Another exciting cup tie beckons, with Stoke taking on Fleetwood at home. Can the visitors do anything to upset the odds and take down the Potters on the road? Let’s find out!
Contents
- 1 Stoke vs Fleetwood prediction: Stoke City hopeful for another scoring masterclass
- 2 Most recent H2Hs: a short-lived history where Stoke shines
- 3 Stoke preview: 7 goals in just two cup games
- 4 Fleetwood preview: riding their luck following two tight cup victories
- 5 Player to watch – Million Manhoef (Stoke)
Stoke vs Fleetwood prediction: Stoke City hopeful for another scoring masterclass
Key stats
- Stoke City have won 2 of their first 5 Championship matches this season
- Fleetwood Town have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their first 5 League Two games
- Stoke are averaging 3.50 goals per game in the EFL Cup this season
- Fleetwood have conceded at least 1 goal in both of their last two cup fixtures
Correct score prediction: Stoke 2-0 Fleetwood
Stoke’s form has been up and down this season as far as their results in the Championship go. But in the EFL Cup, they’ve been flawless – netting 7 goals and conceding zero in their two previous wins. Fleetwood, on the other hand, has edged their way into the third round, and they will find this one a tall order.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Stoke favourites for home victory
- HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.70%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.10%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.70%
Based on Stoke’s position in the Championship and their previous 5-0 drumming over Boro in the EFL Cup, we agree with the 66.70% win probability here.
Don’t forget to check out our football betting tips page for more interesting predictions ahead of the top games this week!
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: a short-lived history where Stoke shines
In terms of recent matches, we’ve got just one to look back on. This was also in the EFL Cup, as it happens, and it was a game in which Stoke won 2-1. However, that was back in 2021, and we’d say Stoke has looked better in the cup so far compared to that season.
England EFL Cup 10/08/21
Stoke
Fleetwood Town
Stoke preview: 7 goals in just two cup games
Stoke might not be tearing things up in the EFL Championship, but when it comes to the cup, they’ve been ruthless. Stoke have reached round three with 2-0 and 5-0 wins over Carlisle and Middlesbrough, respectively. Both results have been on the road, too, so they could be even more emphatic at home.
Predicted Lineup: Iversen (GK), Hoever, Wilmot, Rose, Gooch, Pearson, Burger, Vidigal, Laurent, Mmaee, Campbell
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Derby
0
Stoke
0
England Championship 25/04/25
L
Sheff Utd
2
Stoke
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Leeds
6
Stoke
0
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Sheff Wed
0
Stoke
2
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Cardiff
0
Stoke
1
Fleetwood preview: riding their luck following two tight cup victories
As a League Two side, Fleetwood has already surpassed expectations by reaching the third round of the EFL Cup. One of these wins came over Championship leaders, West Brom, too, which will give them a ton of confidence here. However, that was at home – travelling to Stoke is a different kettle of fish.
Predicted Lineup: Lynch (GK), Holgate, Wiredu, Earl, Rooney, Vela, Quitirna, Graydon, Sarpong-Wiredu, Hayes, Stockley
England League 2 03/05/25
L
Bradford
1
Fleetwood Town
0
England League 2 26/04/25
W
Newport County
0
Fleetwood Town
2
England League 2 21/04/25
L
Harrogate Town
3
Fleetwood Town
1
England League 2 18/04/25
D
Barrow
0
Fleetwood Town
0
England League 2 12/04/25
L
Chesterfield
3
Fleetwood Town
0
Player to watch – Million Manhoef (Stoke)
It’s hard to ignore a player who scored two goals on the road against Boro in Stoke’s last EFL Cup match. Manhoef played like a man possessed in that game, and we expect him to be pivotal again here.
Only this time, he’s going up against weaker opposition, so he could be even more dangerous.