Mainz take on struggling St Pauli at the MEWA ARENA in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 22 February. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.
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Mainz vs St Pauli prediction: Hosts to keep a clean sheet?
Key Stats
- Mainz have kept three clean sheets in their last four Bundesliga fixtures.
- Each of Mainz’s last three Bundesliga fixtures finished 2-0 in their favour.
- St Pauli have lost four of their last six away assignments in the league.
- Jonathan Burkardt scored twice when Mainz beat St. Pauli 3-0 in October.
Correct score prediction: Mainz 2-0 St Pauli
Mainz have kept three clean sheets in four games in the Bundesliga and their solid defensive work should allow them to see off struggling St Pauli.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz an attractive prospect
- HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Mainz moved back up to 6th spot with a 2-0 win at Heidenheim last weekend and they have a 55.6% chance of securing a similar result on Saturday.
St Pauli lost to nil against both Freiburg and RB Leipzig in their last two league matches and they have just a 22.2% chance of bouncing back this weekend. Read more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Mainz chasing double
Mainz beat St Pauli 3-0 back in October and that was the teams’ first encounter since 2011.
Germany Bundesliga I 05/10/24
St Pauli
Mainz
Mainz preview: Two players missing out
Stefan Bell and Niklas Tauer are both expected to be out on Saturday through injury. Mainz are within touching distance of fourth spot and could climb into the UCL qualification places with the right set of results this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Da Costa, Jenz, Kohr, Caci, Sano, Amiri, Mwene, Nebel, Burkardt, Weiper
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
W
Bochum
1
Mainz
4
Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Mainz
1
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
L
Bayern Munich
3
Mainz
0
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
Wolfsburg
2
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Mainz
0
St Pauli preview: Saliakas a confirmed absentee
Manolis Saliakas is out of action for St Pauli, though Soeren Ahlers, Simon Zoller, Sascha Burchert, Karol Mets and Conor Metcalfe could be in line for a return. St Pauli conceded an 88th-minute decider in their loss to Freiburg last time out.
Predicted lineup Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Nemeth, Treu, Irvine, Sands, Van der Heyden, Weißhaupt, Saad, Eggestein
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
St Pauli
2
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
L
VfB Stuttgart
1
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25
D
Werder Bremen
0
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
D
Bayer Leverkusen
1
St Pauli
1
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
W
Holstein Kiel
1
St Pauli
2
Player to watch – Nelson Weiper
Nelson Weiper is enjoying a decent burst in the final third for Mainz of late and the 19-year-old scored for the second time in four appearances when he notched against Heidenheim last weekend.
Talented teen Weiper on the up
Weiper is starting to show glimpses of promise and potential for Mainz and the youngster could be handed another opportunity to shine against St Pauli on Saturday. Weiper saw just a few minutes of action against St Pauli in October, though he could have a more central role in this weekend’s rematch.