🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 1.5 goals

There have been one or fewer goals in Swansea's last four matches.

Another midtable clash awaits Millwall this weekend as they travel to Swansea on Saturday. The London outfit are without an away win in 2024/25, but will hope to put that record right against the Swans, who have failed to win in five.

Swansea City vs Millwall prediction: Can Lawrence Vigoroux's heroics keep the Swans above water again? – Photo by imago/Dennis Goodwin

Swansea vs Millwall prediction: Can the Lions score against the Swans?

  • Swansea have seen remarkably few goals in their games. They have conceded just seven in 11 outings, but have scored only eight, the lowest tally in the Championship.
  • Millwall have struggled on the road, and are without an away since the final day of 2023/24, a 1-0 win over… Swansea.
  • Despite their impressive defensive record, Swansea have conceded an eye-watering 15.8 expected goals. Goalkeeper Lawrence Vigoroux has the highest save percentage in the division.

Correct score prediction: Swansea City 0-1 Millwall

This battle between 13th and 14th place is not likely to be a high-scorer, with Swansea seeing fewer goals in their games than any other side in the Championship.

But with no goals in four games, there is only so long Vigoroux can keep the Swans in games. As such, we expect a repeat of last season and a narrow away win.

Pre-game odds and win probability:

HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Swansea are this clash's expected winners, with the bookmakers giving them a 40.8% chance of victory. However, we think Millwall will make it two wins on the spin.

For more tips on this weekend's Championship action and more, check out our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs:

Honours have been almost perfectly even between these two Championship regulars in recent season, with two wins each as well as two stalemates in their last six.

Interestingly, last season saw the away side win both fixtures, with Swansea romping to a 3-0 win at The Den.

Turkey Super Cup 09/08/24

Millwall

Millwall

1
Swansea

Swansea

0

England Championship 04/05/24

Swansea

Swansea

0
Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 30/09/23

Millwall

Millwall

0
Swansea

Swansea

3

England Championship 14/03/23

Millwall

Millwall

2
Swansea

Swansea

1

England Championship 16/08/22

Swansea

Swansea

2
Millwall

Millwall

2

Swansea preview: short on entertainment

As mentioned above, Swansea have struggled for goals, and have been exceedingly reliant on the brilliance of Vigoroux between the sticks.

The South Wales side have missed last season's top scorer Jamal Lowe, who is now at Sheffield Wednesday. Striker Liam Cullen has been unable to fill the void, with just two goals so far.

The Swans will be without Josh Ginelly, Andrew Fisher and Ji-Sung Eom for this one.

Predicted lineup: Vigoroux (GK), Naughton, Cabando, Darling, Tymon, Franco, Grimes, Allen, Pereira, Cullen, Abdulai.

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

Swansea

Swansea

1

England Championship 09/04/25

W

Plymouth

Plymouth

0

Swansea

Swansea

3

England Championship 05/04/25

W

Derby

Derby

0

Swansea

Swansea

1

England Championship 29/03/25

D

Leeds

Leeds

2

Swansea

Swansea

2

England Championship 15/03/25

L

Burnley

Burnley

2

Swansea

Swansea

0

Millwall preview: turning the corner?

One week ago, Millwall were 18th in the table, and looking down the table. But coming into this one, they are a far healthier 13th.

Millwall boast the third-best expected goal difference in the league, indicating that the good times should keep coming.

Billy Mitchell, Josh Coburn and Tom Bradshaw are still a week or two away from full fitness.

Predicted lineup: Jensen (GK), Leonard, Tanganga, Cooper, Bryan, de Norre, Saville, Esse, Honeyman, Azeez, Ivanovic

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 08/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

0

Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 05/04/25

W

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

1

Millwall

Millwall

2

England Championship 29/03/25

L

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

Millwall

Millwall

0

England Championship 15/03/25

W

Stoke

Stoke

0

Millwall

Millwall

1

Player to watch: George Honeyman

Creative midfielder George Honeyman is rarely among the goals, with just two goals since his 2022 move to Millwall.

Millwall's George Honeyman has three assists this season – Photo by imago/Paul Phelan

However, the 30-year-old Englishman was excellent against Plymouth midweek, setting up Romain Esse's winner, his third assist of the season.

His creativity from the number ten spot will be key to Millwall breaking down a stubborn Swansea defence.


William Evans is a football and politics fanatic. A first-class graduate of UEA's Broadcast and Digital Journalism MA course, he also achieved a first class degree in politics and media studies during his time at UEA.