Tondela vs Porto prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/12/2025
FC Porto congratulate one another after finding the back of the net. Photo: Imago | Credit: Nurphoto
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FC Porto Win

Porto have won four of their last five matches, and the last five against Tondela.

Tondela will go out in search of back-to-back wins for the first time in three seasons when they go head-to-head against leaders FC Porto at the Joao Cardoso Stadium on Sunday.

FC Porto, who are currently top of the standings with 34 points after 12 games, will be looking to claim their fifth straight win in the league, after a shock 3-1defeat to Vitoria Guimaraes in the League Cup.

We have the best Primeira Liga predictions and betting tips on the internet.

Tondela vs Porto predictions: Porto to claim a fifth successive league win?

Key stats

  • FC Porto have won their last four league outings.
  • Tondela have managed to win only two of their first 12 league fixtures of the season.
  • Tondela are winless in their last six home fixtures in front of their fans.
  • FC Porto have won their last five head-to-head meetings.

Correct score prediction: Tondela 0-3 Porto

Porto have been playing out since the start of the season, and it is not a surprise that they are top of the Portuguese standings. After 12 matches, they remain unbeaten, recording 12 victories and a draw.

Tondela, on the other hand, have only been able to win two games, and interestingly, both triumphs have been recorded on the road, which makes the prospect of an upset even more unlikely.

Therefore, Porto are poised for a comfortable 3-0 win on Sunday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The odds indicate an easy victory for Porto

  • HOME: 10/1 (11.0) – 9.1%
  • DRAW: 9/2 (5.5) – 18.2%
  • AWAY: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%

**Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As earlier stated, FC Porto have been playing incredibly well, and with a trip to central Portugal to face a struggling Tondela side, they are good value for a victory.

At odds of 2/7 (1.29), which invariably means the visitors have a 77.8% chance of taking all three points back home with them, smart money should be on Francesco Farioli's team to come away with a win. That said, Tondela have odds 10/1 (11.0), which implies a 9.1% chance of a successful outing.

Most recent H2Hs: It has been Porto all the way

The history of clashes between these two sides have been a one-sided affair. The Portuguese giants have won their last five meetings, and that pattern is not expected to change on Sunday, given the gulf in class between both teams.

Portugal Super Cup 30/07/22

FC Porto

FC Porto

3
Tondela

Tondela

0

Portugal Cup 22/05/22

FC Porto

FC Porto

3
Tondela

Tondela

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 13/03/22

FC Porto

FC Porto

4
Tondela

Tondela

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 23/10/21

Tondela

Tondela

1
FC Porto

FC Porto

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/04/21

Tondela

Tondela

0
FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Tondela Preview: Bebeto and Souza out for the hosts

Not much is going on in terms of injury, meaning most of the players are available for selection for the home side. Nevertheless, the Brazilian duo of Bebeto and Souza are out injured and consequently, not going to be involved on Sunday.

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Predicted lineup: Fontes (GK), Manso, Marques, Medina, Maviram, Henryque, Rodriguez, Sithole, Cavaleiro, Felix & Pefok

Last five matches

  • Gil Vicente 0-1 Tondela
  • Tondela 0-0 Caldas
  • Tondela 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
  • AFS 2-2 Tondela
  • Benfica 3-0 Tondela

Porto preview: Perez remains out

On the injury front, the visitors have an almost fully fit squad, except for Nehuen Perez, who is still sidelined with a tendon problem. Although they suffered a shock loss last weekend, the hosts are still expected to send out the same starting XI from that game against Vitoria Guimaraes.

Predicted lineup: D. Costa (GK) A. Costa, Bednarek, Kiwior, Sanusi, Froholdt, Veiga, Rosario, Gomes, Sainz, & Aghehowa

Last five matches

  • FC Porto 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
  • FC Porto 1- 0 Estoril
  • FC Porto 3-0 Nice
  • FC Porto 3- 0 Sintrense
  • Famalicao 0-1 Porto

Player to watch: Samu Aghehowa

The Young Spanish forward has been quite impressive for the Dragons, and when he is fit, he is one of the first names on the team sheet. With six goals across 11 appearances, he will be aiming to be more decisive for his side.

Aghehowa

Can Aghehowa add to his tally on Sunday? Photo – Imago | Credit: Ball Raw Images


Ademola is a passionate sports writer and betting expert with a degree in Plant Science and a Masters degree in Plant Ecology.