Sweden vs Poland – prediction, preview & betting tips – 28/09/2026
Will Sweden beat Poland? Image by Icon Sport/Copyright: Joel Marklund / BILDBYRÅN / kod JM / JM0854
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 1.5 Goals for Sweden

Sweden have scored at least two goals in each of their last three home games

Sweden could build a strong lead in their 2026-27 UEFA Nations League B group with a win against visitors Poland on Monday at Strawberry Arena.

The hosts are currently top of their group having beaten Romania 2-1 on Thursday, while Poland's goalless stalemate with Bosnia-Herzegovina on the same day has left them in third place with one point.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Sweden vs Poland key stats

  • Poland have failed to score in two of their last three games.
  • Sweden striker Alexander Isak has scored five goals in eight games for club and country this season.
  • Sweden have scored at least two goals in each of their past three games at home.

Sweden vs Poland preview: Positive momentum for Graham Potter?

Sweden vs Poland — Tale of the Tape

Sweden vs Poland
1stPosition (Nations League)3rd
3Points1
2Goals For0
1Goals Against0
0Clean Sheets1
1stHome / Away Rank2nd

Sweden's victory against Romania was closely fought, but they do deserve credit for limiting their opponents to just one shot on target.

There is some scepticism regarding Graham Potter's suitability for the role in the dugout, with the country's performances on the pitch at the 2026 World Cup not particularly impressive.

However, reaching the round of 32 should not be seen as a poor achievement itself considering conquerors France are among the best teams in the world.

With Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres set to start once again, they will need to be supported adequately if they are to regularly threaten, so expect to see Sebastian Nanasi and Alexander Bernhardsson play in wide roles.

Poland may have been impressive from a defensive perspective against Bosnia-Herzegovina, but they created frustratingly little in the final third.

That game was in fact the second time in three fixtures that they failed to score, while it was also just the first time in seven outings that they kept a clean sheet.

Boss Jan Urban will be aware of the fact that his side have lost eight of their last 10 clashes with Sweden, winning on just one occasion.

Legendary striker Robert Lewandowski is still a key part of the team's attack, and he is set to lead his side out once again on Monday.

Sweden vs Poland preview form guide & betting tips

Sweden vs Poland — Last 5 Form Guide
Sweden vs Poland
W Nations League Form D
3Points1
N/AForm TableN/A
2Goals For0
1Goals Against0
W L D L W
Form (All Comps)
W L L D D

Whispers predicts: Sweden 2-0 Poland

With Sweden's record against Poland so strong, it makes sense that the bookmakers have priced a home win at 10/11 (1.91).

Sweden have scored at least two goals in each of their last three home games, so perhaps it would be wise to predict Over 1.5 Goals for Sweden at 5/6 (1.83).

Considering Isak has scored five goals in eight games this season, it would make sense to bet Alexander Isak to Score at 11/10 (2.1).

Given Poland have failed to score in two of their last three games, it could be worthwhile to back Under 0.5 Goals for Poland at 2/1 (3).

📈 Sweden vs Poland preview — Whispers' Tips

> Over 1.5 Goals for Sweden at 5/6 (1.83) | Likelihood: Probable

> Alexander Isak to Score at 11/10 (2.1) | Likelihood: Possible

> Under 0.5 Goals for Poland at 2/1 (3) | Likelihood: Outsider


An avid writer and sport fan, Lewis has combined his interests to report on events within the football world. His time at Kings College London saw him earn a BA English degree, as well as a Masters Degree studying Digital Culture and Society. Lewis is a lifelong Liverpool fan - his first ever Anfield game was a 2-0 victory against Tottenham Hotspur - and he has previously contributed for fan websites. Follow Lewis on Twitter @LewisFN00.