The Ligue 1 match between Toulouse and Brest will be held at the 33,150-seater Stadium de Toulouse on 24 August. We anticipate a thrilling 90 minutes, as neither of the teams have lost their opening domestic league games this season.
The good news for both managers is that both of them will be able to count on almost all of their key players, making Sunday’s clash a difficult one to predict.
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Toulouse vs Brest prediction: Hard-earned Brest win ahead
Key Stats
- Five of the last nine Toulouse vs Brest head-to-heads resulted in under 2.5 total goals scored.
- Toulouse’s opening Ligue 1 match this season also had under 2.5 goals after 90 minutes of play.
- Brest won four of the last five matches against this opponent.
Correct score prediction: Toulouse 0-2 Brest
One of the last two matches between the two teams resulted in a 2-0 win for Les Pirates. The one on 22 September 2024. Seeing as the visitors’ manager has such a good track record against Toulouse, consisting of seven wins and four draws, we believe the visitors will be able to snatch the three points at Stadium de Toulouse.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Much is expected of Toulouse
- HOME: 103/100 (2.03) – 49.3%
- DRAW: 51/20 (3.55) – 28.2%
- AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Contrary to our belief, the bookies claim Toulouse are the expected winners this week, with odds priced at 103/100 (2.03). Coach Carles Martinez’s players keep a solid 49.3% win probability before the start of the game.
Given the last couple of head-to-heads, we believe under 2.5 goals is plausible. The odds are valued at 19/20 (1.95), which translates to a 51.3% likelihood.
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Most recent H2Hs: One-sided story
Brest are dominating Toulouse. The last time the home side enjoyed a win over this opponent was on 9 March 2013.
France Ligue 1 30/03/25
Toulouse
Brest
France Ligue 1 22/09/24
Brest
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 19/05/24
Toulouse
Brest
France Ligue 1 08/10/23
Brest
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 02/04/23
Brest
Toulouse
Toulouse team news and form: What will Martinez do?
The home side’s 41-year-old coach will not be able to rely on talented midfielder Niklas Schmidt. The 27-year-old player suffered a cruciate ligament tear not too long ago and will not be able to take part in the upcoming match.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), McKenzie, Cresswell, Sidibe, Donnum, Canvot, Sauer, Methalie, Gboho, Magri & Edjouma
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
D
Lens
1
Toulouse
1
France Ligue 1 03/05/25
W
Rennes
1
Toulouse
2
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
D
Nantes
0
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
L
Reims
1
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
L
Lille
2
Toulouse
1
Brest team news and form: Fresh Brest squad ready
Coach Roy has all of his key players fit and ready for action. Even team captain Brendan Chardonnet will be among the starters, which gives the visitors a wonderful chance of scooping the three points away from home for a second back-to-back Ligue 1 win.
Predicted lineup: Majecki (GK), Le Cardinal, Locko, Chardonnet, Lala, Doumbia, Lees-Melou, Magnetti, Del Castillo, Ajorque & Balde
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
W
Lille
0
Brest
2
France Ligue 1 04/05/25
W
Montpellier
0
Brest
1
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
L
Marseille
4
Brest
1
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
L
Lens
3
Brest
1
France Ligue 1 13/04/25
D
St Etienne
3
Brest
3
Player to watch: Kamory Doumbia
As we previously stated, Doumbia scored two goals for his team in the very difficult match against LOSC Lille. Led by football legend Olivier Giroud, the Mastiffs could’ve gotten the three points, had Doumbia not scored in both halves of the match.
Doumbia in pursuit of more goals
Let’s face it, the 2024/25 Ligue 1 campaign wasn’t a memorable one for Doumbia. He scored only three goals in 30 domestic league matches, but he did manage to add two assists to his tally.