Southampton welcome Stoke to St. Mary’s Stadium in the Last 16 of the Carabao Cup on Tuesday, 29 October. Read our Carabao Cup predictions for the clash below.
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Southampton vs Stoke prediction: Saints to make home advantage count?
Key Stats
- Southampton knocked Cardiff and Everton out in the competition’s previous two rounds.
- BTTS landed in seven of Southampton’s last nine games in all competitions.
- Stoke conceded two goals in each of their last two assignments.
- Cameron Archer scored in two of his last three appearances for the Saints.
Correct score prediction: Southampton 2-1 Stoke
Both teams managed to notch in seven of Southampton’s last nine fixtures and goals at both ends are anticipated again when the Saints host Championship side Stoke. The Potters conceded twice in each of their last two matches however, and could ship another brace here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Stoke are major underdogs
- HOME: 12/25 (1.48) – 67.6%
- DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Southampton have been in miserable form in the Premier League, though they have found joy in the Carabao Cup so far and should be able to deliver another win as 12/25 favourites against Stoke.
Stoke have won only once in seven attempts meanwhile, and the Potters, who have just a 16.7% chance of winning on Tuesday could struggle again at St. Mary’s Stadium. View more of our latest football predictions on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Margins have been slim
Stoke and Southampton met twice last season in the Championship and the teams managed to record one 1-0 win each.
England Championship 27/04/24
Southampton
Stoke
England Championship 03/10/23
Stoke
Southampton
England Premier League 03/03/18
Southampton
Stoke
England Premier League 30/09/17
Stoke
Southampton
England Premier League 21/05/17
Southampton
Stoke
Southampton preview: Saints missing three
Will Smallbone, Ross Stewart and Gavin Bazunu are sidelined for Southampton while Luan Larios is considered a doubt. The Saints lost 1-0 at Manchester City at the weekend, though they got away lightly after they conceded 22 shots and an xGA of 2.90.
Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK) – Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Walker-Peters, Dibling, Aribo, Downes, Fernandes, Manning, Archer
England Premier League 10/05/25
D
Man City
0
Southampton
0
England Premier League 03/05/25
L
Leicester
2
Southampton
0
England Premier League 26/04/25
L
Fulham
2
Southampton
1
England Premier League 19/04/25
D
West Ham
1
Southampton
1
England Premier League 12/04/25
L
Aston Villa
3
Southampton
0
Stoke preview: Potters without four
Stoke will be without the services of Sam Gallagher, Bosun Lawal, Lynden Gooch and Ben Pearson on Tuesday. The Potters limped to a 2-0 reverse at Sheffield United in their last league assignment at the weekend.
Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Tchamadeu, Wilmot, Phillips, Gibson, Stevens, Manhoef, Moran, Burger, Koumas, Cannon
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Derby
0
Stoke
0
England Championship 25/04/25
L
Sheff Utd
2
Stoke
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Leeds
6
Stoke
0
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Sheff Wed
0
Stoke
2
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Cardiff
0
Stoke
1
Player to watch – Cameron Archer
Southampton have been struggling in the goal-scoring department this season, though Cameron Archer has been doing his best to drag the Saints’ numbers up and he should be a threat in the final third again on Tuesday.
Archer is the Saints’ most dangerous attacker
Archer managed to find the net in two of Southampton’s last three games and the versatile 22-year-old is the likeliest Saint to produce a match-changing moment again in midweek.