An exciting top-six clash awaits in Ligue 1 on Friday night as Strasbourg welcome Marseille to the Stade de La Meinau. The hosts are in fourth place with a total of 12 points earned from five games played at the time of writing.
Meanwhile, the visitors are not far behind them in sixth, with nine points earned from the same number of matches. That includes an impressive 1-0 win against reigning champions PSG on home soil last time out.
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Strasbourg vs Marseille prediction: Back another home win?
Key stats
- Strasbourg have won both of their home league games so far this season.
- Marseille have lost all three away matches in all competitions.
- All of those results have been decided by a single-goal margin.
Correct score prediction: Strasbourg 2-1 Marseille
These two teams are clearly among the strongest in the division, and so both should put up a decent fight. Given Strasbourg's strong home form and Marseille's poor results on their travels, we feel inclined to back another home win here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Marseille favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.6%
- AWAY: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Marseille are actually the favourites with bookmakers to record their first win of the season on their travels. Interestingly, a Strasbourg victory is rated just 1% above a draw in terms of likely outcomes.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page, as well as our Ligue 1 predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: BTTS a banker?
In the last six league meetings, Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has come through five times, suggesting that Strasbourg and Marseille are likely to find the net again on Friday night. Interestingly, all five of those H2Hs ended in draws, implying that this could be another close encounter.
France Ligue 1 19/01/25
Marseille
Strasbourg
France Ligue 1 29/09/24
Strasbourg
Marseille
France Ligue 1 12/01/24
Marseille
Strasbourg
France Ligue 1 25/11/23
Strasbourg
Marseille
France Ligue 1 12/03/23
Marseille
Strasbourg
Strasbourg preview: Hogsberg back from suspension
Lucas Hogsberg will return from suspension for Strasbourg, although it is unclear whether he will get into the starting XI. Saidou Sow, Julio Enciso, Sebastian Nanasi, Maxi Oyedele and Abakar Sylla are all doubts with injury.
Predicted lineup: Penders (GK); Ouattara, Doukoure, Sarr, Chilwell; Doue, Amougou, Barco, Godo; Panichelli & Paez
Last five results:
- Paris FC 2-3 Strasbourg
- Strasbourg 1-0 Le Havre
- Monaco 3-2 Strasbourg
- Brondby 2-3 Strasbourg
- Strasbourg 1-0 Nantes
Marseille preview: Three injury doubts
As for Marseille, they are expected to be without the injured trio of Ruben Blanco, Geoffrey Kondogbia and Hamed Traore. Roberto De Zerbi is expected to serve a touchline ban after being shown a red card against PSG last time out.
Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK); Pavard, Balerdi, Aguerd; Weah, Nadir, Hojbjerg, Gomes; Greenwood, Paixao & Gouri
Last five results:
- Marseille 1-0 PSG
- Real Madrid 2-1 Marseille
- Marseille 4-0 Lorient
- Lyon 1-0 Marseille
- Marseille 5-2 Paris FC
Player to watch: Kendry Paez
18-year-old Kendry Paez showcased his talents by opening the scoring for Strasbourg in their 3-2 win at Paris FC last time out. The Chelsea loanee now has a taste for goals upon the arrival of Marseille on Friday night.