Ange Postecoglou's second game in charge of Nottingham Forest sees them travel to the Swansea.com stadium to take on Swansea in the third round of the Carabao Cup on Wednesday night. The Tricky Trees come into clash off the back of losing 3-0 to Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium in the Premier League over the weekend.
Meanwhile, the Swans drew 2-2 at home to Hull, but have been in decent form in the Championship. Indeed, this is set to be an interesting clash that could well go all the way to a penalty shootout.
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Swansea vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Penalties to decide winner?
Key stats
- Swansea are unbeaten in six games in total in all competitions.
- Forest have only won once in any competition since May.
- Three of the last four H2Hs across all competitions have seen both teams score.
Correct score prediction: Swansea 2-2 Nottingham Forest
Given that Swansea have the home advantage, and that they are in better form than Forest, we are backing the Championship side to hold the Premier League team to a draw after 90 minutes. It then becomes a lottery with a penalty shootout, which both teams should be confident of winning.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Forest favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Forest are the strong favourites with bookmakers to win the tie after normal time. A draw after 90 minutes can be backed at just under 26%, while a Swansea victory on home turf is rated at 20%.
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Most recent H2Hs: Plenty of goals
If the last few H2Hs are anything to go by, we should be expecting plenty of goals in this one. A total of 19 have been scored across the previous five meetings, with Swansea winning three of those and Forest the last two.
England Championship 30/04/22
Nottm Forest
Swansea
Swansea preview: Santos only injury absentee
Ricardo Santos is the only player expected to miss out for Swansea through injury. Otherwise, they have a full squad to choose from.
Predicted lineup: Fisher (GK), Fulton, Stamenic, Widell, Vipotnik, Eom, Tymon, Burgess, Casey, Inoussa & Parker
Last five results:
- Swansea 2-2 Hull
- Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Swansea
- Swansea 1-1 Plymouth (5-3 pens)
- Swansea 1-1 Watford
- Swansea 1-0 Sheffield United
Nottingham Forest preview: Rotation expected?
Postecoglou could choose to rotate his starting XI against lesser opposition in theory. Both Nicolas Dominguez and Ola Aina are the only known injury absentees at the time of writing.
Predicted lineup: Victor (GK), Williams, Boly, Morato, Zinchenko, Luiz, Yates, Hutchinson, McAtee, Bakwa & Kalimuendo
Last five results:
- Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest
- Nottingham Forest 0-3 West Ham
- Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham Forest
- Nottingham Forest 3-1 Brentford
- Nottingham Forest 0-0 Al-Qadsiah
Player to watch: Zan Vipotnik
Swansea fans will want Zan Vipotnik to flex his muscle against Forest, even it is from the substitutes bench. Indeed, the Slovenian forward has scored in each of his last four appearances in total for the Swans in all competitions, including in the previous round of the cup against Plymouth.