Marseille are bidding to close the gap to PSG at the top of Ligue 1 on Sunday. Our Marseille vs Strasbourg prediction and Ligue 1 betting tips consider whether they can extend their current good run with another win.
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Marseille vs Strasbourg prediction: Goals to flow in home win
Key stats
- Our Marseille vs Strasbourg betting tips take into account that 75% of league matches at the Velodrome this term have seen both teams score.
- Marseille have won five of their last six in Ligue 1, but only kept one clean sheet during that period.
- 78% of Strasbourg’s away games in the league have produced goals at each end.
Correct score prediction: Marseille 3-2 Strasbourg
This should be a good game, with both teams ranking in the top four for goals scored in Ligue 1 this term.
Overall, Marseille have more quality though and on current form, they should punish a Strasbourg defence that has been leaking goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Marseille win expected
- HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Marseille vs Strasbourg odds with an implied probability of 64.5% that they win this match.
They head into this game after a 1-1 draw against Lille in the French Cup in midweek, with a 4-3 shootout defeat meaning they exited the competition.
There was better luck from 12 yards for Strasbourg, as they saw off Thaon on penalties after a 2-2 draw on Wednesday, with Rayane Messi scoring twice.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Not a happy hunting ground for Strasbourg
Our Marseille vs Strasbourg prediction suggests the hosts can end a winless run of five games against this opposition. Four of those matches ended in score draws.
Marseille are unbeaten in 17 home games against Strasbourg though.
France Ligue 1 29/09/24
Strasbourg
Marseille
France Ligue 1 12/01/24
Marseille
Strasbourg
France Ligue 1 25/11/23
Strasbourg
Marseille
France Ligue 1 12/03/23
Marseille
Strasbourg
France Ligue 1 29/10/22
Strasbourg
Marseille
Marseille preview: Injury problems for De Zerbi
The hosts are likely to be missing Valentin Carboni, Amine Harit, Chancel Mbemba and Faris Moumbagna to injury. Valentin Rongier and Geoffrey Kondogbia are rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Rulli (GK), Murillo, Balerdi, Cornelius, Merlin, Rongier, Hojberg, Henrique, Greenwood, Rabiot & Maupay
France Ligue 1 10/05/25 W Le Havre 1 Marseille 3 France Ligue 1 04/05/25 D Lille 1 Marseille 1 France Ligue 1 27/04/25 W Brest 1 Marseille 4 France Ligue 1 19/04/25 W Montpellier 1 Marseille 5 France Ligue 1 12/04/25 L Monaco 3 Marseille 0
Strasbourg preview: Several doubts for the visitors
The away team have doubts over Alaa Bellaarouch, Sekou Mara, Junior Mwanga and Abdoul Ouattara. Caleb Wiley, Thomas Delaine and Moise Sahi Dion are injured.
Predicted Lineup: Petrovic (GK), Moreira, Sarr, Doukoure, Doue, Nanasi, Diarra, Santos, Bakwa, Lemarechal & Emegha
France Ligue 1 10/05/25 L Angers 2 Strasbourg 1 France Ligue 1 03/05/25 W PSG 1 Strasbourg 2 France Ligue 1 26/04/25 W St Etienne 1 Strasbourg 3 France Ligue 1 19/04/25 D Monaco 0 Strasbourg 0 France Ligue 1 12/04/25 D Nice 2 Strasbourg 2
Player to watch – Mason Greenwood
It has been a cracking season so far for Mason Greenwood. The former Manchester United man has scored 11 goals in 17 appearances in Ligue 1.
Greenwood striking midway through the second half
The 23-year-old has been particularly damaging midway through the second half. 36% of his league goals have come between the 61st and 75th minutes.