There’s a UEFA Nations League group decider in Stockholm this weekend. Our Sweden vs Slovakia prediction considers whether either side can claim the win that would seal top spot in League C, Group 1.
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Sweden vs Slovakia prediction: Gyokeres to strike in high-scoring home win
Key stats
- Our Sweden vs Slovakia betting tips take into account that the Swedes have won five of their last six at home overall.
- Slovakia have scored at least once in all of their last 11 games.
- So far in this group, Sweden games average 3.50 goals per game, while Slovakia matches average 2.75.
Correct score prediction: Sweden 3-2 Slovakia
These two sides have both been scoring freely and this promises to be a really good game between two teams who probably should be higher up than League C.
They shared four goals when they met last month in Bratislava, but home advantage and the finishing qualities of Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres may be enough to ensure the Swedes win this.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the clear favourites
- HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Sweden vs Slovakia odds with an implied probability of 61.9% that they win this match.
They head into the game following a 3-0 win in Estonia last time out, when Sebastian Nanasi netted twice.
As for Slovakia, they were 3-1 winners away to Azerbaijan in their last match, with Sparta Prague’s Lukas Haraslin among the scorers.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Sweden unbeaten this century
Our Sweden vs Slovakia prediction suggests the Scandinavians can extend their seven match unbeaten streak against this opposition in the 21st Century.
Three of the last five meetings have been drawn though, including the most recent clash last month.
UEFA Nations League C 11/10/24
Slovakia
Sweden
Euro 2021 18/06/21
Sweden
Slovakia
International Match 16/10/18
Sweden
Slovakia
International Match 12/01/17
Sweden
Slovakia
Sweden preview: Krafth missing for the hosts
Newcastle’s Emil Krafth has been forced to pull out of the squad with an injury. Anthony Elanga is also absent following an apparent fall-out with boss Jon Dahl Tomasson.
Predicted Lineup: Johansson (GK), Lindelof, Hien, Gudmundsson, Eliasson, Karlstrom, Ayari, Sema, Kulusevski, Gyokeres & Isak
International Match 25/03/25 W Northern Ireland 1 Sweden 5 International Match 22/03/25 L Luxembourg 1 Sweden 0 UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24 W Azerbaijan 0 Sweden 6 UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24 W Slovakia 1 Sweden 2 UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24 W Estonia 0 Sweden 3
Slovakia preview: Key duo return to the fold
Ivan Schranz and Stanislav Lobotka are available again for Slovakia following injury, but there are doubts about their match fitness. Lukas Haraslin and Juraj Kucka are both out.
Predicted Lineup: Dubravka (GK), Pekarik, Skriniar, Obert, Hancko, Duda, Benes, Lobotka, Suslov, Strelec & Schranz
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25 L Slovenia 1 Slovakia 0 UEFA Nations League 20/03/25 D Slovenia 0 Slovakia 0 UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24 W Estonia 0 Slovakia 1 UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24 L Sweden 2 Slovakia 1 UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24 W Azerbaijan 1 Slovakia 3
Player to watch – Viktor Gyokeres
Sweden are blessed with what on paper is one of the deadliest strikeforces in Europe right now and Viktor Gyokeres is central to that. The striker has netted four goals in four games so far in this Nations League campaign and is also scoring for fun in Portugal.
Gyokeres firing midway through the Second Half
The Sporting striker has netted 16 times already in the Portuguese top flight this term, with 38% of those goals coming between the 61st and 75th minutes. His two Allianz Cup goals this season also came in that time-frame.