In this article, we have given our Derby vs Sunderland prediction, odds & betting tips ahead of their Championship clash at Pride Park on Tuesday night. At the time of writing, the hosts are in 19th place on 27 points from 27 games played, while the visitors are in fourth spot on 51 points after the same number of matches played.
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Derby vs Sunderland prediction: Black Cats aiming to bounce back
Key stats
- Derby have lost five successive games in all competitions.
- Sunderland are winless in three away matches.
- Sunderland have won the last two H2Hs.
Correct score prediction: Derby 1-2 Sunderland
Derby will be wondering where their next win is going to come from, but Sunderland's recent form has been patchy at best. Nonetheless, the Black Cats should still be favourites given their far superior league position.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sunderland unsurprising favourites
- HOME: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Sunderland are expected to take home all three points. Interestingly, a Derby win and a draw are rated at the same probability.
Take a look at our football betting tips page if you would like more previews for the top games taking place midweek.
Most recent H2Hs: Derby dominated in small sample
Over the three previous H2Hs including in the reverse fixture earlier this season, Derby have failed to win any of them. Sunderland have won twice, with one draw.
England Championship 01/10/24
Sunderland
Derby
England Championship 30/03/18
Derby
Sunderland
England Championship 04/08/17
Sunderland
Derby
Derby preview: Rams on the ropes
Derby are only just outside of the relegation zone, after a dreadful run of defeats. The Rams need to turn their form around fast, or risk the inevitable.
Predicted Lineup: Vickers (GK), Elder, Nelson, Wilson, Forsyth, Mendez-Laing, Thompson, Adams, Harness, Goudmijn & Jackson
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
England Championship 08/04/25
D
Burnley
0
Derby
0
England Championship 05/04/25
L
Swansea
1
Derby
0
England Championship 02/04/25
W
Preston
0
Derby
2
England Championship 15/03/25
W
Plymouth
2
Derby
3
Sunderland preview: Black Cats still in promotion fight
Despite an inconsistent run of form, Sunderland are still very much in the mix for promotion. The Black Cats are favourites here, and need to take all three points.
Predicted Lineup: Patterson (GK), Hume, Mepham, Alese, Cirkin, Bellingham, O'Nien, Roberts, Neill, Aouchiche & Isidor
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Swansea
1
Sunderland
0
England Championship 08/04/25
D
Norwich
0
Sunderland
0
England Championship 05/04/25
W
West Brom
0
Sunderland
1
England Championship 29/03/25
W
Millwall
0
Sunderland
1
England Championship 15/03/25
L
Coventry
3
Sunderland
0
Player to watch – Wilson Isidor
All eyes will be on Wilson Isidor, who missed not one but two penalties in Sunderland's 0-0 draw against fellow promotion-hopefuls Burnley at Turf Moor last time out. The forward still boasts a total of eight goals in the Championship so far in the 2024/25 campaign though, and is the Black Cats' top scorer in the competition.