Sunderland vs Derby prediction, odds & betting tips – 01/10/2024

Sunderland in action - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 goals

Sunderland with 1-0 wins in previous two home games

Can the Black Cats reverse their recent defeat and return to winning ways against Derby County on Tuesday? Check out our Sunderland vs Derby predictions for this clash right here.

Sunderland vs Derby prediction: Black Cats to strike down Rams

Key stats

  • Sunderland averaging 2.00 goals per game this season
  • Derby are winless in their last 3 away games in the Championship
  • Sunderland haven’t lost to Derby since February 2001
  • Derby have conceded 10 goals in 7 Championship games this season

Correct score prediction: Sunderland 1-0 Derby

Sunderland have won their two most recent home games by a score of 1-0 over Middlesbrough and Burnley. As for Derby, they’ve lost all three games on the road this season, leading us to a 1-0 score prediction. 

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home side huge favourites

  • HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.00%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.70%
  • AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.00%

Understandably, Sunderland have a win probability of 60.00% here. This reflects the fact that they are 2nd in the Championship while Derby are 13th. It also reflects the fact that Derby have failed to get any points in any of their opening three away games.

Take a look at our football betting tips page if you’d like more previews for the top games taking place mid-week.

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Most recent H2Hs: A rivalry dominated by the Black Cats

As mentioned earlier, Sunderland hasn’t lost to Derby since February 2001. This alone is significant in terms of the belief they will have coming into this game. Additionally, Sunderland has won three of their last five meetings – two of them by a one-goal margin.

England Championship 30/03/18

Derby

Derby

1
Sunderland

Sunderland

4

England Championship 04/08/17

Sunderland

Sunderland

1
Derby

Derby

1

Sunderland preview: Eager to reverse recent loss

Although Sunderland are sitting in 2nd place right now in the Championship, they’ve actually lost two of their last three games. This will be concerning for the Black Cats. But they can get back on track with a win over Derby here.

Predicted Lineup: Patterson (GK), Hume, Mepham, O'Nien, Cirkin, Rigg, Niel, Bellingham, Roberts, Isidor, Mundle

England Championship 01/10/24

W

Derby

Derby

0

Sunderland

Sunderland

2

England Championship 28/09/24

L

Watford

Watford

2

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

England Championship 21/09/24

W

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

England Championship 14/09/24

L

Plymouth

Plymouth

3

Sunderland

Sunderland

2

England Championship 31/08/24

W

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

1

Sunderland

Sunderland

3

Derby preview: 3 losses from 3 away games this season

Derby has had a poor string of performances on the road this season. They’ve lost to Sheffield United, Watford, and West Brom on the road. And if this is anything to go by, they will struggle to get anything out of a game against Sunderland on Tuesday.

Predicted Lineup: Widell Zetterstrom (GK), Nyambe, Nelson, Cashin, Forsyth, Goudmijn, Osborn, Adams, Jackson, Yates, Mendez-Laing

England Championship 01/10/24

L

Sunderland

Sunderland

2

Derby

Derby

0

England Championship 28/09/24

L

Norwich

Norwich

3

Derby

Derby

2

England Championship 21/09/24

L

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Derby

Derby

0

England Championship 14/09/24

W

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Derby

Derby

1

England Championship 31/08/24

W

Bristol City

Bristol City

0

Derby

Derby

3

Player to watch – Romaine Mundle (Sunderland)

If there was one player to pick for this game who could single-handedly swing things in either team's favour, it has to be Romaine Mundle. This man might only have 3 goals in 7 games for Sunderland, but the goals he has scored have come at hugely important times. 

Romaine Mundle – Photo by Imago

Furthermore, Mundle seems to be more relaxed and performs to the best of his abilities during home games. So he is one to watch very closely on Tuesday for the Black Cats!


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