The first Tyne-Wear derby in the Premier League for nearly a decade awaits on Sunday afternoon as Sunderland play host to Newcastle at the Stadium of Light. The newly-promoted Black Cats are actually above the Magpies in the table, and so will fancy their chances of getting a positive result.
A win for either side could push them into the European places, which even at this stage of the season, could feel significant. Nonetheless, we are expecting a high-quality and physical battle when the two North East rivals face off this weekend.
Contents
Sunderland vs Newcastle prediction: Goals galore in entertaining derby?
Key stats
- Sunderland are unbeaten in seven home league games this season.
- Newcastle have lost three of their last four away league matches.
- Sunderland are unbeaten in nine Premier League H2Hs.
Correct score prediction: Sunderland 2-2 Newcastle
Sunderland have been excellent on home soil in the league this season, and we can see that continuing here against their biggest rivals. Newcastle have struggled on their travels, but are unbeaten in their previous two trips in all competitions, and the Magpies certainly boast the quality in forward areas to hurt the Black Cats.
Bet at Sky Bet on both teams to be carded at 50/1 odds!
If you see this being a rough, closely-contested match, you might want to check out this special offer from our partners at Sky Bet.
Use our promo link to register at Sky Bet and you can then back both teams to be carded at 50/1 odds.
T&C → New customers only. Min/max stake £1. Free Bets credited on top of winnings within 72 hours. First single & e/w bet only. 5 x £10 bet tokens. Free Bets for football BuildABets only. Free Bet stakes not included in returns. Free Bets are non-withdrawable. Free Bets expire after 14 days. Eligibility restrictions. Further T&Cs apply.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Newcastle favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Newcastle have been installed as the favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points away from home. Interestingly, a draw and a Sunderland win are separated by just 1.9%, hovering around the 30% mark.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Sunderland on remarkable unbeaten run
As mentioned before, Sunderland are undefeated in the previous nine meetings in total in the Premier League. Newcastle did win the last H2H though, a 3-0 victory at the Stadium of Light in the FA Cup in January 2024.
England FA Cup 06/01/24
Sunderland
Newcastle
England Premier League 20/03/16
Newcastle
Sunderland
England Premier League 25/10/15
Sunderland
Newcastle
England Premier League 05/04/15
Sunderland
Newcastle
England Premier League 21/12/14
Newcastle
Sunderland
Sunderland preview: Double injury boost
Both Reinildo Mandrava and Dennis Cirkin are fit and available for Sunderland. Habib Diarra is also set to return to training next week.
Predicted lineup: Roefs (GK); Mukiele, Geertruida, Ballard, Alderete, Hume; Traore, Xhaka, Sadiki, Le Fee & Isidor
Last five results:
- Manchester City 3-0 Sunderland
- Liverpool 1-1 Sunderland
- Sunderland 3-2 Bournemouth
- Fulham 1-0 Sunderland
- Sunderland 2-2 Arsenal
Newcastle preview: Joelinton to be assessed
Joelinton needs to be assessed after picking up a groin injury. Newcastle have reported no fresh concerns since drawing 2-2 at Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) in midweek.
Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK); Livramento, Thiaw, Burn, Hall; Miley, Guimaraes, Tonali; Elanga, Woltemade & Gordon
Last five results:
- Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Newcastle
- Newcastle 2-1 Burnley
- Newcastle 2-2 Tottenham
- Everton 1-4 Newcastle
- Marseille 2-1 Newcastle
Player to watch: Granit Xhaka
Granit Xhaka is built for a derby given his experience and style of play. The Sunderland captain will experience his first Tyne-Wear derby against Newcastle on Sunday afternoon, and his teammates will look to him to lead by example from the middle of the park as the Black Cats look for a positive result at the Stadium of Light.