Luton vs Swansea prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 04/03/2023

Luton
04/03/23 - 15:00

Finished

1

-

0

Swansea

Luton - Swansea

England Championship - Kenilworth Road

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Championship predictions for Luton vs Swansea with the game due to take place on 4th March.

Luton vs Swansea prediction and top betting tips

Luton are just about clinging to their place in the top six right now but they need to get back to winning games on a regular basis if they're to stay there. Can they get three points here as they face off against a rather out of form Swansea side? Find out with our Luton vs Swansea match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Luton vs Swansea Prediction 1: Draw

We begin our predictions for this game by backing the action to end level. Luton have been the side in marginally better form than their visitors but not by a great stretch. The Hatters have only won one of their last five games, drawing three and losing one. Swansea meanwhile have also only won one of their last five games but have lost three of the other four. With both sides struggling to put wins on the board, a share of the spoils might be the best they can hope for. On top of that, the head to head record supports a draw too with one draw and two wins each completing the last five h2h games.

Place the bet >>

Luton vs Swansea Prediction 2: 1-1

The second of our football betting tips for this game comes from the more ambitious correct score market and we're backing this to end 1-1. Luton have have scored five goals in their last five games – an average of one per game – whilst conceding at the same rate. That in itself screams 1-1, which is a scoreline Luton have seen occur twice in their last five games. Swansea meanwhile saw their last game end in a 1-1 draw whilst they've managed to net four goals across their past four games – again, that's one goal scored per game. As for their goals against column in recent weeks, three of their last four games have seen them conceding one goal. With the odds available on a 1-1 draw, we'd suggest it's good value.

Place the bet >>

Here are the key stats & form guide for Luton vs Swansea

Head to Head

20/08/22

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Swansea

Luton

Luton

0

2

01/02/22

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Swansea

Luton

Luton

0

1

18/09/21

England Championship CHA

Luton

Luton

Swansea

Swansea

3

3

13/03/21

England Championship CHA

Luton

Luton

Swansea

Swansea

0

1

05/12/20

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Swansea

Luton

Luton

2

0

Last Five - Luton

13/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Man City

Man City

Luton

Luton

5

1

L

06/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Luton

Luton

1

2

W

03/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Arsenal

Arsenal

Luton

Luton

2

0

L

30/03/24

England Premier League EPL

Tottenham

Tottenham

Luton

Luton

2

1

L

16/03/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Luton

Luton

1

1

D

Last Five - Swansea

13/04/24

England Championship CHA

Rotherham

Rotherham

Swansea

Swansea

0

1

W

10/04/24

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Swansea

Swansea

0

3

W

06/04/24

England Championship CHA

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Swansea

Swansea

2

0

L

01/04/24

England Championship CHA

QPR

QPR

Swansea

Swansea

1

0

L

29/03/24

England Championship CHA

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

Swansea

Swansea

1

1

D

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Luton vs Swansea odds translate into probability ahead of this game? Let's find out.

Luton odds: 13/12 (2.08) – 48%

Draw odds: 12/5 (3.40) – 29%

Swansea odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 29%

Despite odds north of the evens line (2.00), Luton come into this match as pretty big favourites with the bookies. We're not convinced that's where the value bet lays in the match result market though – hence we've backed the draw above. It looks like the best value option.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Luton vs Swansea

Luton

Luton have a few players in the treatment room right now but with those now closing in on returns there is plenty to be optimistic about. If they can get through this game without defeat then they'll be on a reasonable little run and really carrying momentum into the run in. One way we can see them harnessing that positive energy is to keep a consistent lineup; changes to the XI will be few and far between.

Predicted lineup – Horvath, Osho, Lockyer, Bell, Drameh, Doughty, Nakamba, Mpanzu, Clark, Morris, Adebayo

Swansea

Swansea broke a run of consecutive defeats last time out with a draw against Rotherham but that does still mean they've only won two of their last 10 games. Despite the poor run, the Swans do have a near on full squad to choose from with just the one notable absentee in Steven Benda. That gives Russell Martin plenty of room to make changes to his team and we think a few faces will be rotated here.

Predicted lineup – Fisher, Manning, Wood, Cabango, Darling, Ntcham, Grimes, Allen, Whittaker, Fulton, Piroe

Luton vs Swansea Line ups

Luton

Luton
32
Gabriel Osho
gb
9
Carlton Morris
gb
4
Tom Lockyer
gb
29
Amari Bell
jm
18
Jordan Clark
gb
34
Ethan Horvath
us
13
Marvelous Nakamba
zw
45
Alfie Doughty
gb
22
Allan Campbell
gb
11
Elijah Adebayo
gb
2
Cody Drameh
gb
Substitutes
23
Fred Onyedinma
gb
25
Joe Taylor
gb
8
Luke Berry
gb
1
James Shea
gb
10
Cauley Woodrow
gb
5
Sonny Bradley
gb
17
Ruddock Pelly
cd

Swansea

Swansea
18
Luke Cundle
gb
23
Nathan Wood
gb
29
Matthew Sorinola
gb
31
Oliver Cooper
gb
1
Andy Fisher
gb
17
Joel Piroe
nl
5
Ben Cabango
gb
22
Joel Latibeaudiere
jm
7
Joe Allen
gb
3
Ryan Manning
ie
4
Jay Fulton
gb
Substitutes
6
Harry Darling
gb
26
Kyle Naughton
gb
19
Morgan Whittaker
gb
12
Jamie Paterson
gb
20
Liam Cullen
gb
27
Andreas Sondergaard
dk
28
Liam Walsh
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

We've predicted that a couple of goals will be scored in this game and Swansea striker Joel Piroe could be critical to the Swans getting a result. The 23-year-old Dutch forward has often been on the receiving end of positive reviews for his displays this season with links to the Premier League, which says a lot about his talents. On top of that, he's scored three goals in his last six games so he'll be in a pretty confident mood too.

Take a look at the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Ipswich

Ipswich

43 26 11 6 32 89
2 Leicester

Leicester

42 28 4 10 41 88
3 Leeds

Leeds

43 26 9 8 42 87
4 Southampton

Southampton

42 25 9 8 30 84
5 West Brom

West Brom

43 20 12 11 24 72
6 Norwich

Norwich

43 21 8 14 16 71
7 Hull

Hull

42 18 11 13 8 65
8 Coventry

Coventry

42 17 12 13 14 63
9 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

43 18 9 16 5 63
10 Preston

Preston

43 18 9 16 -4 63
11 Cardiff

Cardiff

43 18 5 20 -12 59
12 Bristol City

Bristol City

43 16 10 17 4 58
13 Sunderland

Sunderland

43 16 8 19 2 56
14 Swansea

Swansea

43 14 11 18 -9 53
15 Watford

Watford

43 12 16 15 1 52
16 Millwall

Millwall

43 13 11 19 -13 50
17 Blackburn

Blackburn

43 13 10 20 -14 49
18 Plymouth

Plymouth

43 12 12 19 -8 48
19 QPR

QPR

43 12 11 20 -17 47
20 Stoke

Stoke

43 12 11 20 -19 47
21 Birmingham

Birmingham

43 12 9 22 -16 45
22 Huddersfield

Huddersfield

43 9 17 17 -23 44
23 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

43 12 8 23 -31 44
24 Rotherham

Rotherham

43 4 11 28 -53 23

A quickfire FAQ on Luton – Swansea

Luton vs Swansea prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Kenilworth Road
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Luton
  • What time does the match kick off?  3 PM GMT

Avatar of Ash Munson
Ash Munson

Ash an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!