Southampton will take on Swansea in the third round of the FA Cup on Sunday, 12 January with both teams likely welcoming a break from league action.
The hosts are having a miserable season in the Premier League and are currently on course to post the record-low points total after earning just six points from their first 20 matches.
Swansea, meanwhile, have failed to win their last two games and are in danger of falling too far behind the in the race for the Championship playoffs.
As part of this weekend's round of FA Cup betting tips, here is our Southampton vs Swansea prediction.
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Southampton vs Swansea prediction: The visitors to take the Saints deep
Key Stats
- Southampton have lost their last six home matches in all competitions.
- Swansea have avoided defeat in five of their last eight away matches.
- Both teams have scored in nine of Swansea's last 11 matches.
Correct score prediction: Southampton 1-1 Swansea
Southampton's form is that bad that many people believe they wouldn't be faring much better if they were in the Championship and we will get a better idea of that theory this weekend. The Swans are tricky customers, losing just one of their last four fixtures, and we believe they will take the Saints to extra time and beyond.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts start as favourites
- HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Southampton vs Swansea indicate that the hosts should come out on top inside 90 minutes, something we disagree with. Ladbrokes have given Southampton a 55.6% chance of getting the job done without extra time and penalties while Swansea have been given just a 25% chance of victory.
It's important to remember that with replays now a thing of the past, backing the draw means you think the match will go to extra time and potentially penalties.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Southampton
Southampton have perhaps been given the nod by the bookies due to their recent impressive form against Swansea. They are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches against the Swans in a run that stretches back to 2017 when both sides were in the Premier League. Last season, Southampton did the double over Swansea by an aggregate score of 8-1.
England Championship 20/01/24
Swansea
Southampton
England Championship 26/12/23
Southampton
Swansea
England FA Cup 08/01/22
Swansea
Southampton
Elite Club Friendlies 31/07/21
Swansea
Southampton
England Premier League 08/05/18
Swansea
Southampton
Southampton preview: No reason not to go for it
With Southampton almost certainly going back down to the Championship at the end of the season, new manager, Ivan Juric, should take the FA Cup very seriously as it is their last chance to restore some pride this campaign. A response should be expected after losing 5-0 last time out.
Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK), Manning, Wood, Bella-Kotchap, Harwood-Bellis, Sugawara, Aribo, Lallana, Fernandes, Dibling, Archer
England Premier League 10/05/25
D
Man City
0
Southampton
0
England Premier League 03/05/25
L
Leicester
2
Southampton
0
England Premier League 26/04/25
L
Fulham
2
Southampton
1
England Premier League 19/04/25
D
West Ham
1
Southampton
1
England Premier League 12/04/25
L
Aston Villa
3
Southampton
0
Swansea preview: A chance to relax
In recent weeks, there has been plenty of stress in South Wales as Luke Williams has been heavily linked with the West Brom job. With the Baggies now looking elsewhere, some calm can be restored which should help them to relax and perform back to their usual standards.
Predicted lineup: Vigouroux (GK), Tymon, Darling, Christie, Key, Franco, Ronald, Grimes, Cullen, Peart-Harris, Bianchini
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Oxford Utd
3
Swansea
3
England Championship 26/04/25
L
Millwall
1
Swansea
0
England Championship 21/04/25
W
QPR
1
Swansea
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Hull
0
Swansea
1
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Sunderland
0
Swansea
1
Player to watch: Tyler Dibling
Given the potential of Tyler Dibling, it's not unrealistic to say that these next five months could be his final half-a-season in a Southampton shirt with the Saints looking likely to be relegated to the Championship. The teenager has been linked with several big clubs and he will be keen to show Swansea what all the fuss is about on Sunday afternoon.