the previous five encounters against the hosts.
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
Toulouse
Lens
France Ligue 1 05/01/25
Lens
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 28/01/24
Toulouse
Lens
France Ligue 1 24/09/23
Lens
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 02/05/23
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse preview: Can they upset the odds?
Ilyas Azizi, Waren Kamanzi and Abu Francis are all sidelined with injuries. Frank Magri is busy with Cameroon at AFCON.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), Nicolaisen, Cresswell, McKenzie, Sidibe, Vossah, Casseres, Methalie, Hidalgo, Gboho & Emersonn
Last five matches:
- Lyon La Duchere 1-2 Toulouse (Coupe de France)
- Paris FC 0-3 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 1-0 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
- Marseille 2-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 0-1 Angers (Ligue 1)
Lens preview: Three names missing
Jonathan Gradit and Joanner Chavez sit out with injuries, while Mamadou Sangare is on international duty with Mali at AFCON.
Predicted lineup: Risser (GK), Ganiou, Baidoo, Sarr, Aguilar, Sotoca, Thomasson, Udol, Thauvin, Said & Edouard
Last five matches:
- Lens 3-1 Feignies-Aulnoye (Coupe de France)
- Lens 2-0 Nice (Ligue 1)
- Nantes 1-2 Lens (Ligue 1)
- Angers 1-2 Lens (Ligue 1)
- Lens 1-0 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Florian Thauvin
Thauvin has been one of Lens’ standout players this campaign, most recently netting the opener in a 2-1 win over Nantes, and match-winning brace against Angers last Sunday. The Frenchman has five goals and two assists to his name this league term.