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St Pauli will host Wolfsburg in a high-stakes German Bundesliga survival showdown at the Millerntor-Stadion this Saturday.
This final-day encounter is a literal “winner-takes-all” scenario for top-flight security, as both teams enter the weekend tied on 26 points in the relegation zone's deepest trenches.
The hosts must overcome their recent offensive drought to leapfrog the visitors, while the Wolves aim to utilise their superior goal difference to navigate a path to safety in what promises to be a nerve-shredding afternoon of German football.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
St Pauli vs. Wolfsburg key stats
- St Pauli have failed to win any of their last nine matches in the Bundesliga, a dismal run that includes six losses and three draws.
- The home side have struggled to keep a clean sheet in their last eight Bundesliga games.
- Historically, Wolfsburg have been the dominant force in this matchup, remaining unbeaten in their last five league meetings.
St Pauli vs. Wolfsburg preview: The ultimate battle for Bundesliga survival
St Pauli vs Wolfsburg — Tale of the Tape
| St Pauli | vs | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Position | 16th |
| 26 | Points | 26 |
| 28 | Goals For | 42 |
| 57 | Goals Against | 68 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 17th | Home / Away Rank | 11th |
It all comes down to the final day in the Bundesliga as St Pauli and Wolfsburg meet in a huge relegation showdown, with both sides level on 26 points alongside Heidenheim in the bottom three.
Fixtures rarely come with more pressure than this, as the hosts enter a winner-takes-all battle to preserve their Bundesliga status.
Last weekend’s 2-1 defeat to RB Leipzig dropped the hosts to the foot of the table on goal difference, a position not helped by their league-low tally of just 28 goals scored this season.
Confidence around the club is understandably fragile, leaving supporters fearing an immediate return to the second tier.
On the other hand, Wolfsburg have avoided defeat in back-to-back away league matches, and they also head into this decisive clash staring relegation squarely in the face.
The Wolves are suffering the worst Bundesliga campaign in their history in terms of points accumulated and have already recorded a club-record 19 league defeats this term.
Their latest setback came in a narrow 1-0 loss to champions Bayern Munich, a match in which Wolfsburg somehow failed to score.
One positive for the visitors is their strong recent record against bottom-placed sides, having lost only one of their last ten such meetings.
St Pauli vs. Wolfsburg form guide & betting tips
| St Pauli | vs | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
LDLLL |
Form | LWDDL |
| 1 | Points | 5 |
| 18th | Form Table | 12th |
| 3 | Goals For | 4 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 5 |
LDLLL |
Form (All Comps) | LWDDL |
Whispers predicts: St Pauli 2-2 Wolfsburg
St Pauli’s form has been catastrophic at the worst possible time, and their lack of a clinical edge makes it difficult to back them in such a crucial fixture.
Wolfsburg showed enough against Bayern Munich to suggest they are still fighting for their survival, and their recent head-to-head dominance over the hosts cannot be ignored.
However, we expect both teams to settle for a draw in this encounter as they look to secure top-flight status.
The bookmakers have the visitors as slight favourites at 2.50, while a draw is priced at 3.60, and a home victory for St. Pauli is valued at 2.55, showing just how tight this game will be.
Both teams to score (yes) market at 1.53 is very attractive, and over 2.5 goals is at 1.61, as we expect goals in this game.
> Full-time draw at 3.60 | Likelihood: Probable
> Both teams to score at 1.53 | Likelihood: Probable
> Over 2.5 goals at 1.61 | Likelihood: Probable