RB Leipzig vs St Pauli prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/02/2025

RB Leipzig lock horns with St Pauli at the Red Bull Arena in the German Bundesliga on Sunday, 9 February. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.

RB Leipzig vs St Pauli prediction: Side with hosts in the match result market

Key Stats

• RB Leipzig have won three and drawn one of their last four home games in all competitions.
• Each of RB Leipzig’s last seven home matches have featured over 2.5 goals.
• RB Leipzig have scored twice in four of their last five home assignments.
• Benjamin Sesko notched in three of RB Leipzig’s last four home games.

Correct score prediction: RB Leipzig 2-1 St Pauli

RB Leipzig have won three of their last four home games and two of those victories finished 2-1 in Die Roten Bullen’s favour.  In addition, St Pauli have been averaging 1.10 goals per away game, so look for another 2-1 home win here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: St Pauli’s chances are slim

• HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%
• DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
• AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

RB Leipzig dropped two points in a 0-0 draw at Union Berlin last weekend, though they have a 64.5% chance of returning to winning ways when they take on St Pauli.

St Pauli are in the midst of a three-game unbeaten run, though they have been priced as 19/4 underdogs ahead of Sunday’s game despite their improved form. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: RB Leipzig targeting second win

RB Leipzig beat St Pauli 4-2 in the DFB Pokal in October just a month after the teams drew 0-0 in Hamburg in the Bundesliga.

Germany DFB Pokal 29/10/24

RB Leipzig

4

St Pauli

2

Germany Bundesliga I 22/09/24

St Pauli

0

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga II 12/02/16

St Pauli

1

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga II 23/08/15

RB Leipzig

0

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga II 03/05/15

St Pauli

1

RB Leipzig

0

RB Leipzig preview: Werner and Schlager could return

Assan Ouedraogo and Benjamin Henrichs are injured for RB Leipzig while Xaver Schlager and Timo Werner could be back in contention following recent layoffs. Die Roten Bullen are hanging onto fourth place by a hair, so they will need to win here.

Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK), Klostermann, Orban, Bitshiabu, Baku, Baumgartner, Seiwald, Raum, Simons, Openda, Sesko

Germany Bundesliga I 11/04/25

W

Wolfsburg

2

RB Leipzig

3

Germany Bundesliga I 05/04/25

W

TSG Hoffenheim

1

RB Leipzig

3

Germany DFB Pokal 02/04/25

L

VfB Stuttgart

3

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 29/03/25

L

Borussia M'gladbach

1

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga I 15/03/25

W

Borussia Dortmund

0

RB Leipzig

2

St Pauli preview: Saliakas is in the treatment room

St Pauli could be without the services of Manolis Saliakas, Sascha Burchert and Soeren Ahlers, though Conor Mecalfe, Karol Mets and Simon Zoller could all return to the fold. St Pauli drew 1-1 at home to Augsburg in their last assignment.

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Nemeth, Van der Heyden, Irvine, Sands, Treu, Guilavogui, Weißhaupt, Eggestein

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

W

Holstein Kiel

1

St Pauli

2

Germany Bundesliga I 06/04/25

D

Borussia M'gladbach

1

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga I 29/03/25

L

Bayern Munich

3

St Pauli

2

Europe Friendlies 19/03/25

D

Hertha Berlin

0

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 14/03/25

W

TSG Hoffenheim

0

St Pauli

1

Player to watch – Benjamin Sesko

Long-term Arsenal target Benjamin Sesko has been doing plenty of good work at the Red Bull Arena and the promising striker has scored in three of RB Leipzig’s last four matches at that venue.

Sesko to star in Leipzig again?

Sesko has scored an impressive 14 times in 29 appearances in all competitions this season and the 21-year-old has the confidence to gobble up any chances that fall his way against St Pauli on Sunday.