Bundesliga action comes to a close on Sunday with a huge derby clash between St Pauli and Werder Bremen, with both clubs currently occupying the bottom three.
Can the hosts earn their second win in three games, or will the River Islanders finally start scoring? Read our St Pauli vs Werder Bremen prediction and preview to find out, but don’t forget to also check out our other Bundesliga predictions here.
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St Pauli vs Werder Bremen prediction: Hosts on the up at the Millerntor
Key Stats
- St Pauli are unbeaten in their last four matches at home.
- St Pauli’s last three matches have seen at least 10 corners awarded.
- Werder Bremen have failed to score in four of their previous five matches.
- Only St Pauli (20) and Heidenheim (19) have scored fewer Bundesliga goals than Werder Bremen (22) this season.
Correct score prediction: St Pauli 1-0 Werder Bremen
The fight to avoid relegation is heating up in the Bundesliga, and things are about to get serious this Sunday as 17th-placed St Pauli take on 16th-placed Werder Bremen.
The hosts gave themselves a huge lifeline in the battle against the drop by beating VfB Stuttgart 2-1 a fortnight ago – their fourth league win of the season.
Despite that significant win, Alexander Blessin’s men were unable to back it up, facing a 4-0 thumping at the hands of Bayer Leverkusen just one week later.
Werder Bremen, meanwhile, are under new leadership after the club appointed former Hamburger SV head coach Daniel Thioune.
The new boss has not experienced a manager bounce, with his first two matches both ending in defeats against Freiburg and Bayern Munich.
The biggest concern for the visitors is their lack of goals, with the club managing to rattle the net in just one of their last five matches.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers stumped
HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at those St Pauli vs Werder Bremen odds, the bookmakers are clearly struggling to pick a favourite.
If you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Bremen
Werder Bremen have won two of their last three meetings with St Pauli, including their last encounter back in October.
Three of their last five head-to-head games also ended in draws, suggesting we should be in for a tight match on Sunday.
Club Friendly List 04/01/26
St Pauli
Werder Bremen
Germany Bundesliga I 04/10/25
Werder Bremen
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25
Werder Bremen
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga I 14/12/24
St Pauli
Werder Bremen
Europe Friendlies 04/01/23
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St Pauli preview: Improving home form
With just one win from their last eight Bundesliga games to their name, the alarm bells are certainly ringing for St Pauli.
Despite this, there are positives for the club. One of them is home form, which has seen the club go four matches unbeaten in front of their own fans.
Secondly, there are a number of players returning from injuries, including David Nemeth, who completed his first team training session this week.
Connor Metcalfe, Mathias Pereira Lage, Eric Smith and Hauke Wahl are also on the road to recovery.
There is some bad news, with Andreas Hountondji and Ricky-Jade Jones both out of action with ankle injuries.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Ando, Smith, Mets, Saliakas, Sands, Irvine, Pyrka, Sinani, Fujita & Kaars
Last five matches
14/02/26: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
07/02/26: St. Pauli 2-1 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga)
03/02/26: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 St. Pauli (DFB Pokal)
31/01/26: Augsburg 2-1 St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
27/01/26: St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
Werder Bremen preview: Visitors in serious trouble
Having last tasted victory back in November, there are serious concerns about Werder Bremen and their survival bid.
The River Islanders have failed to score in seven of nine games, including Thioune’s first two matches as head coach.
In terms of personnel, on-loan striker Victor Boniface remains on the sidelines with a knee problem.
Amos Pieper, Mitchell Weiser, Maximilian Wober and Karim Coulibaly will join him on the sidelines for Sunday’s encounter.
Predicted lineup: Backhaus (GK), Sugawara, Stark, Friedl, Agu, Stage, Lynen, Puertas, Njinmah, Topp & Schmid
Last five matches
14/02/26: Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
07/02/26: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
31/01/26: Werder Bremen 1-1 Borussia M'gladbach (Bundesliga)
27/01/26: Werder Bremen 0-2 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
24/01/26: Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
Player to watch: Danel Sinani (St Pauli)
With two goals in four games to his name, forward Danel Sinani is the man to watch this Sunday.
The 28-year-old recently returned from his calf injury, and he has injected a lot of quality into St Pauli's attack. The hosts will be hoping for that to continue as they look to drag themselves out of relegation danger.