Leeds continue their promotion push with a Boxing Day trip to the Bet365 Stadium. Our Stoke vs Leeds prediction and Championship betting tips consider whether they can leave with maximum points.
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Stoke vs Leeds prediction: James to score in road win
Key stats
- Our Stoke vs Leeds betting tips take into account that the hosts have collected just one point from their last five Championship games.
- With an average of 1.86 goals per game, Leeds are the highest scorers in the Championship.
- Leeds are unbeaten against current bottom half opponents, winning eight and drawing three this season.
Correct score prediction: Stoke 1-2 Leeds
Having fired in four goals last time out, Leeds should head into this game full of confidence and expecting to put another three points on the board.
While they haven’t been as convincing on the road as at home this season, they should still have too much quality for an out of sorts Stoke side here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the clear favourites
- HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- AWAY: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Stoke vs Leeds odds with an implied probability of 65.2% that they win this match.
Leeds were convincing 4-0 winners over Oxford last time out, with Jayden Bogle, Brenden Aaronson and Manor Solomon scoring in quick succession after the interval.
As for Stoke, they were beaten 2-0 at Sheffield Wednesday at the weekend as the pressure mounts on Narcis Pelach.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: A mixed picture
Our Stoke vs Leeds prediction suggests the Yorkshire side will win this, but it has been an even rivalry in recent years.
The last six meetings in the Potteries have served up three wins each, with Stoke 1-0 victors in this fixture last term.
England Championship 05/03/24
Leeds
Stoke
England Championship 25/10/23
Stoke
Leeds
England Championship 09/07/20
Leeds
Stoke
England EFL Cup 27/08/19
Leeds
Stoke
England Championship 24/08/19
Stoke
Leeds
Stoke preview: Injury problems for the hosts
There’ll be no Ben Pearson, Enda Stevens, Million Manhoef or Jordan Thompson for Stoke, with all four players carrying injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Johansson (GK), Wilmot, Gibson, Phillips, Bocat, Burger, Seko, Tchamadeu, Moran, Jun-Ho & Cannon
England Championship 03/05/25
D Derby 0 Stoke 0 England Championship 25/04/25
L Sheff Utd 2 Stoke 0 England Championship 21/04/25
L Leeds 6 Stoke 0 England Championship 18/04/25
W Sheff Wed 0 Stoke 2 England Championship 12/04/25
W Cardiff 0 Stoke 1
Leeds preview: Minor changes possible
We may see some light rotation from the visitors with a busy schedule ahead over the festive period. Ilia Gruev and Junior Firpo are injured, while Max Wober is rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Meslier (GK), Byram, Rodon, Struijk, Bogle, Rothwell, Tanaka, Solomon, Aaronson, James & Joseph
England Championship 03/05/25
W Plymouth 1 Leeds 2 England Championship 28/04/25
W Bristol City 0 Leeds 4 England Championship 21/04/25
W Stoke 0 Leeds 6 England Championship 18/04/25
W Oxford Utd 0 Leeds 1 England Championship 12/04/25
W Preston 1 Leeds 2
Player to watch – Dan James
It was Dan James who started the scoring for Leeds at the weekend. The winger is in good form with goals in three of his last six Championship appearances to take his season tally to five.
James offering wide threat
The 27-year-old is averaging 2.2 shots and 1.4 key passes per game in the Championship this term. Both figures are a slight increase on last season.