St Pauli vs RB Leipzig prediction, odds & betting tips 22/09/2024

St Pauli vs RB Leipzig predictions
Photo by IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

Four of both teams' last six respective games went above the 2.5-goal line

RB Leipzig will visit Millerntor-Stadion for their Bundesliga clash with newly promoted St Pauli on Sunday, 22 September. View our free St Pauli vs RB Leipzig predictions below.

St Pauli vs RB Leipzig predictions: Visitors to reign supreme

Key stats

  • St Pauli have lost three out of three Bundesliga games this season.
  • In contrast, RB Leipzig won four of their last six matches across all competitions.
  • Four of St Pauli's last five matches, and three of RB Leipzig's last four games featured at least three goals.
  • Interestingly, St Pauli came out on top the last three times these teams squared off against each other.

Correct score prediction: St Pauli 1-3 RB Leipzig

St Pauli are currently on a three-match losing run. They are up against third-placed RB Leipzig, who have four wins in their previous six games. Although St Pauli will likely give everything they have to win this match, Leipzig should be able to secure all three points after 90 minutes.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Leipzig are clear favourites

  • HOME:19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
  • DRAW:3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY:13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

St Pauli gained promotion to the Bundesliga after a 14-year absence. However, their return to the German top flight has not gone as well as they had hoped, as they suffered three defeats in as many league matches so far.

Bearing St Pauli's recent struggles in mind, RB Leipzig are the expected winners at 13/20 (1.65). Teams with these odds usually have a 60% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our St Pauli vs RB Leipzig predictions.

It is also important to point out that both teams were on the scoresheet in five of RB Leipzig's last seven matches. For this reason, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 3/4 (1.75). That one has a 57.1% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Can St Pauli extend their winning streak against RB Leipzig?

To be fair, St Pauli were the victors in their last three clashes with RB Leipzig. However, the most recent encounter between these teams took place in February 2016, when both teams played in the 2. Bundesliga.

Germany Bundesliga II 12/02/16

St Pauli

St Pauli

1
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga II 23/08/15

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0
St Pauli

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga II 03/05/15

St Pauli

St Pauli

1
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga II 23/11/14

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

4
St Pauli

St Pauli

1

St Pauli preview: Hoping to avoid a fourth consecutive defeat

Morgan Guilavogui became the latest addition to the injury list of St Pauli last weekend. He joins Simon Zoller, Soren Ahlers, Sascha Burchert, and Connor Metcalfe on the sidelines.

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Mets, Smith, Wahl, Ritzka, Boukhalfa, Irvine, Wagner, Treu, Eggestein & Afolayan.

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24

W

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

St Pauli

St Pauli

3

Germany Bundesliga I 22/09/24

D

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 15/09/24

L

Augsburg

Augsburg

3

St Pauli

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga I 30/08/24

L

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 25/08/24

L

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

2

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

RB Leipzig preview: Looking to bounce back from disappointing Champions League defeat

Austrian midfielder Xaver Schlager and youngster Assan Ouedraogo are still out injured, and will be unavailable for this game. However, Leipzig will welcome back defender Willi Orban, who has completed his two-match suspension.

Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK), Raum, Lukeba, Orban, Henrichs, Simons, Nusa, Haidara, Vermeeren, Sesko & Openda.

UEFA Champions League 02/10/24

L

Juventus

Juventus

3

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

2

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24

W

Augsburg

Augsburg

0

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

4

Germany Bundesliga I 22/09/24

D

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

UEFA Champions League 19/09/24

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 14/09/24

D

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Player to watch: Antonio Nusa

St Pauli vs RB Leipzig predictions
Photo by IMAGO

Antonio Nusa had an impressive start to his first season with RB Leipzig, with at least one goal involvement in each of his first three appearances for the club. However, the teenager has not scored nor registered an assist in four appearances for club or country since then. As Leipzig gear up for their trip to St Pauli, it will be interesting to see if Nusa will get back to scoring ways.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives