Real Madrid will kick off their Copa del Rey campaign with a trip to Talavera de la Reina for their encounter with CF Talavera on Wednesday, 17 December 2025.
View our free Talavera vs Real Madrid predictions below.
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Talavera vs Real Madrid predictions: Visitors to reign supreme
Key stats
- Talavera suffered six defeats in their last eight matches across all competitions.
- Four of Real Madrid’s last five away games produced goals at both ends.
- There were fewer than 11 corners in five of Real Madrid’s last seven games.
Correct score prediction: Talavera 1-5 Real Madrid
While Real Madrid are one of the best teams in the Spanish top flight this season, Talavera are a Primera Federacion side that lost six of their last eight matches across all competitions.
In fact, not only are Talavera are in the same division as Madrid's reserve team, but they also have a poor track record against Real Madrid Castilla.
Considering Talavera’s struggles against teams in the third tier of Spanish football, anything other than a comfortable victory for Los Blancos would be a surprise.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Madrid odds-on favourites
- HOME: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%
- DRAW: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
- AWAY: 1/7 (1.14) – 87.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Being one of the top four teams in La Liga this season, Real Madrid did not get to participate in the previous rounds of the Copa del Rey. Los Blancos returned to winning ways by defeating Alaves away from home last weekend.
On the other hand, Talavera were impressive in the previous round of the Copa del Rey, defeating La Liga 2 side Malaga. They will set their sights on their biggest win ever on Wednesday night.
Given the difference in quality between these squads, it is no surprise that Real Madrid are the expected winners at 1/7 (1.14). Teams with these odds generally have an 87.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Talavera vs Real Madrid predictions.
Also, considering that almost four goals were scored on average in Real Madrid's last five away games, over 3.5 total goals has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: First meeting
Although these teams will meet for the first time, it is worth mentioning that Talavera lost to Real Madrid's reserve team just last month.
In fact, Real Madrid Castilla have a 5-3-1 win-draw-loss record in nine previous clashes with Talavera.
Talavera preview: Eyeing their biggest win ever
Valen Gomez will be unavailable for this game after receiving a red card in last round's victory over Malaga. Otherwise, Talavera have a near-complete squad for this Copa del Rey contest.
Predicted lineup: Gonzalez (GK), Cuenca, Lopez, Molina, Roig, Capo, Isaiah, Farrando, Tornero, Montero & Renzo.
Last five matches
- Talavera 2-1 Merida
- Arenteiro 1-0 Talavera
- Talavera 2-1 Malaga
- Talavera 0-1 Cacereno
- Zamora 2-1 Talavera
Real Madrid preview: Defensive injury crisis continues
Real Madrid remain without many options at the back, as Dani Carvajal, Ferland Mendy, Trent Alexander-Arnold, and Eder Militao are ruled out through injury, while David Alaba, Dean Huijsen, and Eduardo Camavinga all remain doubtful.
Although the trio of Endrick, Alvaro Carreras and Fran Garcia are still suspended for league action, they will be available for this Copa del Rey game, giving Xabi Alonso a chance to rest some of his key players, while also hoping to post a win in his side's first outing in this competition this season.
Predicted lineup: Lunin (GK), Asencio, Rudiger, Carreras, Valdepenas, Valverde, Ceballos, Bellingham, Guler, G. Garcia & Endrick.
Last five matches
- Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid
- Real Madrid 2-1 Man City
- Real Madrid 0-2 Celta Vigo
- Athletic Bilbao 0-3 Real Madrid
- Girona 1-1 Real Madrid
Player to watch: Gonzalo Garcia
Gonzalo Garcia has started only one of his 12 La Liga appearances this season and has averaged only 16 minutes per game in the Spanish top flight. However, the 21-year-old is expected to start on Wednesday night, so it will be interesting to see if he scores his first goal of the season.