Burnley will take on Stoke City at Turf Moor on Wednesday, 1 January with both teams looking to start 2025 in the best possible way.
The hosts come into the match on the back of a 0-0 draw with Middlesbrough which saw them fall three points behind Leeds as the race for automatic promotion heats up.
Stoke, meanwhile, beat Sunderland 1-0 in a result that benefitted Burnley but the Clarets won't be thinking about going easy on them despite that favour.
As part of our latest round of Championship betting tips, check out our Burnley vs Stoke prediction below.
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Stoke vs Burnley prediction: A comfortable win for the hosts
Key stats
- Burnley have won three of their last four Championship matches.
- Stoke have only won one of their last nine Championship matches.
- Burnley have kept a clean sheet in each of their last two Championship matches.
Correct score prediction: Burnley 2-0 Stoke
Burnley started the season looking like a team that were going to be high-scoring entertainers but that has flipped on its head. They are now a team built on a strong defence and have made winning to nil a habit in recent weeks. Stoke have failed to score in two of their last three games and a similar fate could await them on Saturday against the league's best defence.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Stoke go in as underdogs
- HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Burnley vs Stoke odds suggest that this is will be a relatively straightforward night for the hosts and we are inclined to agree. Burnley, the side we are backing, have been given a 64.5% chance of winning the match by Ladbrokes while Stoke have been given just a 16.7% chance of picking up an unlikely away win.
Check out our betting tips today page for more Championship predictions this week.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Burnley
Burnley are unbeaten in their last six matches against Stoke which should fill Scott Parker with plenty of confidence ahead of this one especially as they beat them 2-0 just four weeks ago. Stoke's last win against the Clarets came in December 2016 when both teams were still in the Premier League.
England Championship 30/11/24
Stoke
Burnley
England Championship 30/12/22
Stoke
Burnley
England Championship 05/10/22
Burnley
Stoke
England Premier League 22/04/18
Stoke
Burnley
England Premier League 12/12/17
Burnley
Stoke
Burnley preview: A boring but effective winning model?
Winning games by large scorelines was never going to be sustainable for this Burnley side and Scott Parker is perhaps now being vindicated for the defensive approach he has adopted for much of the season. If they carry on winning 1-0 and end up going up, then their fans won't be complaining.
Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Roberts, Egan-Riley, Esteve, Humphreys, Brownhill, Cullen, Anthony, Mejbri, Flemming, Foster
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Millwall
1
Burnley
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
QPR
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sheff Utd
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Watford
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2
Stoke preview: Can the win over Sunderland be a springboard?
Stoke's victory over Sunderland last time out ended a nine-match winless streak that ultimately got Narcis Pelach the sack at the Bet365 Stadium. Ryan Shawcross took temporary charge in the win over the Black Cats and he will be in the dugout once again here. If he can pick up a victory at Turf Moor he could even end up being offered the job on a full-time basis.
Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Tchamadeu, Phillips, Wilmot, Stevens, Burger, Seko, Gallagher, Moran, Hun-Ho, Cannon
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Derby
0
Stoke
0
England Championship 25/04/25
L
Sheff Utd
2
Stoke
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Leeds
6
Stoke
0
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Sheff Wed
0
Stoke
2
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Cardiff
0
Stoke
1