Middlesbrough vs Stoke prediction
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 total goals

Middlesbrough's last three matches have all produced fewer than three goals.

Middlesbrough will look to bounce from their derby day defeat to Sunderland when they take on Stoke at the Riverside this weekend.

The hosts have had an average start to the campaign, winning twice, drawing twice and losing twice in their opening six league fixtures of the campaign.

The visitors have had a poor start, though, picking up just six points from their opening six matches and another season battling relegation looms large.

As part of our latest round of Championship betting tips, check out our Middlesbrough vs Stoke prediction.

Middlesbrough vs Stoke prediction: A tight clash to end all square

Key Stats

  • Five of Middlesbrough's six Championship matches this season have produced fewer than three goals.
  • Three of Stokes' last four matches have produced fewer than three goals.
  • One-third of Middlesbrough's fixtures this season have ended in a draw.
  • The two teams only combined for seven corners last weekend.

Correct score prediction: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke

Stoke could be heading for their first draw of the season this weekend as these two teams are pretty evenly matched on paper. Middlesbrough have already drawn twice and they have been good at keeping league matches to low scorelines so don't expect either team to score more than once on Saturday afternoon.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts come in as favourites 

  • WIN: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Middlesbrough come into this match as favourites with the bookies seemingly believing that home advantage could play a key role in determining the winner on Saturday. Ladbrokes have priced a home win at 4/6 while a win for Stoke has been priced as short as 19/5. The draw, which we are predicting, has been priced at 29/10.

Check out today's betting tips page for more predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Battle scars for Boro

Middlesbrough's status as favourites for this match will raise some eyebrows as it was only last month that Stoke turned up to the Riverside in the EFL Cup and hammered the hosts 5-0. That result wasn't exactly out of the ordinary either as the Potters are unbeaten in their last five matches against Boro and also won at the Riverside in last season's corresponding fixture.

England EFL Cup 27/08/24

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0
Stoke

Stoke

5

England Championship 02/03/24

Stoke

Stoke

2
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

England Championship 28/10/23

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0
Stoke

Stoke

2

England Championship 14/03/23

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

1
Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 17/08/22

Stoke

Stoke

2
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2

Middlesbrough preview: Time to excite the fans again

Michael Carrick was the flavour of the month when he took over at Middlesbrough a couple of seasons ago but things have stagnated slightly over the past six months or so. While nobody is suggesting that the former Man Utd midfielder should be axed, a return to the free-flowing football fans saw when he first joined the club wouldn't go amiss.

Predicted lineup: Dieng (GK), Ayling, Edmundson, Clarke, Borges, Hackney, Morris, Doak, Conway, McGree, Latte Lath.

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Coventry

Coventry

2

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

England Championship 26/04/25

D

Norwich

Norwich

0

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

England Championship 21/04/25

L

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

2

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

1

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Millwall

Millwall

1

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

Stoke preview: At a crossroad

Steven Schumacher deserves praise for the job he did at Stoke last season and keeping them up was a case of mission accomplished. What they can go on to do this season remains to be seen but there is a feeling around the club that they are at a bit of a crossroads. A win on the road could make the season ahead a lot clearer.

Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Tchamadeu, Wilmot, Gibson, Bocat, Koumas, Thompson, Burger, Bae, Manhoef, Cannon.

England Championship 03/05/25

D

Derby

Derby

0

Stoke

Stoke

0

England Championship 25/04/25

L

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

2

Stoke

Stoke

0

England Championship 21/04/25

L

Leeds

Leeds

6

Stoke

Stoke

0

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

0

Stoke

Stoke

2

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Stoke

Stoke

1

Player to watch: Emmanuel Latte Lath

Emmanuel Latte Lath

Emmanuel Latte Lath had a season to remember in 2023/24, scoring 16 league goals for Middlesbrough in his first season for the club. This time around, the Ivory Coast international is perhaps suffering from second-season syndrome as his yet to find anything close to that form.

Although Latte Lath netted on the opening weekend of the season, he has since done nothing of note and Michael Carrick will be concerned. Can he temper those concerns this weekend?


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.