St. Pauli vs Stuttgart prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/05/2025

St. Pauli go head-to-head with Stuttgart at the Millerntor-Stadion in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 3 May. Read our German football predictions for the clash below.

St. Pauli vs Stuttgart prediction: Host have more motivation to perform

Key Stats

• Stuttgart have failed to win nine of their last ten assignments in the Bundesliga.
• Three of St Pauli’s last five home games in the league produced goals for just one of the teams involved.
• St. Pauli beat Stuttgart 1-0 when the teams met in December’s reverse fixture.
• St. Pauli have scored a league-low ten goals in 15 home league fixtures this term.

Correct score prediction: St. Pauli 1-0 Stuttgart

St. Pauli can secure their Bundesliga status for another year with the right result on Saturday and a second 1-0 win over Stuttgart of the campaign could get them over the line.

Pre-game odds and win probability: St. Pauli offer better value

• HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%
• DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
• AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

St. Pauli picked up a useful point at Werder Bremen (0-0) last time out and though they have lost just once in eight games overall, they will kick Saturday’s game off as 6/4 underdogs.

Stuttgart are locked in mid-table limbo and the 6/4 favourite’s run of one win in ten games suggests they are lacking in late-season motivation. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: St. Pauli chasing double

St. Pauli squeezed a 1-0 win out of their last meeting with Stuttgart in December. That was the first encounter between the clubs since 2020.

Germany Bundesliga I 21/12/24

VfB Stuttgart

0

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga II 01/02/20

St Pauli

1

VfB Stuttgart

1

Germany Bundesliga II 17/08/19

VfB Stuttgart

2

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga II 29/01/17

St Pauli

0

VfB Stuttgart

1

Germany Bundesliga II 08/08/16

VfB Stuttgart

2

St Pauli

1

St. Pauli preview: Hosts chasing safety

Jackson Irvine, Sascha Burchert, Simon Zoller, James Sands and Karol Mets are sidelined for St. Pauli. If other results run favourably this weekend, St. Pauli could confirm their safety with just a point on Saturday.

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Nemeth, Wahl, Van der Heyden, Saliakas, Boukhalfa, Smith, Treu, Weißhaupt, Guilavogui, Sinani

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25

D

Eintracht Frankfurt

2

St Pauli

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

L

VfB Stuttgart

1

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25

D

Werder Bremen

0

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25

D

Bayer Leverkusen

1

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

W

Holstein Kiel

1

St Pauli

2

Stuttgart preview: Visitors have injury problems

Stuttgart have several injury issues to contend with and El Bilal Toure, Josha Vagnoman, Anrie Chase, Justin Diehl, Dan Axel Zagadou, Enzo Millot and Luca Raimund are expected to miss out on Saturday. Stuttgart lost 1-0 to Heidenheim last time out.

Predicted lineup Nubel (GK), Stergiou, Jeltsch, Chabot, Mittelstadt, Karazor, Stiller, Rieder, Undav, Fuhrich, Demirovic

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25

W

Augsburg

0

VfB Stuttgart

4

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

W

St Pauli

0

VfB Stuttgart

1

Germany Bundesliga I 25/04/25

L

Heidenheim

1

VfB Stuttgart

0

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

Union Berlin

4

VfB Stuttgart

4

Germany Bundesliga I 13/04/25

L

Werder Bremen

2

VfB Stuttgart

1

Player to watch – Nikola Vasilj

Despite their status as a relegation candidate, St. Pauli have a good defensive record this season and only four clubs have kept more clean sheets than St. Pauli (nine) have in the Bundesliga since August and keeper Nikola Vasilj has been key in that regard.

Vasilj’s reflexes could be tested again

Vasilj has started 100% of St. Pauli’s 31 Bundesliga fixtures this season and the 29-year-old will maintain his ever-present record on Saturday. The reliable stopper will be determined to secure a 10^th shutout of the campaign against Stuttgart.